Market Pulse | Aug 29
The Fed Just Changed the Game
Jackson Hole is over.
Now comes the repricing.
π¦ RATE CUT BETS TAKE A HIT
π΅ THE DOLLAR STRIKES BACK
π₯ GOLD FEELS THE PRESSURE
π TECH GIVES BACK SOME GAINS
βΏ CRYPTO FEELS IT TOO
Yesterday, the Fed spoke.
Today, markets are repricing.
The Fed Just Changed the Game
Jackson Hole is over.
Now comes the repricing.
π¦ RATE CUT BETS TAKE A HIT
Kevin Warshβs hawkish tone pushed September rate-hike expectations sharply higher. Markets are now pricing in a very different Fed path.
π΅ THE DOLLAR STRIKES BACK
A more hawkish Fed means higher-for-longer rates could be back in focus, giving the dollar fresh support.
π₯ GOLD FEELS THE PRESSURE
Gold dropped sharply as rising rate expectations made non-yielding assets less attractive.
π TECH GIVES BACK SOME GAINS
The Nvidia-fueled rally ran into higher yields, putting pressure back on tech stocks and broader risk appetite.
βΏ CRYPTO FEELS IT TOO
Bitcoin is facing the same macro headwind. When liquidity expectations change, crypto doesn't get to ignore the memo.
Yesterday, the Fed spoke.
Today, markets are repricing.
β€1
π€ Have a Great Week Ahead!
September is starting with a lot on the calendar. π
πΊπΈ US Jobs Report
Fridayβs NFP could reshape September rate expectations.
π JOLTS & ISM
The first clues on whether the US economy is cooling or holding up.
π€ AI Earnings
Broadcom, Dell & others step into the spotlight after Nvidiaβs big week.
π Global Data
China PMI and Eurozone inflation add more pieces to the macro puzzle.
βΏ Crypto
With rates back in focus, liquidity could matter more than ever.
Busy week. Big signals.
Letβs see what September brings.
Have a great week ahead! π’
September is starting with a lot on the calendar. π
πΊπΈ US Jobs Report
Fridayβs NFP could reshape September rate expectations.
π JOLTS & ISM
The first clues on whether the US economy is cooling or holding up.
π€ AI Earnings
Broadcom, Dell & others step into the spotlight after Nvidiaβs big week.
π Global Data
China PMI and Eurozone inflation add more pieces to the macro puzzle.
βΏ Crypto
With rates back in focus, liquidity could matter more than ever.
Busy week. Big signals.
Letβs see what September brings.
Have a great week ahead! π’
β€2π1
Market Pulse | Sep 1
Oil Is Back in the Driverβs Seat
September is starting with a familiar problem:
inflation.
π’ OIL REIGNITES INFLATION FEARS
π¦ THE FED HAS A NEW PROBLEM
π΅ BONDS ARE FEELING IT
π SEPTEMBER DATA STARTS NOW
βΏ CRYPTO CANβT IGNORE MACRO
Oil is rising.
Yields are rising.
And September has just started.
Oil Is Back in the Driverβs Seat
September is starting with a familiar problem:
inflation.
π’ OIL REIGNITES INFLATION FEARS
Renewed tensions between the U.S. and Iran pushed crude higher again, putting fresh pressure on inflation expectations.
π¦ THE FED HAS A NEW PROBLEM
After Warshβs hawkish tone last week, higher oil prices could make the path toward easier monetary policy even harder.
π΅ BONDS ARE FEELING IT
Treasury yields are moving higher as markets reassess where rates could be heading. That can quickly spill over into other risk assets.
π SEPTEMBER DATA STARTS NOW
Chinaβs manufacturing data, U.S. ISM and Eurozone inflation are all on todayβs radar, giving markets the first clues about the month ahead.
βΏ CRYPTO CANβT IGNORE MACRO
Bitcoin enters September facing the same equation as other risk assets: sticky inflation, tighter liquidity and a Fed that may have less room to ease.
Oil is rising.
Yields are rising.
And September has just started.
β€1π1
Market Pulse | Sep 2
The Bond Market Is Calling the Shots
September just got more complicated.
π΅ YIELDS ARE BREAKING HIGHER
π’ OIL IS ADDING FUEL
π¦ RATE HIKE ODDS ARE RISING
π RISK ASSETS FEEL THE PRESSURE
π₯ EVEN GOLD ISN'T IMMUNE
βΏ CRYPTO IS IN THE SAME BOAT
The Bond Market Is Calling the Shots
September just got more complicated.
π΅ YIELDS ARE BREAKING HIGHER
The U.S. 10-year yield is approaching 4.81%, while global bond yields are climbing sharply. Markets are demanding more compensation for inflation and fiscal risk
π’ OIL IS ADDING FUEL
Brent has pushed above $93 as U.S.-Iran tensions escalate. Higher energy prices are making the inflation problem harder to ignore
π¦ RATE HIKE ODDS ARE RISING
Markets are now pricing roughly a 68% chance of a September Fed hike. Even weaker economic data hasn't been enough to reverse the shift
π RISK ASSETS FEEL THE PRESSURE
Asian equities dropped sharply, while U.S. stocks ended Tuesday lower as rising yields weighed on valuations
π₯ EVEN GOLD ISN'T IMMUNE
Gold has fallen as higher yields and a stronger dollar reduce the appeal of non-yielding assets
βΏ CRYPTO IS IN THE SAME BOAT
Bitcoin and Ether are also feeling the broader risk-off mood. When liquidity tightens, crypto rarely gets a free pass.
π4
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Market Pulse | Sep 3
Markets Catch a Breather
After a rough start to September, markets are finding some relief.
But the big macro questions remain.
π’ OIL FINALLY EASES
π¦ THE FED IS STILL IN FOCUS
π RISK ASSETS REBOUND
βΏ CRYPTO IS WATCHING MACRO
π FRIDAY IS THE REAL TEST
Oil is cooling.
Yields are easing.
And Friday could change everything.
Markets Catch a Breather
After a rough start to September, markets are finding some relief.
But the big macro questions remain.
π’ OIL FINALLY EASES
Brent slipped toward $95 as hopes of a shorter U.S.-Iran conflict cooled the rally.
Still, energy remains the biggest inflation risk.
π¦ THE FED IS STILL IN FOCUS
Weak private payrolls boosted rate-cut hopes, while Fed officials remain mixed.
Markets now look to Fridayβs jobs report for the next clue.
π RISK ASSETS REBOUND
U.S. stocks recovered yesterday as Asian markets moved higher.
Falling Treasury yields and a softer dollar are giving risk assets some breathing room.
βΏ CRYPTO IS WATCHING MACRO
Bitcoin is holding around $77Kβ$78K as investors await the next catalyst.
Strong August ETF inflows show institutional demand remains solid, but September could test it.
π FRIDAY IS THE REAL TEST
The jobs report could decide between rate cuts or higher-for-longer.
Oil is cooling.
Yields are easing.
And Friday could change everything.
π₯4
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β Remaining $CET: 2.41 B $CET (24.1%~)
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