ALL EYES ON G7: OIL RESERVE DECISION EXPECTED IN HOURS.

G7 energy ministers will hold a virtual meeting at 12:45 PM GMT today to decide whether to release emergency oil reserves.

Officials are weighing a huge 300M–400M barrel release to calm global markets.

The stakes are massive: oil just collapsed ~30%, crashing from nearly $120 to ~$83, completely erasing this week’s war-driven surge.

This comes as traders react to G7 reserve talks, potential changes to Russian oil sanctions, and Trump suggesting the Iran war could end soon.

If reserves are released: oil could drop further, easing gas prices and inflation worldwide.

If not: supply fears could return fast and oil could spike again.

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Blackrock deposited 1,133.78 $BTC worth $80.24M and 27,189 $ETH ($56.1M) into #Coinbase and likely to deposit more

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U.S. Treasury projected to buy back $15 Billion of their own debt today, the LARGEST Treasury buyback in history

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#NMR

• 6.5 – 7.0 major demand and invalidation zone
• 8.0 – 9.0 breakout retest area
• 13.0 – 15.0 mid resistance cluster
• 22.0 first major upside target
• 54.0 higher timeframe expansion level

As long as price remains above the reclaimed channel and continues forming higher lows, the bias favors bullish continuation. Breakouts from long descending channels often lead to strong expansion phases once resistance is cleared.

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MACRO REMINDER:

🇺🇸 CPI data today.
🇺🇸 Initial Jobless Claims on Thursday.
🇺🇸 US GDP on Friday.

Prepare for volatility!

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This whale just bought 44,888 ETH worth nearly $93 million.

Whales are loading up again.

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US CPI INFLATION Y/Y OVER THE LAST 12 MONTHS:

•FEB. 2025: +2.8%
•MARCH: +2.4%
•APRIL: +2.3%
•MAY: +2.4%
•JUNE: +2.7%
•JULY: +2.7%
•AUG.: +2.9%
•SEPT.: +3.0%
•NOV.: +2.7%
•DEC.: +2.7%
•JAN. 2026: +2.4%
•FEB.: +2.4%

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#COMP

• 14 – 16 major demand and invalidation zone
• 20 – 24 breakout retest area
• 35 – 40 mid resistance cluster
• 63 first major upside target
• 141 higher timeframe resistance

As long as price remains above the reclaimed channel and continues forming higher lows on pullbacks, the bias favors bullish continuation. Breakouts from long descending structures often lead to strong expansion once resistance is cleared.

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Stablecoin market cap reaches a new all-time high of $312B.

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Iran gives Indian oil tankers permission to pass through the Strait of Hormuz.

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POLAND NOW HOLDS MORE GOLD THAN THE EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK

Poland has reportedly accumulated more gold reserves than the European Central Bank, highlighting a growing trend of sovereign gold accumulation.

Central banks worldwide have been increasing gold holdings as a strategic reserve asset amid geopolitical tensions, inflation concerns, and shifting global monetary dynamics.

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ICYMI

• U.S. preparing to release 172M barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve
• Trump looking at Cold War-era authorities to expand oil production off the California coast
• WSJ: Iran exporting more oil through Hormuz than before the war
• U.S. inflation sitting around 2.4%
• Goldman Sachs ($3.5T AUM): equities could see an “extreme” rally scenario
• Trump preparing new Section 301 trade investigations that could trigger tariffs
• SEC & CFTC sign agreement to coordinate crypto regulation
• Ripple buying back $750M in shares at a $50B valuation (Bloomberg)
• FDIC Chair: stablecoins under the GENIUS Act will not qualify for deposit insurance
• Binance suing the Wall Street Journal for defamation
• U.S. Treasury expected to buy back $4B of its own debt starting March 12

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$820,000,000,000 wiped out from the US stock market in the first two hours of trading today.

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The Iran war is now officially causing the largest disruption to oil supplies in history, per FT.

Current oil market situation:

1. Gulf producers have cut oil production by at least 10mn barrels a day
2. The Iran war has driven production to its lowest level in four years, per the IEA
3. The IEA expects world output to fall by 8mn b/d in March as a result
4. This represents a decline of over 7% from the 107 million b/d produced in February

Iran is now requiring "reparations" for a ceasefire deal.

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#BNT

• 0.24 – 0.27 major demand and invalidation zone
• 0.30 – 0.33 breakout retest area
• 0.55 – 0.60 mid resistance cluster
• 0.95 first major upside target
• 1.60 – 2.00 higher timeframe resistance zone

As long as price remains above the reclaimed channel and continues forming higher lows, the bias favors bullish continuation. Breakouts from long descending channels often trigger strong expansion phases once resistance is cleared.

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Brent crude has closed above $100 per barrel for the first time since August 2022.

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President Trump says Powell should be dropping interest rates immediately.

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US MACRO DATA RELEASED!

🇺🇸 GDP (Q4), 0.7% Vs. 1.4% Est. (prev. 4.4%)
🇺🇸 PCE (Jan), 2.8% Vs. 2.9% Est. (prev. 2.9%)
🇺🇸 Core PCE, 3.1% vs. 3.1% Est. (prev. 3.0%)

Growth came in much weaker than expected, while inflation cooled slightly.

That combination could bring Fed rate cuts back into focus again, as softer growth reduces the need for restrictive policy.

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The U.S. Treasury is preparing to formally approve the sale of Russian crude oil, effectively allowing transactions that bypass existing sanctions.

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Dubai’s real estate market just took a brutal hit.

The Dubai Real Estate Index has dropped 33%.

Over $270 billion in value wiped out.

And it all happened in just 10 days

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