Forwarded from Tabz - Live News (Tabz)
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President Trump is the type of person that would steal your lunch money the first day. He'd steal the toque off your head the second day, and the third day he'd steal your running shoes.
He is not to be trusted whatsoever.
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📢 🇨🇦 🇺🇸 British Columbia Premier David Eby:
It is clear that the current US administration cannot be trusted. Just can't trust Trump.
Even if an agreement had been signed, how long would it have lasted for long-term economic security for British Columbians and Canadians?
📎 Clash Report
It is clear that the current US administration cannot be trusted. Just can't trust Trump.
Even if an agreement had been signed, how long would it have lasted for long-term economic security for British Columbians and Canadians?
📎 Clash Report
Media is too big
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The Premier of Quebec, Christine Fréchette confirms that Quebec’s French-language requirements were among the irritants raised by the United States during trade negotiations.
“The presence of French on consumer devices […] or the availability of user guides in French” were among the issues raised by the Americans.
Fréchette said this was a “red line that could not be crossed.”
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/carney-trump-blanchet-bill-off-table-trade-1.7499025
📎 Alexandra Lavoie
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📎 Scott Robertson
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📢 🇺🇸 🇨🇦 Sean Duffy: "The fact we provide their security for them, and they take advantage of us? ... I think you're gonna see Mark Carney come to the table very very quickly, because it's gonna be devastating for his country."
📎 Aaron Rupar
📎 Aaron Rupar
/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
Ukraine has opened a Pandora's box by attacking Russia's retail sector and should now expect the same treatment but worse, President Vladimir Putin said in an interview on August 22.
“The Kiev regime set out to damage our economy. What did it do? It opened this Pandora's box itself. Well then, expect a response targeting your most sensitive economic sectors,” Putin said in comments to Russian state television over the weekend.
He was speaking at the end of a summer in which Ukraine escalated drone strikes on Russia’s oil refineries, sparking a fuel crisis that has recently surged into a second wave of shortages. And at the end of July, Kiev launched Operation Wildberries, targeting Russia’s biggest online retailer, destroying half of its network warehouses that account for about 10% of Russia’s retail trade. Ozon, Russia’s second biggest retailer, was added to the hit list on August 21, when its first warehouse in Samara was hit, followed by a strike on another warehouse in Orenburg the next day.
The Kremlin has retaliated with a disproportional ferocity as a warehouse war gets underway, not only destroying warehouses and shopping centres, but attempting to systematically destroy Ukraine’s retail infrastructure. After only two weeks, supermarkets in Kiev are starting to empty as stores are unable to find supplies, or if they do, get them to shops to restock the shelves, according to reports. At the same time both of the combatants have targeted Black Sea grain exports and brought that business to halt just as the harvest start to come in.
It’s a one-sided fight. Russia has a deep missile inventory and a large firepower advantage. Ukraine has few missiles and its supply of interceptor missiles, the only thing that can stop Russia’s devastating ballistic missiles, has run dry. The upshot, Putin said in his interview, is the cost to Ukraine is much higher than the cost he admitted Russia is paying.
Putin was explicit about the scale of the Armed Forces of Russia (AFR) reply, in a fuller version of the remarks circulated in Russian: “You wanted to cripple our economy - now factories and warehouses are burning from Lvov to Zaporozhye. You interfered with our logistics - the Black Sea is closed, and railway junctions and lines are being systematically destroyed.” He said Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky had given Russian 40 days to announce a ceasefire, or “face the consequences” and nothing happened: “Of course, no turning point in the confrontation with Russia has occurred, and will not occur,” Putin said.
Grain is the main foreign exchange earner for the Ukrainian budget and it has already lost an estimated $2bn in grain export revenues at a time when the Ministry of Finance (MinFin) says there is already a $20bn hole in this year’s budget. Ukraine's grain exports have fallen 70% since its corridor closed in late July. The Odesa port strikes alone could cost Ukraine 5.3% of GDP by 2027, according to exports. A new global food price inflation shock is already on the cards.
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bne IntelliNews
Putin says Ukraine “opened a Pandora's box” by hitting Russia's economy
Ukraine has opened a Pandora's box by attacking Russia's retail sector and should now expect the same treatment but worse, President Vladimir Putin ...
