Communists win in Berlin.
The "LEFT" has won Berlin. They are the German Mamdani Party but even more radical. They won with cheap rents, expropriation of capital, support for Palestine, and Antifa-extremism. AfD is in place #3.
The important facts:
Nonvoter Mobilization
The key for the Left & the AfD was nonvoter mobilization. Data is not here yet, but it is likely that the left was able to activate the migrant vote. They campaigned massively with Arabic videos in the Islamic ghettos; 8-13% of voters in Berlin are Muslim.
Boomers
The big question for the AfD is if they outmaxxed the indigenous voter potential already with 16%.
The (ethnically replaced) youth are for the islamomarxists. The German Boomers still vote mostly CDU because they don't know how to use the internet. Young Germans & families move out of Berlin.
Workers
Workers are one of the only groups where the AfD leads. (Among them are prbly also there migrant voters.) Also, people who did not go through (marxist) universities are more pro AfD. People who considered them poor voted for the LEFT. This is also the case for actually wealthy students who struggle to find a cheap flat, or for migrants on welfare. Rents was a good topic to pic for the left.
Woman
No surprise here. A huge majority of Woman voted for the Islamomarxist Block.
Summary: AfD lost. The open question is if because of demographics and ideological hegemony, or lack of mobilization. However, they increased their results without pandering to islam & wokeism like in last elections.
The main problem I see now with big cities is that populist parties could be tempted to try to win the ethnic vote, which would utterly fail and just damage the party at the national level. This did not happen in Berlin.
Right poster from 2021
📎 Martin Sellner
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Media is too big
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📢 🇺🇸 ✝️ Hegseth at Texas A&M last night: "This is our first stop on what we are calling the SEND ME TOUR.
If you know your Book of Isaiah, Chapter 6, Verse 8, the Lord said, 'Whom shall I send?' Isaiah says, 'Lord, I AM HERE. SEND ME...'
For 250 years of this country, there have been men and women who RAISED THEIR RIGHT HAND and said, 'SEND ME.'
SEND ME TO GO FIGHT THE REDCOATS.
SEND ME TO GO FIGHT THE COMMUNISTS.
SEND ME TO GO FIGHT THE ISLAMISTS.
AND YOU ARE SAYING, SEND ME TO GO FIGHT WHATEVER THREATS THREATEN OUR NATION.'"
📎 DoW Rapid Response
If you know your Book of Isaiah, Chapter 6, Verse 8, the Lord said, 'Whom shall I send?' Isaiah says, 'Lord, I AM HERE. SEND ME...'
For 250 years of this country, there have been men and women who RAISED THEIR RIGHT HAND and said, 'SEND ME.'
SEND ME TO GO FIGHT THE REDCOATS.
SEND ME TO GO FIGHT THE COMMUNISTS.
SEND ME TO GO FIGHT THE ISLAMISTS.
AND YOU ARE SAYING, SEND ME TO GO FIGHT WHATEVER THREATS THREATEN OUR NATION.'"
📎 DoW Rapid Response
/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
📢 🇺🇸 ✝️ Hegseth at Texas A&M last night: "This is our first stop on what we are calling the SEND ME TOUR. If you know your Book of Isaiah, Chapter 6, Verse 8, the Lord said, 'Whom shall I send?' Isaiah says, 'Lord, I AM HERE. SEND ME...' For 250 years of…
📝 🇺🇸 🇮🇱 Seethroughitall on X: No "diversity" in sight when it comes to dying for ZOG. Fuck you Trump
📝 blue: When they put out call for units they say "nobody who doesnt meet height or weight and is on a PT performance plan" WOOSH suddenly its only white people
📝 prob: Those girls have no place in the military. They should be at home becoming wives and mothers.
📝 OBDigital: "Blonde hair blue eyes..."
📎 Seethroughitall
📝 blue: When they put out call for units they say "nobody who doesnt meet height or weight and is on a PT performance plan" WOOSH suddenly its only white people
📝 prob: Those girls have no place in the military. They should be at home becoming wives and mothers.
📝 OBDigital: "Blonde hair blue eyes..."
📎 Seethroughitall
One requirement covers the creation of the modern state of Israel in 1948 in what the standards describe as the ancestral homeland of the Jewish people.
Students are also required to read Anne Frank's diary.
📝 Quarter Zip: If you read the actual text of the new Texas curriculum, it’s worse than you think. The students learn:
> the founding of Israel
> the origins of Judaism
> key stories of the Torah
> claims Jews invented monotheism
> removes Biblical teachings
They have totally rewritten the moral core of the United States in service of a pro-Israel World History curriculum.
https://www.jpost.com/international/article-908923
📎 Remarks
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🧓 🇪🇺 📉 Europe now has more people of age 90+ than it has <1 year-old babies. 50 years ago we had 10x as many babies.
Japan today has less than 1 baby for every 3 people aged 90+. In 1950 they had 100 babies per 90+ year-old.
