#BTC needs a daily close above 50D MA now.

$80K has been held, and Bitcoin has already reclaimed the 50D EMA.

A close above $82K will give more control to buyers and will even be good for alts.

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Bitcoin is heading for its second consecutive red October.

The last time this occurred was in 2012, when October closed -11.08% and the following November finished +13.53%. Current October performance stands at approximately -2.6%.

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#BTC briefly topped $81,300 after the Fed’s hold, peaking at $81,857, then fell to $79,709 after Alphabet’s revenue miss.

Meanwhile, open interest rose to 675k BTC even as price fell.

A break of the $79,250 low with leverage building would raise the risk of a deeper flush.

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Binance Reserves Over $6.34B in Company Funds to Cover Hack Losses, Including $5B in Affected Tokens

Binance said it has reserved over $6.34 billion in company funds to cover losses from the hack, including $5 billion already held in the affected tokens. It is purchasing the remaining tokens through market and OTC channels, a process that may take longer due to limited liquidity. The reserved funds are separate from approximately $3 billion in frozen assets. Binance will publicly verify user assets through its Proof of Reserves.

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The spot gas price in Europe has exceeded $1,200 per 1,000 cubic meters for the first time since December 2022. The price of gas is rising against the backdrop of record-low gas reserves in storage facilities ahead of the upcoming winter and the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.

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North Korea-linked hacks total about $9.6B since 2019. Binance alone is $6.4B, more than the next 9 biggest hacks ever combined ($5.4B).

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🇺🇸 US stock market turned into a crypto memecoin market today.

• Intel $INTC: -31%
• Reddit $RDDT: -30%
• Roblox $RBLX: -20%
• Illumina $ILMN: -19%
• SanDisk $SNDK: -15%
• Arm $ARM: -12.7%
• Dell $DELL: -12.5%

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The Nasdaq 100 extends losses to -3.6% on the day, now on track for its biggest daily decline since June 5th.

The index has erased over -$1.3 trillion in market cap today.

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$820 Billion has been added to the US stock market today as the US and Iran move closer to a deal and ISM PMI jumps to a 3-month high.

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Bitcoin ETFs lost $202M last week, led by a $643M outflow on Friday. The week before saw $301M of inflows.

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Asian stock markets lost over $550,000,000,000 across 6 major indexes today.

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Crypto wallet revenues dropped by 60% in H1 2026, more than halving compared to the previous year

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US MIDTERM ELECTION IS TODAY!

If Republicans win → Trump gets stronger political support, potentially boosting market confidence.

If Republicans lose → Political uncertainty could increase, putting pressure on stocks and crypto.

The election results will trigger major market volatility!

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🇺🇸 SEC releases new guidance clarifying securities laws on crypto assets 👀

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NEXT 36 HOURS COULD TRIGGER A MASSIVE SHOCK ACROSS GLOBAL MARKETS

And the reason is US midterm elections.

Right now. Democrats have around a 73% chance of winning both the House and Senate.

And depending on the results, crypto, AI stocks, and oil could react very differently.

IF REPUBLICANS WIN:

• Crypto: Trump could have an easier path to passing pro-crypto laws, including the CLARITY Act, potentially triggering a rally in Bitcoin and altcoins.

• AI stocks: Fewer regulatory restrictions could benefit major AI companies and chipmakers.

• Oil: If Trump wins, he may look towards a peace deal with Iran rather than new attacks, which will bring oil prices down, easing inflation and giving room for the Fed to cut rates.

IF DEMOCRATS WIN:

• Crypto: The CLARITY Act could face further delays. All Democratic senators opposed advancing the bill in September.

• AI stocks: Democrats could push for tougher oversight, while some lawmakers have already opposed taxpayer bailouts for struggling AI companies.

• Political uncertainty: Trump has warned he could become “Mr. Veto,” potentially blocking Democratic legislation and creating months of political deadlock.

• Oil: If Trump loses, he might go more aggressive on Iran, which will put downward pressure on every market.

But there's something even more important investors need to understand.

Markets are already pricing in a Democratic victory, so most of the downside has been priced in.

But if Republicans manage a win, it could cause a massive short squeeze in all financial markets.

Also, the crypto market has always rallied in the next 12-24 months after midterms, and this time we have huge catalysts like institutional adoption, tokenization, and stablecoins.

So, a short-term volatility is possible, but in the long run, crypto prices are going way higher.

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🇺🇸 US Treasury Department to buy back up to $6 billion in longer-term debt AGAIN tomorrow 👀

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Bitcoin has gone higher 12 months after every U.S. midterm election since 2010

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US markets post massive gains across the board in their initial reaction to the US Midterm Election results:

1. S&P 500: +1.7%
2. Dow Jones: +2.4%
3. Nasdaq 100: +2.0%
4. Silver: +5.0%
5. Gold: +3.0%
6. Bitcoin: +3.0%
7. WTI Crude: -3.5%

US stocks have now added +$1.3 trillion in market cap today.

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#BTC_Update 15m

Strong buying activity registered on the lower timeframe.

A significant positive delta print appeared during the recent impulse, with aggressive bid absorption visible across multiple price levels. Short-term order flow remains supportive as long as price holds above the session value area.

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