/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
In the past, Pakistani medias used Asim Munir and the travels of other Pakistani politicians to Iran to leak information about "peace deals" or "ceasefire agreements" which would result in the price of paper oil going down.
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/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
⛽️ While everyone is distracted by the manipulated oil price... diesel is trading at $183 per barrel.
- WTI: $87
- Diesel: $183
People say oil is the lifeblood of our economy...But it's actually diesel.
Diesel powers:
- Most farming operations
- Most mining operations
- ~80% of US freight by weight
- ~80% of global trade
We're going to feel the inflationary pressure of $183 diesel while crude is struggling to stay above $80.
Brace for inflation.
🔗 Lukas Ekwueme
- WTI: $87
- Diesel: $183
People say oil is the lifeblood of our economy...But it's actually diesel.
Diesel powers:
- Most farming operations
- Most mining operations
- ~80% of US freight by weight
- ~80% of global trade
We're going to feel the inflationary pressure of $183 diesel while crude is struggling to stay above $80.
Brace for inflation.
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/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
Although Mr. Trump’s tariffs only cover a small subset of Canadian goods, the consequences could quickly spiral. If Canada retaliates, and Mr. Trump does the same, the result could be a series of new shocks for the U.S. economy at a time when it is already weathering plenty.
With Canada, though, Mr. Lincicome said the new clash could weigh heavily on businesses that transact across the U.S.-Canadian border. The retaliatory tariff increases could affect prices, and consequently translate to “slightly less investment, slightly less economic activity,” while the confusing trade climate persists.
In the end, Mr. Trump could still avert catastrophe and strike a deal with Canada as soon as this weekend. But, by Saturday morning, that appeared unlikely: Jamieson Greer, the U.S. trade representative, told Fox News that there were no new talks planned with his Canadian counterparts, adding that the administration was “moving forward” with its tariffs.
Mr. Trump’s new duties — set at 50 percent — apply to about $20 billion in Canada’s exports to the United States, according to administration officials. The list of covered goods numbers into the hundreds, and includes Canadian-made hockey sticks, furniture and dairy products, which could become too expensive for U.S. consumers to import.
— The impending trade war with Canada having an outsized impact on Alaska, Maine, Michigan & Ohio
— Allowing 300,000 metric tons of ground beef to be imported & sold at 25% below market price having an outsized impact on Texas, Iowa & Nebraska
Trump’s really doing all he can to help Democrats flip the Senate.
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/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
Virtually all vessels are owned by U.S. allies and transited the Strait of Hormuz in the past 3+ months using the Southern/Omani lane. Some of them have been struck by the IRGC Navy.
@CIG_telegram
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Media is too big
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🇩🇪 AfD leader Alice Weidel:
“We will close Germany’s borders. If crises like the one in Ceuta continue, we will withdraw from the Schengen Area.”
📎 Europa
“We will close Germany’s borders. If crises like the one in Ceuta continue, we will withdraw from the Schengen Area.”
📎 Europa
Forwarded from Noticer News
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One Nation MP David Farley has admitted his party's migration target is about the same as Labor's, and possibly higher.
Pauline Hanson attempted to clarify his comments, but confirmed One Nation's target of 130,000 did not include temporary workers.
https://www.noticer.news/one-nation-migration-target-labor/
Follow: @NoticerNews
Pauline Hanson attempted to clarify his comments, but confirmed One Nation's target of 130,000 did not include temporary workers.
https://www.noticer.news/one-nation-migration-target-labor/
Follow: @NoticerNews
⚓️ 🇨🇳 🏗 China’s Type 004 aircraft carrier is rapidly taking shape at Dalian, with new satellite imagery showing a more complete bow and a hull already around 320 meters long.
The strongest open-source assessment is that it will be China’s first nuclear-powered carrier, with imagery reportedly showing two reactor containment structures.
Expected features include EMALS catapults, a 90–100+ aircraft air wing, and a displacement potentially above 110,000 tons.
The carrier is expected to be substantially larger and more capable than Fujian, likely around 110,000–120,000 tons, with a final length approaching or exceeding the U.S. Gerald R. Ford-class.
