Geopolitics Watch
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Geopolitics Watch
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Geopolitics Watch
#BREAKING
🇮🇷❌🇴🇲 - The IRGC have reported via their media outlet Sepah News, that the proposed Strait of Hormuz agreement with Oman has been “hereby postponed”, citing U.S. interference and President Trump’s threats as the reasoning for postponement.

Tehran said it “will not conclude any agreement under the shadow of threats” and claimed the Strait will not reopen while the U.S. continues its alleged “violations.” It also reiterated that any future reopening would place the waterway under Iran’s full sovereign authority, with transit fees imposed on all vessels.

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🇮🇱❌🇮🇷 - The IDF has issued an urgent evacuation warning for residents of Al-Mansouri, southern Lebanon.

The warning states that the Israeli military intends to operate against what it says are Hezbollah positions in the area, accusing the group of violating the ceasefire agreement.

Residents have been instructed to evacuate immediately and move at least 1,000 meters north of the village into open areas. The IDF also warned that anyone near Hezbollah personnel, facilities, or military equipment is putting their life at risk.

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🇮🇱❌🇮🇷 - IDF Strikes are currently ongoing in Al-Mansouri, Southern Lebanon.

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🇮🇷❌🇴🇲 - Despite President Trump’s claims that a deal is close, Reuters reports that an agreement to re-open the Strait of Hormuz is not expected anytime soon, with several major issues still unresolved.

Citing senior Iranian sources, Reuters says negotiations are continuing, but “it is too early to say that a deal with Oman has been finalized.” One source added that “the devil is in the details,” warning that “a single tweet from Trump could cause the whole thing to collapse.”

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🇾🇪❌❓ - UKMTO has just reported an attack 95 Nautical Miles southeast of Aden, Yemen.

Loud explosion was heard in close proximity to the vessel, but no damage was reported and all crew was accounted for and safe.

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🇺🇸❌🇲🇽💊 – The United States is offering over $100 million dollars for information on the new leaders of the Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG).

▶️ The change of leadership came after an operation on February 22 which killed 'El Mencho', the cartel's leader. His stepson, Juan Carlos Valencia González 'El Pelón', was identified by U.S. and Mexican authorities as his successor.

▶️ The reward for information which leads to the arrest of 'El Pelón' is $25 million dollars. Between $2 and $15 million are offered for information on the whereabouts of other cartel leaders.

▶️ 'El Pelón' was also identified as the DEA's "number one priority". The CJNG has grown to become the largest and most dangerous cartel in Mexico, even absorbing parts of the Sinaloa Cartel into its own structure.

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🇮🇷❌🇴🇲 - Iran’s Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi says any agreement with Oman would not mean Tehran will implement Article 5 of the Islamabad memorandum.

Article 5 reportedly requires Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping free of charge for 60 days.

The statement contradicts recent reports that a potential Oman-Iran deal would include a 60 day period of free commercial transit through the Strait of Hormuz.

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🇮🇷❌🇴🇲 - Iran’s Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi says any agreement with Oman would not mean Tehran will implement Article 5 of the Islamabad memorandum. Article 5 reportedly requires Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping free…
🇮🇷❌🇴🇲 - Iran’s Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi says the proposed new shipping route through the Strait of Hormuz is temporary, but could remain in effect for 2 to 4 months or longer.

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🇪🇸❌💊 – Spanish authorities seized two and a half tons of methamphetamine and arrested 13 people connected to a drug trafficking operation in Cataluña.

▶️ Seven of the arrested are Mexican nationals, and both the group and the drug shipment appear to be linked to the Mexican CJNG cartel.

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🇾🇪❌❓ - UKMTO has just reported an attack 95 Nautical Miles southeast of Aden, Yemen. Loud explosion was heard in close proximity to the vessel, but no damage was reported and all crew was accounted for and safe. @GeoPWatch
🇾🇪❌🇸🇦 – The Houthis claim to have struck the Saudi oil tanker 'Daisy', achieving a direct hit and making it turn back.

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🇮🇷❌🇴🇲 - AP reports that Iranian and Omani negotiators have finalized a draft agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, however they are awaiting the final sign-off from Iran's supreme leader.

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🇮🇷❌🇴🇲 - AP reports that Iranian and Omani negotiators have finalized a draft agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, however they are awaiting the final sign-off from Iran's supreme leader. @GeoPWatch
🇮🇷❌🇴🇲 - Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian says interactions with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei are "very complicated" at the moment.

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🇮🇷❌🇺🇸🇴🇲 – Even despite an agreement being reached with Oman without U.S. intervention, the implementation would still be contingent on the U.S. fulfilling other Iranian demands, including:

• Lifting the naval blockade.
• Removing export restrictions
• Releasing the frozen funds as agreed in Islamabad.

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🇮🇷❌🇺🇸 - According to Reuters, Iran has warned gulf countries that any new U.S. attacks on Iran will lead to Iran retaliating and targeting crucial energy infrastructure throughout the region.

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🇮🇷❌🇺🇸 - According to Reuters, Iran has warned gulf countries that any new U.S. attacks on Iran will lead to Iran retaliating and targeting crucial energy infrastructure throughout the region. @GeoPWatch
🇮🇷❌🇺🇸 - Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi has urged Gulf allies of the U.S. to use their influence with President Trump to prevent renewed strikes on Iran.

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🇮🇱❗️ - Reportedly, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Israel Katz are reportedly holding a high-level security meeting following the deadly incident in southern Lebanon earlier today, where two IDF soldiers were killed and seven others wounded after their unit was reportedly struck by a Hezbollah-planted explosive device during operations.

The military has reportedly requested approval for a “sensitive operation” requiring authorization at the political level.

If accurate, this suggests today’s strikes against Hezbollah may have been only the initial phase of Israel’s response.

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🇮🇱❗️ - Reportedly, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Israel Katz are reportedly holding a high-level security meeting following the deadly incident in southern Lebanon earlier today, where two IDF soldiers were killed and seven…
🇮🇱❌🇱🇧 - According to a Lebanese diplomatic source to Al Arabiya, the Rome negotiations between Israel and Lebanon have reportedly been suspended.

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🇪🇬🇵🇰🇸🇦🇹🇷 - The Foreign Ministers of Egypt, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and Turkey met in Amman today, in the fifth meeting of the forum.

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🇷🇺❌🇺🇦 - Insane footage can be seen here of the Russian BM launches on Kyiv last night.

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⚡️🇺🇸 – President Trump's fleet of nuclear-powered Trump-class battleships is expected to cost as much as $275 billion dollars throughout the next 30 years, according to a Congressional Budget Office estimate cited by a Bloomberg correspondent.

▶️ The first battleship would cost around $23 billion dollars, the most expensive U.S. warship ever, with the following battleships of the fleet carrying a price tag of $18 billion each.

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