Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Saudi Foreign Ministry:
We hold Iran responsible for the consequences of continuing the treacherous attacks.


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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท โ€” Pakistan's foreign ministry announced the signing of the joint defense agreement with Turkey and Saudi Arabia.

โžก๏ธThe defense agreement stipulates that any attack against one of the three countries is considered an attack against all of them.

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๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฌ- CNN turkey question to Turkeyโ€™s Vice President Cevdet Yฤฑlmaz:
For example, could Egypt potentially join the new defense agreement?

Vice President Cevdet Yฤฑlmaz responds:
Why not? Egypt is, of course, a very valuable country and an important power โ€” militarily, geographically, and in terms of population. Therefore, in the coming period, there may be new participants joining this structure.
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๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช- Greece is evaluating the deployment of a pair of AH-64D Apache attack helicopters to the United Arab Emirates to support counter-drone operations, a measure based on a bilateral defense agreement established in 2020.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโ€ผ๏ธ- The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has boarded and seized a vessel.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Iranโ€™s Supreme National Security Council Secretary Mohammad-Bagher Zolghadr says the Strait of Hormuz will remain closed unless the United States:

โ€ข Ends military threats and attacks against Iran
โ€ข Withdraws U.S. forces operating near Iran
โ€ข Lifts sanctions
โ€ข Releases frozen Iranian assets
โ€ข Pays compensation for war-related damage

The statement reinforces Tehranโ€™s position that any reopening of the strait depends on broader political concessions from Washington, despite ongoing indirect negotiations over maritime access.


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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง โ€“ The IDF struck Mansouri, southern Lebanon, with three artillery shells a few moments ago.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€“ Todd Blanche was confirmed by the Senate to be Attorney General in a narrow 50-49 vote, following weeks of political turmoil.

โ–ถ๏ธ The confirmation took so long because of bipartisan concerns on Blanche's independence, since he helped establish a tax-immunity agreement for Trump and his sons, and on his handling of Epstein-related documents, one of the things that caused his predecessor's downfall.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช โ€” Syrian Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Expatriates:
Syria condemns the Iranian attack that targeted an oil tanker belonging to the Emirati company ADNOC while it was passing through the Strait of Hormuz.


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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - President Zelenskyy:
Putin is preparing to close the borders of the Russian Federation and declare mass mobilization.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€“ The Israeli Channel 12 claims that "contrary to statements, security officials have been discussing in recent days the possibility of limited IDF withdrawals within the Gaza Strip, and the deployment of multinational forces in their place."

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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆโ‰๏ธ- Unverified reports of an explosion in Jubail, Saudi Arabia.
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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆโ‰๏ธ- Unverified reports of an explosion in Jubail, Saudi Arabia.
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ›ฐ- NASA FIRMS satellite imagery indicates an incident affecting a natural gas facility in Jubail, Saudi Arabia. However, the current response should not be regarded with undue concern, as NASA FIRMS frequently identifies such thermal signatures as routine industrial operations rather than anomalies.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโ‰๏ธ- Reports of intense fighter jet activity over Tehran

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โ€” ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Iranโ€™s Supreme National Security Council:

โ€˜Until America corrects its behavior, the Strait of Hormuz will not be opened.

Correcting behavior means:

1. Never threaten Iran with any language nor insult the sanctities of this nation.

2. End the war and aggression against Iran and its allies in Lebanon, Palestine, Yemen, and Iraq permanently.

3. Lift the naval blockade and withdraw U.S. naval and air forces from the area surrounding Iran.

4. Pay the damages for the two aggressive wars imposed against Iran.

5. Lift the cruel and illegal sanctions against the Iranian nation.

6. Release the frozen and stolen assets of the Iranian people unconditionally.

These are the demands of the Iranian people who have been relentlessly present in the squares and streets for 160 days.

The Supreme National Security Council will never back down; whether in war or in negotiations.โ€˜

@Middle_East_Spectator
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ›ข - The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) is still breaking new low every week, although the drawdown has decelerated.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ Ukraine was unable of downing a single Russian missile during last night's attack, with only drones and 'Banderol' loitering munitions being intercepted.

โ–ถ๏ธ None of the Iskander-M/S-400 (ballistic), Onyx (anti-ship), or Kh-31P (anti-radar) missiles were intercepted. Ukraine also admitted to direct hits in at least 22 locations, with additional damage due to falling debris in another 6.

โ–ถ๏ธ The main target of the attack was Odessa.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต - US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent postures for an intervention in the Forex market, intentionally exposing a 'To Do List' reading "Buy Japanese Yen (JPY) $5-10 bil" to journalists. This is the third time the Trump's Department of Treasury contemplatedโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต - The latest Intervention effort to save the Yen likely costs Tokyo and Washington close to $100B. The yen rebounded from the historically low level of 164 per dollar and is stabilizing at 158 per dollar.

BOJ alone spent $87B in two days, a much larger amount than the previous rounds. The US Treasury Department committed between $5B to $10B.

The intervention involved a controversial decision by the Treasury to use its Euro denominated assets instead of Dollar assets. The Euro sale raised serious alarms among the European capitals, who had not been informed in advance. The move adds to the EU's long list of grievances against the Trump administration and may increase the risk of EU going for the nuclear option to dump US assets in a future dispute.

The Dollar and the US bond market has been under severe pressure, with the 10-year yield climbing almost 80 basis points since the beginning of the war in Iran. Had Washington used the dollar instead of euro to fund the intervention, it would put further selling pressure on the bond market.

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