Current estimates suggest four catapults, compared with three on Fujian, and an air wing potentially exceeding 90 aircraft, including J-35 stealth fighters, J-15T carrier fighters, KJ-600 airborne early-warning aircraft, helicopters, and eventually combat drones.
A launch could come as early as 2027, followed by several years of fitting-out and sea trials, with entry into service around 2030.
https://www.twz.com/sea/chinas-next-aircraft-carrier-is-taking-shape
📎 Clash Report
The strongest open-source assessment is that it will be China’s first nuclear-powered carrier, with imagery reportedly showing two reactor containment structures.
Expected features include EMALS catapults, a 90–100+ aircraft air wing, and a displacement potentially above 110,000 tons.
The carrier is expected to be substantially larger and more capable than Fujian, likely around 110,000–120,000 tons, with a final length approaching or exceeding the U.S. Gerald R. Ford-class.
Current estimates suggest four catapults, compared with three on Fujian, and an air wing potentially exceeding 90 aircraft, including J-35 stealth fighters, J-15T carrier fighters, KJ-600 airborne early-warning aircraft, helicopters, and eventually combat drones.
A launch could come as early as 2027, followed by several years of fitting-out and sea trials, with entry into service around 2030.
https://www.twz.com/sea/chinas-next-aircraft-carrier-is-taking-shape
📎 Clash Report
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📝 Martin Skold: "He’s actually not wrong (the belt-tightening probably -creates- debt at this point by causing revenue shortfalls and bank failures); it’s just that overly indebted countries don’t grow.
The way out is a default - either a literal one (which is basically unconstitutional and would end the US government as we know it) or through inflation.
The latter, of course, would work better if we didn’t also owe a multiple (!) of the current debt to our seniors in the form of entitlements we can’t pay for (that will themselves have to be “defaulted” on, and in a way that is the right word).
But it’s not free in either case, anymore than personal bankruptcy is free - it sucks. It’s just a question of whether it’s possible to get through the pain to the other side where we can start growing again."
📎 Glenn Diesen
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/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
📝 🇺🇸 💸 Financial Times:
“Scott Bessent’s running battle with the bond market is starting to look like his boss’s war in Iran — started by his own hand with a tangled set of objectives, an underestimated opponent and an implausible path to victory. And like the conflict in the Middle East, we are all going to suffer its effects.
Three weeks ago, of course, he inserted himself in the market for the Japanese yen, of all things, buying the currency to prop it up in what was painted as a friendly act of solidarity with an ally in need.
The link back to Treasury bonds may not be immediately obvious, but bond market insiders are not buying the friends-helping-friends explanation, and instead see it as an effort to stop Japan from fixing its yen problem by selling down its gigantic stash of US debt.
So now, no fewer than three times in three weeks, Bessent has given the message to investors to please stop selling his bonds. But they are selling his bonds anyway.”
https://archive.ph/oFdxU
📎 JaguarAnalytics
“Scott Bessent’s running battle with the bond market is starting to look like his boss’s war in Iran — started by his own hand with a tangled set of objectives, an underestimated opponent and an implausible path to victory. And like the conflict in the Middle East, we are all going to suffer its effects.
Three weeks ago, of course, he inserted himself in the market for the Japanese yen, of all things, buying the currency to prop it up in what was painted as a friendly act of solidarity with an ally in need.
The link back to Treasury bonds may not be immediately obvious, but bond market insiders are not buying the friends-helping-friends explanation, and instead see it as an effort to stop Japan from fixing its yen problem by selling down its gigantic stash of US debt.
So now, no fewer than three times in three weeks, Bessent has given the message to investors to please stop selling his bonds. But they are selling his bonds anyway.”
https://archive.ph/oFdxU
📎 JaguarAnalytics
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/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
📝 🇺🇸 💵 Inflation creates its own debt issues.
Can the US grow its way out of $40T debt? Yes, if *real* GDP grows more than 5.5%. That growth was last hit . . . never?
📎 Smirkley
Can the US grow its way out of $40T debt? Yes, if *real* GDP grows more than 5.5%. That growth was last hit . . . never?
📎 Smirkley
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