Forwarded from Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
🇮🇱 - Latest polling average (last 10 polls published yesterday):
Likud (Benjamin Netanyahu) - 22 seats
Yashar (Gadi Eisenkot) - 22 seats
B'Yachad (Naftali Bennett + Yair Lapid) - 12 seats
Democrats (Yair Golan) - 9 seats
Otzma Yehudit (Itamar Ben-Gvir) - 9 seats
Shas (Aryeh Deri) - 8 seats
Yisrael Beiteinu (Avigdor Lieberman) - 8 seats
Joint List (Yousef Jabareen) - 8 seats
Yahadut HaTorah (Ya'akov Asher) - 7 seats
Tkuma (Bezalel Smotrich) - 6 seats
Ra'am (Mansour Abbas) - 5 seats
Likud-bloc: 51 seats (Likud, Otzma Yehudit, Shas, Yahadut HaTorah, Tkuma)
Yashar-bloc: 51 seats (Yashar, B'Yachad*, Democrats, Yisrael Beiteinu)
Arab-coalition: 13 seats (Joint List, Ra'am).
*Assuming Bennett join's an Eisenkot-led bloc.
Likud (Benjamin Netanyahu) - 22 seats
Yashar (Gadi Eisenkot) - 22 seats
B'Yachad (Naftali Bennett + Yair Lapid) - 12 seats
Democrats (Yair Golan) - 9 seats
Otzma Yehudit (Itamar Ben-Gvir) - 9 seats
Shas (Aryeh Deri) - 8 seats
Yisrael Beiteinu (Avigdor Lieberman) - 8 seats
Joint List (Yousef Jabareen) - 8 seats
Yahadut HaTorah (Ya'akov Asher) - 7 seats
Tkuma (Bezalel Smotrich) - 6 seats
Ra'am (Mansour Abbas) - 5 seats
Likud-bloc: 51 seats (Likud, Otzma Yehudit, Shas, Yahadut HaTorah, Tkuma)
Yashar-bloc: 51 seats (Yashar, B'Yachad*, Democrats, Yisrael Beiteinu)
Arab-coalition: 13 seats (Joint List, Ra'am).
*Assuming Bennett join's an Eisenkot-led bloc.
/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
Nigeria has confirmed an Ebola case in its capital, Abuja, after a woman who arrived from Uganda tested positive for the virus, the health ministry said.
The woman began showing symptoms on 7 October and was admitted to a hospital in Abuja four days later, where she was later diagnosed with Ebola. It is unclear when she arrived in Nigeria, Africa’s most populous country.
The health minister, Muhammad Pate, said authorities had begun tracing 44 people identified as contacts of the patient. “We are doing everything possible to contain this case by tracing all the contacts the individual may have had,” he said.
Uganda’s ministry of health said the patient had only transited through Uganda and that she is a Nigerian woman who had been on a business trip to Congo’s eastern region. The Nigerian authorities have not disclosed her nationality.
“Travel through Uganda does not establish that infection occurred here. The location of exposure remains under investigation,” the ministry said in a statement. The ministry insisted Uganda has “no confirmed active Ebola cases”.
Nigeria is the latest country to report an Ebola case as the outbreak spreads across the region. Kenya confirmed its first case earlier this month and has since recorded nine infections. Uganda had previously reported Ebola cases, but it later declared itself free of the virus.
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the Guardian
Nigeria confirms Ebola case as outbreak spreads into western Africa
Case in Africa’s most populous country was detected in a woman who had travelled from Uganda
Tabz - Live News
Despite heavy losses and the decline in Ethiopian support following the resumption of the civil war in that country, the RSF continued its offensive along the border, crossing the Blue Nile in the first week of October, where it captured a series of localities in that direction.
With the arrival of reinforcements, the SAF managed to regain some of the lost ground and contain the rebel advance along the Menze, Jabal Kadam, and Umm Darfa-City 7 axes.
Further south, RSF forces intensified their attacks north of Kurmuk over the past two days, managing to reach the outskirts of Sali, where they were repelled by government forces.
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/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
✈️ 🇺🇸 🇮🇷 US Treasury Secretary Bessent says all Iranian airlines will be "shut down around the world" on September 23, with any airport or company that provides them fuel, landing services or ticket sales to be "knocked out of the dollar system." "If they…
India and Singapore Deny Iran Air Permits for Medicine Transport
Taher Abdolhay, managing director of Iran Air (Homa), announced on Monday, October 19, 2026, that the airline is unable to import medicines into the country due to the refusal of flight permits for Iranian aircraft by India and Singapore.
Speaking at a press conference, Abdolhay stated that Iran Air is prepared to transport essential medical supplies from India and other countries to Iran at minimal cost. However, the airline’s requests to operate flights to Singapore have remained unanswered.
Explaining efforts to import pharmaceuticals from India, he said: “For the Mumbai route, a proposal to transport medicine, even via passenger flights, was submitted, but cargo flight permits were not granted.”
