Forwarded from [[جنوب لبنان]]راصد العدو (ℋᎯℳᎯЅ 𓂆 💚)
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الكيان المحتل
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🔻🇮🇱 Israeli media: Announcement of a death in Tel Aviv due to the fall of a fragmentation missile.
🔻🇮🇱 While the enemy media speaks of a 'difficult day'.
🔻🇮🇱 While the enemy media speaks of a 'difficult day'.
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🚫🔥IRGC:
We targeted U.S. soldiers in Bandar Al-Sheikh, the beaches and port of Dubai, and their tactical equipment with precision.
This operation was carried out using ballistic and cruise missiles with a range of 380 km.
Six U.S. LCU-class landing ships at Bandar Al-Sheikh port were hit.
We targeted U.S. soldiers in Bandar Al-Sheikh, the beaches and port of Dubai, and their tactical equipment with precision.
This operation was carried out using ballistic and cruise missiles with a range of 380 km.
Six U.S. LCU-class landing ships at Bandar Al-Sheikh port were hit.
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The American journal Foreign Policy has confirmed what the empire’s spokesmen have desperately tried to deny: the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, and tens of thousands of sailors now wait in fear, unable to transit through waters that Iran has transformed from a global artery into a gate guarded by the resistance. This is the reality behind the bluster of American officials who swore the strait would remain open, who threatened consequences that never came, who imagined their naval power could simply brush aside the will of the Islamic Republic. The sailors stranded at sea are the living evidence of a strategic shift that Washington cannot reverse.
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🚫❌Moment a rocket falls in Gush Dan
👉 Iron Dome doing more damage than Iran.
👉 Iron Dome doing more damage than Iran.
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Fars News Agency, quoting an official:
There were no radioactive leaks or injuries resulting from the attack on the Arak reactor.
There were no radioactive leaks or injuries resulting from the attack on the Arak reactor.
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👉🇮🇷🇮🇷⚔️🇺🇸🇧🇭 Sirens blaring and explosions reported in Bahrain.
👉🇮🇷⚔️🇺🇸 U.S bases in Erbil and Saudi Arabia were also hit again
👉🇮🇷⚔️🇺🇸 U.S bases in Erbil and Saudi Arabia were also hit again
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⚡ Iran continues to launch intensive missile strikes against the Zionist entity
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🇮🇷 An Iranian security and political source to Al-Mayadeen:
👉 The recent enemy operations against Iranian economic infrastructure are a clear expression of the despair of the Zionist entity and America in the field of war.
👉 The irony is that these desperate enemy operations coincided with warnings from the Chief of Staff of the Zionist entity's army and his former Prime Minister about a serious possibility of the collapse of their army.
👉 The enemy's attacks on our industrial, service, and vital facilities have changed our policy of "an eye for an eye", and our next response will be absolutely unconventional and much more powerful than our previous operations.
👉 We confirm that our imminent strikes are designed to be extensive, severe, and stunning.
👉 We confirm that the balance of our responses will be similar and more disruptive to the enemies' capabilities and deployment centers, and we are fully prepared for a long-term war.
👉 The recent enemy operations against Iranian economic infrastructure are a clear expression of the despair of the Zionist entity and America in the field of war.
👉 The irony is that these desperate enemy operations coincided with warnings from the Chief of Staff of the Zionist entity's army and his former Prime Minister about a serious possibility of the collapse of their army.
👉 The enemy's attacks on our industrial, service, and vital facilities have changed our policy of "an eye for an eye", and our next response will be absolutely unconventional and much more powerful than our previous operations.
👉 We confirm that our imminent strikes are designed to be extensive, severe, and stunning.
👉 We confirm that the balance of our responses will be similar and more disruptive to the enemies' capabilities and deployment centers, and we are fully prepared for a long-term war.
