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🖐 Macro Watch | Dec 15 – 21, 2025

A packed macro week dominated by U.S. labor data, inflation prints, and multiple central bank decisions across the U.K., Eurozone, and Japan, a crucial setup for year-end positioning and rate expectations.

Here are the most crypto-relevant macro events to watch this week:

🗓 Tuesday, December 16

🇺🇸 Average Hourly Earnings (MoM - Nov) – 🕕 13:30
  💡 Previous: 0.2%
🇺🇸 Core Retail Sales (MoM - Oct) – 🕕 13:30
  💡 Consensus: 0.3% | Previous: 0.3%
🇺🇸 Retail Sales (MoM - Oct) – 🕕 13:30
  💡 Consensus: 0.2% | Previous: 0.2%
🇺🇸 Nonfarm Payrolls (Nov) – 🕕 13:30
  💡 Previous: 119K
🇺🇸 Unemployment Rate (Nov) – 🕕 13:30
  💡 Consensus: 4.4% | Previous: 4.4%
🇺🇸 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Dec) – 🕕 14:45
  💡 Previous: 52.2
🇺🇸 S&P Global Services PMI (Dec) – 🕕 14:45
  💡 Previous: 54.1

🗓 Wednesday, December 17

🇬🇧 UK CPI (YoY - Nov) – 🕕 07:00
  💡 Previous: 3.6%
🇪🇺 Eurozone CPI (YoY - Nov) – 🕕 10:00
  💡 Consensus: 2.2% | Previous: 2.2%
🇺🇸 Crude Oil Inventories – 🕕 15:30
  💡 Previous: -1.812M

🗓 Thursday, December 18

🇬🇧 BoE Interest Rate Decision (Dec) – 🕕 12:00
  💡 Consensus: 3.75% | Previous: 4.00%
🇪🇺 ECB Deposit Facility Rate (Dec) – 🕕 13:15
  💡 Consensus: 2.00% | Previous: 2.00%
🇪🇺 ECB Interest Rate Decision (Dec) – 🕕 13:15
  💡 Consensus: 2.15% | Previous: 2.15%
🇺🇸 Core CPI (MoM - Nov) – 🕕 13:30
  💡 Previous: 0.2%
🇺🇸 CPI (MoM - Nov) – 🕕 13:30
  💡 Previous: 0.3%
🇺🇸 CPI (YoY - Nov) – 🕕 13:30
  💡 Previous: 3.0%
🇺🇸 Initial Jobless Claims – 🕕 13:30
  💡 Previous: 236K
🇺🇸 Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Dec) – 🕕 13:30
  💡 Previous: -1.7
🇪🇺 ECB Press Conference – 🕕 13:45

🗓 Friday, December 19

🇺🇸 Core PCE Price Index (MoM - Oct) – 🕕 13:30
  💡 Previous: 0.2%
🇺🇸 Core PCE Price Index (YoY - Oct) – 🕕 13:30
  💡 Previous: 2.8%
🇺🇸 Existing Home Sales (Nov) – 🕕 15:00
  💡 Previous: 4.10M

🤔 Why it matters:
U.S. data will set the tone with a full batch of labor, consumption, CPI, and Core PCE releases — all critical inputs for the Fed’s inflation outlook.
Meanwhile, rate decisions from the BoE, ECB, and BoJ will highlight policy divergence across major economies as markets approach year-end.

👀 Thursday’s U.S. CPI and Friday’s Core PCE are the week’s top volatility triggers.

🔔 Mark your calendars. Markets are watching every word.

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