Recall that during the hot phase of the 3rd Gulf War, the U.S. and Israel targeted Iranian pharmaceutical labs and companies including the Louis Pasteur Institute which was responsible for almost all vaccines used in Iran in order to cripple Iran's public health system as Israel's goal always was to turn Iran into a new Syria, Libya, Iraq or Afghanistan.
Target health facilities is considered a war crime under international law.
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Iranwire
India and Singapore Deny Iran Air Permits for Medicine Transport
Taher Abdolhay, managing director of Iran Air (Homa), announced on Monday, October 19, 2026, that the airline is unable to import medici ...
Forwarded from Mediterranean Man (random guy)
⚡🇮🇱🇮🇷🇺🇸Haaretz:The possibility of renewed war with Iran has sparked sharp disagreements between the military and Netanyahu in recent weeks.
Netanyahu and the political echelon are at odds over the timing, necessity, and the American position regarding a renewed attack on Iran.
Concerns about the potential impact of an attack on Iran on the Israeli elections were raised in a conversation between Zamir and General Ken.
Intelligence officials believe that Netanyahu is exaggerating the facts concerning Iran and overestimating the immediate Iranian threat.
@medmannews
Netanyahu and the political echelon are at odds over the timing, necessity, and the American position regarding a renewed attack on Iran.
Concerns about the potential impact of an attack on Iran on the Israeli elections were raised in a conversation between Zamir and General Ken.
Intelligence officials believe that Netanyahu is exaggerating the facts concerning Iran and overestimating the immediate Iranian threat.
@medmannews
/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
The company posted a staggering -$80.7 billion net loss in the first half of 2026, up from -$13 billion a year earlier.
This is also nearly DOUBLE its full-year 2025 loss of -$42 billion.
-$72 billion of the loss stems from non-cash accounting adjustments reflecting changes in the value of convertible notes and other financing instruments, leaving an estimated -$8.7 billion loss after these charges are excluded.
At the same time, revenue surged to $16.3 billion from just $1.1 billion a year earlier, but computing and infrastructure spending nearly QUADRUPLED to $9 billion, exceeding the $7.3 billion spent throughout 2025.
Meanwhile, Anthropic's infrastructure commitments now exceed $600 billion and could reach $750 billion, with most cloud contracts being noncancelable and payable regardless of actual usage.
The company also faces significant customer concentration, with just 2 customers accounting for ~20% of 1H 2026 revenue, while major cloud providers cannot supply all the computing capacity it needs.
Anthropic is preparing for a potential $2 trillion IPO despite enormous infrastructure obligations, substantial underlying losses, and uncertainty over whether revenue growth can justify its spending.
Previously however, Reuters reported that investors are now discussing a valuation of around $1.5 trillion, as slower revenue growth and soaring AI infrastructure costs weigh on sentiment.
Anthropic's $2 trillion IPO ambition is colliding with the brutal economics of the AI arms race.
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/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
The protests, which began in southern Italy last week, have also disrupted operations in two regional airports in Calabria because they cannot get deliveries of aviation fuel.
With traffic snarled in various parts of the country, long queues formed on the A1 motorway near the southern city of Naples after truckers restricted access.
Trucks and tractors drove into the central square in the northeastern city of Ravenna as the protests spread and farmers added their voices.
Deputy Prime Minister Matteo Salvini said the government was prepared to consider a cap on diesel prices to help ease the pressure on hauliers
Italy has set aside around €1 billion ($1.1 billion) this year to help truck drivers cope with surging fuel costs and replace older vehicles with less-polluting models.
The protests come as Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni's government deals with unrest last weekend in northern cities including Milan where gangs of mainly young people went on the rampage.
The ANCD-Conad group, representing retailers operating under the Conad supermarket brand, said large quantities of perishable products including fruit and vegetables, as well as milk and meat were stranded on trucks and in warehouses.
"The freedom to protest cannot translate into undermining citizens' right to receive fresh food or destroying the value created by Italy's agri-food supply chains," said the group's president Maurizio Pelliconi.
Giorgia Meloni has already cut the fuel tax but it has done nothing to keep fuel prices low as the wars in the Middle East caused by the U.S. and Israel continue to choke the trade routes that once delivered fuel to Italy and the rest of Europe.
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/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
Israel's election next week may change its leader, but not its strategy: Iran will remain its chief adversary, military force will continue to be its preferred tool and Palestinian statehood a distant prospect, regional policymakers and analysts say.
That is because the strategic assumptions underpinning Israeli policy were hardened by the October 7, 2023, attacks on southern Israeli communities by Palestinian militant group Hamas and by the wars in Gaza, Lebanon and Iran.
If anything, Israel could toughen its security policy, the analysts said, as victory for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu with the backing of far-right coalition partners could embolden him to step up the war with Iran, tighten Israel's grip on the occupied West Bank and push diplomacy further to the margins.Israel's security doctrine now rests on three pillars: breaking Iran, holding buffer zones beyond its borders and using force to deter enemies.
