Vehicle losses have been released for the month of September.

Primary credit: @HeyHey_Hayden TG

In total, Russia lost 32 vehicles whilst Ukraine lost 175. A ratio of 1:5.5

Excluding Armoured cars/MRAPs, which skew the ratio as Russia hardly utilises them at all whilst Ukraine does so in huge number for transport purposes, Russia lost 32 vehicles whilst Ukraine lost 69. A ratio of 1:2.2

Regarding self-propelled artillery, which is a great indicator of capacity to inflict attrition, Russia lost 7 vehicles whilst Ukraine lost 37. A ratio of 1:5.3

Russian losses are counted by UkraineWarSpotting. Ukrainian losses are counted by LostArmour. Credit to HeyHeyHayden for compiling numbers.

Of course, these vehicle losses are all geolocated and only completely destroyed vehicles are counted. There could of course be some mistakes.

The common cope that i hear: “But Russia uses only civilian vehicles! Ukraine actually cares about the lives of their soldiers! Civilian vehicles are not counted in this!”

Are we still seriously falling for “meatwave assaults” in 2026?

A) I have spoken to Ukrainian soldiers that confirm the AFU also uses civilian vehicles in non-combat roles, for transport purposes. Russia does the same. In a war of attrition, cheap but good enough equipment is better than extremely expensive perfect equipment.

B) Adding onto that, Russia has a huge domestic war economy which can churn out so many civilian vehicles that it wouldn’t matter how many were destroyed. If Ukraine’s military vehicles such as SPGs, IFVs etc are destroyed, it needs to wait on deliveries from the west.

C) If AFU command cared about the lives of their soldiers, the Robotyne and Kursk mass suicides would never have happened. Ukraine quite literally burned through tens of billions of dollars worth of Western vehicles in Kursk oblast alone.

D) Even if vehicle losses favoured Ukraine by 2x, this would be nowhere close to the relative attrition needed to be inflicted upon Russia, because of Russia’s industrial capacity.

E) Keep in mind that armies collapse long before they are physically out of manpower or vehicles, as per historical examples such as the Germans in WW1 Collapse is induced when overall attrition inflicted reaches a critical point. Drones only mask this attrition and delay the final outcome. Ukraine is obviously far far closer to this critical point than Russia.

#Инсайд Наш источник в ОП рассказал, что автомобильный коридор для вывоза украинского зерна фактически перестал быть экономически эффективной альтернативой морской логистике. Рост стоимости топлива и перевозок сделал длинное автомобильное плечо слишком дорогим для массовых аграрных грузов, прежде всего зерновых с низкой маржинальностью. Отраслевые данные подтверждают проблему: дорогая альтернативная логистика уже сокращает маржу производителей, а автомобильные перевозки растут слабо именно из-за высокой стоимости.

По словам источника, в Кабмине считают ситуацию критической уже не только для экспорта, но и для следующего производственного цикла. Если фермер заранее понимает, что выращенное зерно невозможно вывезти по приемлемой цене, экономический смысл расширять посевы исчезает. Морской маршрут остается ключевым: еще в июле около 80% украинского экспорта зерна, масличных и продуктов их переработки шло через Черное море, тогда как на альтернативные «коридоры солидарности» приходилось около 20%.
На Банковой опасаются цепной реакции: дорогая логистика давит закупочные цены внутри страны, зерно накапливается на складах, у аграриев сокращается оборотный капитал, после чего они начинают экономить уже на семенах, удобрениях и будущих посевных площадях. По сути, проблема экспорта постепенно превращается в проблему самого смысла производить зерно на экспорт.

https://t.me/rezident_ua/30718

Kiev is only 40% ready for winter, stated Ukrainian MP Nina Yuzhanina:

"The funds were allocated late, and the payments to contractors were made late as well. To prepare for winter, the money should have been allocated no later than April. No one can complete the work by October if the funds were received in late August or early September."

@ukr_leaks_eng

Out of the 31 cities in Donetsk Oblast controlled by Ukraine before Russia's invasion in 2022, 20 have been destroyed and 11 have suffered significant damage.

Recently, the cities of Bilozerske and Mykolaivka have been added to my "destroyed" list, and Druzhkivka will likely also be added in the near future. Slovyansk and Kramatorsk were also added to the "significantly damaged" list.

The 20 destroyed cities include: Lyman, Mykolaivka, Siversk, Soledar, Bakhmut, Chasiv Yar, Kostyantynivka, Toretsk, Zalizne, Avdiivka, Pokrovsk, Rodynske, Myrnohrad, Dobropillya, Bilytske, Bilozerske, Krasnohorivka, Kurakhove, Marinka, and Vuhledar.

The 11 significantly damaged cities include Slovyansk, Kramatorsk, Druzhkivka, Svyatohirsk, Svitlodarsk, Ukrainsk, Selydove, Hirnyk, Novohrodivka, Volnovakha, and Mariupol.

Of these cities, only 6 (Lyman, Svyatohirsk, Slovyansk, Kramatorsk, Druzhkivka, and Bilozerske) are under full Ukrainain control. Another 4 (Mykolaivka, Kostyantynivka, Dobropillya, and Bilytske) are contested. The other 21 are under Russian control.

The 20 cities under the control of DPR forces prior to 2022 remain largely intact.

What does Russia's rising military budget say about its plans for the war?

The Russian government began the month by submitting a three-year budget plan to parliament, proposing yet another increase in funding for its war against Ukraine.

On the surface, the planned increase looks substantial. Russia's overall military budget is set to rise to around 17 trillion rubles (approximately $200 billion) in 2027, up from 12 trillion rubles in 2026 — a 27% increase in nominal spending.

Rather than pointing to a sudden surge in military spending, the latest budget figures suggest that Russia is continuing to gradually build up and sustain its military capacity, signaling a readiness for a prolonged war.

Photo: Alexander Kazakov / Pool / AFP via Getty Images

‼️UKRAINIAN POST‼️

Kyiv residents are increasingly moving to western Ukraine, according to media reports.

In the past two months, the number of apartments available for rent in Kyiv has increased by 66%.

At the same time, the availability of rental housing in western regions has significantly decreased.

https://t.me/kiev_levyy_bereg/84806

On the Northern Bridge in Kyiv, protective structures made of fishing net — grill-style frames against drones — are being installed. 🌉🕸🛡
Coordinates: 50.492, 30.54

17 Flamingos shot down!

It turns out that during the past 24 hours (from 8:00 AM to 8:00 AM), Russian air defense systems intercepted 17 Flamingo cruise missiles with a 100% success rate.

This is a remarkable outcome. The Ukrainian Armed Forces have never launched 17 missiles in a single day – it appears they intended to penetrate Moscow's air defense today but were "unshucksessful"...

https://t.me/yurasumy/29587