#STRK
0.037 – 0.040 major demand and invalidation zone
0.050 – 0.055 local breakout and acceptance area
0.176 first major resistance target
0.278 higher timeframe resistance
0.808 macro expansion zone if full trend reversal develops
As long as price holds above recent demand and continues pressing into channel resistance, probability favors a breakout attempt. A strong close above the descending structure would signal the beginning of a larger bullish transition after prolonged downside compression.
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0.037 – 0.040 major demand and invalidation zone
0.050 – 0.055 local breakout and acceptance area
0.176 first major resistance target
0.278 higher timeframe resistance
0.808 macro expansion zone if full trend reversal develops
As long as price holds above recent demand and continues pressing into channel resistance, probability favors a breakout attempt. A strong close above the descending structure would signal the beginning of a larger bullish transition after prolonged downside compression.
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Japan's inflation just dropped to 1.5%, below the expected 2.1%, hitting it's lowest level since March 2022.
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Japan’s inflation rate has dropped to 1.5%, coming in below the expected 2.1% and marking its lowest level since March 2022.
The softer CPI print may ease pressure on the Bank of Japan, which has been navigating a delicate balance between policy normalization and supporting domestic growth.
Analysts say the decline in inflation could influence rate expectations and currency movements, with implications for global markets as Japan remains a key player in bond yields, liquidity flows, and macro positioning.
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GET READY FOR A VOLATILE FRIDAY
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Major macro catalysts are lining up in the United States, and markets should expect sharp moves across stocks, bonds, and crypto.
🔥 Q4 GDP
Growth strength or slowdown will directly impact rate expectations.
🔥 Core PCE Inflation
The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. A hot print could pressure risk assets.
🔥 Manufacturing PMI
Signals economic momentum and business activity.
🔥 New Home Sales
Key indicator for housing market health.
⚖️ Supreme Court Tariff Ruling
A potential decision involving Trump era tariffs could carry massive fiscal implications.
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#JUP
0.10 – 0.11 major demand and invalidation zone
0.19 – 0.23 mid-range reaction area
0.32 – 0.35 channel breakout confirmation zone
0.49 next higher timeframe resistance
1.25 macro expansion target if full trend reversal develops
probability favors a breakout attempt. A strong close above the descending structure would mark the beginning of a larger bullish transition after a prolonged downtrend.
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0.10 – 0.11 major demand and invalidation zone
0.19 – 0.23 mid-range reaction area
0.32 – 0.35 channel breakout confirmation zone
0.49 next higher timeframe resistance
1.25 macro expansion target if full trend reversal develops
probability favors a breakout attempt. A strong close above the descending structure would mark the beginning of a larger bullish transition after a prolonged downtrend.
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❤1
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🇺🇸 Supreme Court has ruled that President Trump's tariffs are illegal in a 6-3 decision, potentially costing the US over $150 billion in refunds. 👀
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#ONDO
0.23 – 0.26 breakout and reclaim zone
0.35 – 0.45 mid-range consolidation area
0.84 first major upside target
1.64 higher timeframe resistance
As long as price remains above the reclaimed descending channel, the bias favors bullish continuation. This is a classic breakdown reversal, where reclaiming structure defines the beginning of a larger expansion phase.
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0.23 – 0.26 breakout and reclaim zone
0.35 – 0.45 mid-range consolidation area
0.84 first major upside target
1.64 higher timeframe resistance
As long as price remains above the reclaimed descending channel, the bias favors bullish continuation. This is a classic breakdown reversal, where reclaiming structure defines the beginning of a larger expansion phase.
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#GAS
1.25 – 1.40 strong demand zone
1.80 – 2.00 mid reaction area
2.30 – 2.80 breakout confirmation zone
4.23 first major expansion target
8.37 higher timeframe resistance
The structure has been bearish for a long time. A confirmed breakout above channel resistance would be the first real sign of trend reversal, not just a bounce.