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🇮🇷🔥🚀The Telegram channel Open Spaces reports that Trump is likely to be forced to escalate the conflict for control over the Strait of Hormuz:
Trump now faces a quite obvious problem: either to wind down the active phase of the military operation, or to escalate it. The "Tehran in three days" scenario didn't work out - it happens. Underestimating the enemy and overestimating one's own capabilities is a rather trivial thing, especially for adventurers.
Retreating with a tail between one's legs is certainly not an option. Therefore, "winding down" means that the war will continue, but in a more light-regime - bombing, shooting at the ruling and military elite. However, this does not solve the main problem - the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Iran, having fully appreciated all the benefits of the current situation, will actively blackmail with this option.
Trump now faces a quite obvious problem: either to wind down the active phase of the military operation, or to escalate it. The "Tehran in three days" scenario didn't work out - it happens. Underestimating the enemy and overestimating one's own capabilities is a rather trivial thing, especially for adventurers.
Retreating with a tail between one's legs is certainly not an option. Therefore, "winding down" means that the war will continue, but in a more light-regime - bombing, shooting at the ruling and military elite. However, this does not solve the main problem - the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Iran, having fully appreciated all the benefits of the current situation, will actively blackmail with this option.
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Analyst Intel
🇮🇷🔥🚀The Telegram channel Open Spaces reports that Trump is likely to be forced to escalate the conflict for control over the Strait of Hormuz: Trump now faces a quite obvious problem: either to wind down the active phase of the military operation, or to escalate…
Therefore, the likelihood of any form of winding down for Trump seems unlikely. Escalation seems a more preferable option. However, both paths are extremely uncomfortable for him, and the third option seems even less realistic.
Now the key task for the coalition remains the opening or at least a relatively safe passage through Hormuz. This is difficult to do, but there is a technical chance. This will require the capture of islands in the area of the strait itself and the establishment of control over shipping through them.
In parallel, it will be necessary to destroy the massive fleet of the IRGC - fast multi-purpose boats. Plus, it's an extremely difficult task to prevent the mining of the strait.
Hydrologically, the Persian Gulf is very convenient for mine warfare: silty bottom, shallow depths, a rugged mountain coast where it's easy to hide boats. They only need a dozen or so to create a serious threat. So there's nothing simple in such a decision.
In this scenario, Kharg Island takes a back seat - its capture does not solve the key task, and exchanging it for the opening of the strait is problematic: it's unclear with whom to negotiate at all. Who actually controls Iran now is unknown. Most likely, no one. The unified centralized leadership has been destroyed by Trump himself and the joined Netanyahu.
Time is running out, and a decision needs to be made quickly. Most likely, within the next week, we will see what decision Trump has made and how it will be implemented. The problem is that the strong side of American planning - the availability of "Plan B", "Plan C" and so on for any case - is now frankly absent. The Americans are forced to improvise, which they are traditionally not very good at.
Now the key task for the coalition remains the opening or at least a relatively safe passage through Hormuz. This is difficult to do, but there is a technical chance. This will require the capture of islands in the area of the strait itself and the establishment of control over shipping through them.
In parallel, it will be necessary to destroy the massive fleet of the IRGC - fast multi-purpose boats. Plus, it's an extremely difficult task to prevent the mining of the strait.
Hydrologically, the Persian Gulf is very convenient for mine warfare: silty bottom, shallow depths, a rugged mountain coast where it's easy to hide boats. They only need a dozen or so to create a serious threat. So there's nothing simple in such a decision.
In this scenario, Kharg Island takes a back seat - its capture does not solve the key task, and exchanging it for the opening of the strait is problematic: it's unclear with whom to negotiate at all. Who actually controls Iran now is unknown. Most likely, no one. The unified centralized leadership has been destroyed by Trump himself and the joined Netanyahu.
Time is running out, and a decision needs to be made quickly. Most likely, within the next week, we will see what decision Trump has made and how it will be implemented. The problem is that the strong side of American planning - the availability of "Plan B", "Plan C" and so on for any case - is now frankly absent. The Americans are forced to improvise, which they are traditionally not very good at.
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