📎 Jonathan Pallesen
Japan today has less than 1 baby for every 3 people aged 90+. In 1950 they had 100 babies per 90+ year-old.
📎 Jonathan Pallesen
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📝 🇧🇴 🇩🇪 When will Bolivia become a German-speaking majority country? Given current trends, in around 90 years.
Bolivia’s estimated total fertility rate of 1.56 hides a big asymmetry: a small minority group, the Mennonites, who speak Low German, has a much higher one. Although it is hard to get exact figures, their fertility rate is probably around 7. Given that Bolivian Mennonites are about 150,000, but very young, there are around 6,500 new Mennonite births a year in Bolivia, or 4.2% of the total of 153,204 births. This also means that the total fertility rate of the rest of Bolivia is around 1.51.
Let’s imagine that current trends continue. This is a big “assumption” and I will come back to it soon. That is, the total fertility rate of Mennonites is 7, the total fertility rate of the rest of Bolivians is 1.51, and the net emigration rate of the rest is 3.5 per 1,000. Also, for simplicity, let me assume there are no transfers between the two populations.
The table in the post shows how the Mennonites will grow from the current size of 150,000 to around 5 million in 2116, when they will become the majority of Bolivians. This growth rate is fast, but not unprecedented. In 1986, 40 years ago, there were only around 17,500 Mennonites in Bolivia, and the net immigration of Mennonites, as far as I can tell, has been small.
Now, of course, this calculation is just a slightly tongue-in-cheek scenario, not a forecast. First, the fertility of the rest of Bolivians can recover (or fall further, accelerating the process). Second, as Mennonites become a larger group, their ability to keep their fertility rate at 7 might collapse. And many Mennonites may abandon the denomination.
My calculation only makes a very simple point: take two populations in a country with different fertility rates. Keep the differences for 100 years, and you have a totally different country. People just don’t get that fertility is like an interest rate: it compounds over time.
📎 Jesús Fernández-Villaverde
Bolivia’s estimated total fertility rate of 1.56 hides a big asymmetry: a small minority group, the Mennonites, who speak Low German, has a much higher one. Although it is hard to get exact figures, their fertility rate is probably around 7. Given that Bolivian Mennonites are about 150,000, but very young, there are around 6,500 new Mennonite births a year in Bolivia, or 4.2% of the total of 153,204 births. This also means that the total fertility rate of the rest of Bolivia is around 1.51.
Let’s imagine that current trends continue. This is a big “assumption” and I will come back to it soon. That is, the total fertility rate of Mennonites is 7, the total fertility rate of the rest of Bolivians is 1.51, and the net emigration rate of the rest is 3.5 per 1,000. Also, for simplicity, let me assume there are no transfers between the two populations.
The table in the post shows how the Mennonites will grow from the current size of 150,000 to around 5 million in 2116, when they will become the majority of Bolivians. This growth rate is fast, but not unprecedented. In 1986, 40 years ago, there were only around 17,500 Mennonites in Bolivia, and the net immigration of Mennonites, as far as I can tell, has been small.
Now, of course, this calculation is just a slightly tongue-in-cheek scenario, not a forecast. First, the fertility of the rest of Bolivians can recover (or fall further, accelerating the process). Second, as Mennonites become a larger group, their ability to keep their fertility rate at 7 might collapse. And many Mennonites may abandon the denomination.
My calculation only makes a very simple point: take two populations in a country with different fertility rates. Keep the differences for 100 years, and you have a totally different country. People just don’t get that fertility is like an interest rate: it compounds over time.
📎 Jesús Fernández-Villaverde
/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
🇩🇪 🇹🇷 🛠 Die Linke finished first in Berlin's state election today (~25%) with a 13-point surge, led by Elif Eralp, a 45-year-old lawyer of Turkish origin.
If she becomes governing mayor, she'd be Berlin's first Turkish-origin mayor, Germany's first female state leader with a migration background, and the first Linke politician to lead the capital.
Her campaign was compared to New York mayor Zohran Mamdani's. Her team actually exchanged ideas with Mamdani's campaign. Media have called her "Berlin's Mamdani."
Housing drove the vote.
85% of Berliners rent and advertised rents have doubled since 2014.
Her central promise is implementing the 2021 referendum to take ~240,000 private apartments into public ownership.
Coalition talks will determine whether she actually governs — a Linke-Greens-SPD bloc or a CDU-Greens-SPD coalition are both mathematically possible.
📎 Clash Report
If she becomes governing mayor, she'd be Berlin's first Turkish-origin mayor, Germany's first female state leader with a migration background, and the first Linke politician to lead the capital.
Her campaign was compared to New York mayor Zohran Mamdani's. Her team actually exchanged ideas with Mamdani's campaign. Media have called her "Berlin's Mamdani."
Housing drove the vote.
85% of Berliners rent and advertised rents have doubled since 2014.
Her central promise is implementing the 2021 referendum to take ~240,000 private apartments into public ownership.