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1.25 – 1.40 strong demand zone
1.80 – 2.00 mid reaction area
2.30 – 2.80 breakout confirmation zone
4.23 first major expansion target
8.37 higher timeframe resistance
The structure has been bearish for a long time. A confirmed breakout above channel resistance would be the first real sign of trend reversal, not just a bounce.
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BITCOIN ETF OUTFLOWS REACH -$8.3 BILLION FROM ATH, WEAKEST YEAR SINCE LAUNCH
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Spot Bitcoin ETFs are now showing -$8.3 billion in outflows from their all time high, marking the weakest year on record since the launch of Bitcoin ETFs.
The sustained withdrawals reflect cooling institutional momentum, profit taking after prior rallies, and broader macro uncertainty impacting risk assets. ETF flows have become a key barometer for institutional sentiment in the crypto market.
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MACRO NEXT WEEK
Monday:
🇪🇺 ECB Lagarde Speech
Tuesday:
🇺🇸 Multiple Fed Speeches
🇺🇸 ADP Employment Change
🇺🇸 Consumer Confidence Data
🇺🇸 M2 Money Supply Update
Wednesday:
🇪🇺 EU CPI & Core CPI
🇺🇸 Crude Oil Inventories
Thursday:
🇺🇸 Initial Jobless Clams
Friday:
🇺🇸 US PPI & Core PPI
🥳 @Coach
Monday:
🇪🇺 ECB Lagarde Speech
Tuesday:
🇺🇸 Multiple Fed Speeches
🇺🇸 ADP Employment Change
🇺🇸 Consumer Confidence Data
🇺🇸 M2 Money Supply Update
Wednesday:
🇪🇺 EU CPI & Core CPI
🇺🇸 Crude Oil Inventories
Thursday:
🇺🇸 Initial Jobless Clams
Friday:
🇺🇸 US PPI & Core PPI
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Iranian Supreme Leader Khamenei prepares succession plans as Tehran braces for possible US military action.
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Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei is reportedly preparing succession planning measures as Tehran braces for potential escalation with the United States.
The move comes amid heightened military posturing and diplomatic strain between Washington and Tehran, with regional tensions remaining elevated. While no official confirmation of imminent conflict has been issued, precautionary planning signals the seriousness of the current geopolitical environment.
Analysts say succession discussions in Iran are highly sensitive and carry major regional implications. Any instability at the leadership level could significantly impact Middle East geopolitics, energy markets, and broader global risk sentiment.
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U.S. INTELLIGENCE ASSISTED MEXICO IN OPERATION AGAINST CJNG LEADER “EL MENCHO”
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U.S. intelligence agencies reportedly provided support that helped Mexican forces locate and eliminate the leader of the Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG), known as Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes, alias “El Mencho.”
The joint intelligence effort highlights deep security cooperation between the United States and Mexico in combating organized crime and cross border drug trafficking networks.
Analysts say the operation marks a significant development in regional security dynamics, potentially reshaping cartel power structures while reinforcing U.S.–Mexico coordination on counter narcotics and intelligence sharing.
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🇲🇽 Mexican forces deploy UH-60 Black Hawk helicopter armed with minigun against CJNG positions near Ecoterra-La Desembocada road.
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U.S. STRIKE ON IRAN COULD STILL BE NEAR—DIPLOMACY AND BUILDUP COLLIDE
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Reports continue to show heightened tension between the United States and Iran, with a major military strike still considered a possibility if talks fail. A former CIA officer has claimed that policymakers may be preparing for imminent action, though there’s no official confirmation.
At the same time, diplomatic channels remain active. U.S. and Iranian representatives are set to hold nuclear talks in Geneva, with optimism expressed by mediators about progress—even as each side maintains firm positions that could derail an agreement.
Regional tensions are reflected in warnings from global leaders against a strike, with officials like Russia’s foreign minister cautioning the United States about military action, arguing it could exacerbate conflict.
Meanwhile, Washington has deployed one of its largest military presences to the Middle East in years, including advanced fighter jets and warships, which some analysts say could support operations if ordered—but deployment alone does not confirm an imminent strike.
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