Everyone always talks about how chaotic the frontline is, and what is called the "death of the conventional frontline" in Ukraine, but I thought I should make a visualisation to show you all what that might actually look like.

This is a map showing my view of where each side may hypothetically be holding a position in the Kostyantynivka direction, to give you an idea of how deep this "infiltration zone" goes.

When someone asks "why cant you just map all of Kostyantynivka as under Russian control if the Ukrainian positions there aren't militarily significant anymore", this is what I mean when I say Ukraine still holds too large of a presence. Obviously this map isn't designed to show exact areas where positions are held, but it's based on my interpretation of what the situation could theoretically look like.

I also think this visualisation gives a good idea of the criteria I have for what should be considered a "control zone, a "grey-zone", and an "infiltration zone".

Zelensky claims that the U.S. failed to warn Ukraine of the ballistic missile attack last night.

This doesn't appear to be true.

Not only did Ukraine receive advance warning of the attack up to 24 hours beforehand, but Ukrainian SBU-affiliated channels reported that western satellites alerted Ukraine of the ballistic threat when launcher activity was detected in Bryansk Oblast, noting that the warnings "are coming in time".

🇫🇷⚡️- Emmanuel Macron refused the Interior Minister's resignation. Local and regional authorities are voicing increasingly angry demands towards the state, which abandoned them, as the French nation enters a deeper crisis.

🇫🇷⚡️- BREAKING: The mayor of Limoges has indicated the fire that ravaged the city hall was orchestrated and not spontaneous. Fire accelerants were discovered in the ruins, accelerants that were present before the building was besieged.

🇫🇷⚡️- French Prime Minister Lecornu confirms the far-left is behind most of the riots.

🇫🇷⚡️- BREAKING: Partial curfews are planned in France, with local prefects deciding when, where and how long they will last.

🇫🇷⚡️- "A group of far-left groups are trying to derail the presidential elections in April by ramping up instability until then. This was confirmed to us [the government] by intelligence services this morning." - French Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu.

🇫🇷⚡️- "While the physical damage and violences were immense, no one got killed. It is a miracle and it shows that law enforcement is doing an excellent job [despite the context]." - French Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu.

🇫🇷⚡️- The state of emergency is not ruled out by the French government, which still wants to explore lighter options before resorting to "this heavy tool".

Ukraine's energy minister reports that Russia attacked energy facilities across Kyiv, Vinnytsia, Volyn, Kirovohrad, Mykolaiv, Zhytomyr, Khmelnytskyi, Kharkiv, Ternopil, Odesa, and Rivne Oblasts, overnight.

Bad weather has also left 140 settlements across Kyiv, Mykolaiv, and Odesa Oblasts without power. New emergency power outages have been implemented in some regions due to the recent attacks.

— 🇮🇷/🇪🇬/🇾🇪/🇸🇦 NEW: Iran’s Foreign Minister, Abbas Araqchi, held a phone call with his Egyptian counterpart Badr Abdelatty

Iran advised Egypt not to send troops to Yemen or assisst Saudi Arabia with airstrikes against Ansarallah, warning that it could lead to unwanted consequences.

@Middle_East_Spectator