Coalition talks will determine whether she actually governs — a Linke-Greens-SPD bloc or a CDU-Greens-SPD coalition are both mathematically possible.
📎 Clash Report
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We must work together with Canada to secure our energy supplies and keep fuel prices under control — an extremely sensitive issue for France today.
It is obviously the situation in the Middle East that is creating this tension.
Canadian liquefied natural gas projects can contribute, are important for our Europe, and will help open new prospects between our two countries.
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Forwarded from Tabz - Live News (Tabz)
Czech intelligence chief Michal Koudelka said such scenarios were possible, while Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk said intelligence suggested Moscow could seek to demonstrate that NATO’s Article 5 is “more theoretical than practical.” French President Emmanuel Macron described the warnings as “sound and well-documented.”
Baltic intelligence officials are more cautious, saying they see no indications of an imminent Russian attack, partly because Moscow remains heavily committed in Ukraine. However, they see preparations for potentially more decisive action and expect Russian sabotage to intensify, with operations increasingly targeting railways, Ukraine-related infrastructure, and European defense companies.
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Watch (Deigo)
#BREAKING
⚡️ 🇺🇸 – A man was just shot and injured by ICE (Immigration and Customs Enforcement) in north Austin, Texas.
Agents opened fire against a man that, per reports, tried to driven away from an ICE SUV blocking the road; it remains unknown if the man was the target of an operation.
He is reportedly in a hospital and "alert", with no word on his condition.
@GeoPWatch
Agents opened fire against a man that, per reports, tried to driven away from an ICE SUV blocking the road; it remains unknown if the man was the target of an operation.
He is reportedly in a hospital and "alert", with no word on his condition.
@GeoPWatch
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Watch (Deigo)
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The city's governor, Kirk Watson (Dem), said:
"A person being shot on the streets of Austin by someone purporting to be law enforcement, particularly when it’s ICE, is something that causes me to be unhappy and angry. [...] While I’m unhappy and I’m angry about it, I’m not surprised at all.”
@GeoPWatch
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📝 🇪🇹 🇸🇩 Woofers on X: We are on course for a terrible war in Ethiopia with dramatic regional consequences and I feel like it’s hardly getting any attention. The Tigray War saw the TPLF cut off from the outside world, smashed between Eritrea and the Ethiopian federal government. Now, the relationship has changed and the TPLF has friends in Asmara. The Sudanese Armed Forces are also eager to lend support, part of a longstanding relationship only strengthened by Ethiopia’s blatant support for the RSF.
Should the alliance between the TPLF, Fano and OLA hold together and should they be able to coordinate their actions (both in doubt long term) then there is a serious possibility that Addis Ababa loses control over vast portions of the country. If the ONLF can muster forces, it can throw the Somali region into disarray.
Though the OLA’s capacity to hold ground is in question, their widespread presence across Oromia means that federal forces are stretched thin.
Should a full war be launched, it will be the most serious crisis in Ethiopia since the civil war during the Cold War period. More serious than the Tigray War of just a few years ago.
📎 Woofers
Should the alliance between the TPLF, Fano and OLA hold together and should they be able to coordinate their actions (both in doubt long term) then there is a serious possibility that Addis Ababa loses control over vast portions of the country. If the ONLF can muster forces, it can throw the Somali region into disarray.
Though the OLA’s capacity to hold ground is in question, their widespread presence across Oromia means that federal forces are stretched thin.
Should a full war be launched, it will be the most serious crisis in Ethiopia since the civil war during the Cold War period. More serious than the Tigray War of just a few years ago.
📎 Woofers
FxTwitter
Woofers (@NotWoofers)
We are on course for a terrible war in Ethiopia with dramatic regional consequences and I feel like it’s hardly getting any attention. The Tigray War saw the TPLF cut off from the outside world, smashed between Eritrea and the Ethiopian federal government.…
Forwarded from Geopolitics Watch (Deigo)
@GeoPWatch
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🇺🇸 🇸🇦 🇾🇪 Trump decided against ordering U.S. airstrikes on Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthis for now, after briefly telling the Pentagon to prepare strikes following a personal appeal from Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, according to administration officials cited by the New York Times. Most of Trump’s inner circle reportedly opposed opening another front in the war.
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/20/us/politics/trump-yemen-houthis-red-sea-iran.html
https://archive.ph/nMIsQ
📎 Faytuks Network
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/20/us/politics/trump-yemen-houthis-red-sea-iran.html
https://archive.ph/nMIsQ
📎 Faytuks Network
Nytimes
Trump Gets Caught in a Dilemma Over a Saudi Plea for Military Help
The president vacillated but decided on Sunday not to join Saudi Arabia, for now, in joint strikes against the Houthis in Yemen. But he also needs the kingdom’s cooperation in his war against Iran.
Forwarded from Patriot Front Sightings
@PatriotFrontSightings »
🇺🇸 Thomas Rousseau is appearing on Warpaint podcast by Kim Coulter tonight.
▶️ Watch the podcast here.
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