The real divide is one of degree rather than direction — how aggressively Israel fights its wars, how far it expands Jewish settlements in the West Bank and whether any leader opts for diplomacy, the analysts said.
From Tehran to Riyadh, Tuesday's election is not seen as a potential turning point but as a test of whether the Middle East is settling into a long confrontation, where wars ebb and flow while the underlying conflicts are unresolved.
"If Netanyahu is elected, he'll do whatever he thinks he wants to do," said Aviv Bushinsky, a former adviser to Netanyahu. "Expansion of the settlements will continue. The wars against Iran, Hamas and Hezbollah will continue.""What you see now is what you'll see after the election, maybe even more aggressively," he said. "As long as Iran is in such a situation, it's a waste of time talking about Palestine.”
Netanyahu said on Sunday that Israel must prioritise “prevention and offence over containment and defence”, including pre-emptive strikes to thwart emerging threats, while establishing Israel as a regional power and maximising its independence in armaments.
WHY THE COURSE IS UNLIKELY TO CHANGE
The election pits Netanyahu's right-wing Likud and its ultranationalist allies against an opposition led by former military chief Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party.Palestinian analyst Ghassan al-Khatib sees no prospect of a fundamental shift in policy towards the Palestinians, with Israeli political parties competing to project harder-line positions as public opinion moves further to the right.“The substance of the policy remains the same: No to a Palestinian state and yes to further settlement expansion. On this, they are all in agreement,” he said.
A government led by Netanyahu's opponents might seek to repair Israel's international standing by curbing some settler violence or pursuing settlement expansion with less fanfare. But such changes would be a shift in style rather than substance, al-Khatib said.
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/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
French President Emmanuel Macron has secured the delivery of an additional 200,000 tonnes of diesel per month from the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Bahrain during a tour of the Gulf, the French presidency said Tuesday.
With the addition of deliveries from Saudi Arabia, France has commitments for 295,000 tonnes per month, representing just over 10 percent of its consumption, the presidency added.
Macron is undertaking a tour of key energy suppliers in the Gulf in an effort to secure oil and diesel supplies and bring down prices in France, after a weekend of violent protests sparked by soaring living costs.
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France 24
Macron secures diesel deals on Gulf visit as fuel prices stoke unrest in France
French President Emmanuel Macron has obtained commitments to deliver an additional 200,000 tonnes of diesel per month from the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain during a tour of the Gulf, his office said…
/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
@CIG_telegram
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Forwarded from War Noir
#Albania 🇦🇱: Clashes continue between protesters and police forces in various places, including the capital, #Tirana.
Seemingly Albanian Police using Katmerciler “TOMA” Water Cannons donated by #Turkey 🇹🇷. Some of the water cannons were attacked with Molotov cocktails.
https://x.com/war_noir/status/2112225345071943965
Seemingly Albanian Police using Katmerciler “TOMA” Water Cannons donated by #Turkey 🇹🇷. Some of the water cannons were attacked with Molotov cocktails.
https://x.com/war_noir/status/2112225345071943965
Forwarded from Balkan Spectator
—❗️🇦🇪 /🇦🇱 UAE military transport planes reportedly land in Tirana
➡️ Dunav Intel identified two UAE Air Force C-17 flights arriving in Albania on Tuesday. Their cargo and purpose remain unknown.
➡️ The flights followed the arrival of a Turkish 🇹🇷 military aircraft on Monday carrying two water-cannon vehicles, documented by Albanian media, as anti-government protests continue.
🔗 UAE flight report · Turkish aircraft and vehicles
✅ @balkanspectator — the leading Balkan news channel in English
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War Noir
#Albania 🇦🇱: Clashes continue between protesters and police forces in various places, including the capital, #Tirana. Seemingly Albanian Police using Katmerciler “TOMA” Water Cannons donated by #Turkey 🇹🇷. Some of the water cannons were attacked with Molotov…
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From the very beginning of the Flamingo Revolution, public dissatisfaction was accompanied by a wave of Russian influence across social media.
Tens of thousands of fake profiles were created specifically to pretend to be Albanians who wanted to protect nature.
They were mobilized, just as thousands and thousands of others were mobilized by the terrorist republic of Iran to protect nature in Albania.
How can these things be coincidences? These are not coincidences. There are no coincidences here.
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/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
Pakistan and Lithuania discussed visa and consular facilitation as part of efforts to strengthen bilateral ties. The talks covered measures to ease movement between the two countries for professionals, students and business personnel.
The discussions took place virtually during the eighth round of bilateral political consultations, according to the Foreign Office spokesperson.
During the consultations, both delegations explored ways to increase collaboration between their private sectors. They placed particular emphasis on information technology and digital services.
Lithuania is a country of just 2.9 million people.
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ProPakistani
Lithuania Agrees to Visa Facilitation for Pakistanis
Pakistan and Lithuania discussed visa and consular facilitation as part of efforts to strengthen bilateral ties. The talks covered measures to ease