Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ โ€“ The UN Security Council will meet tomorrow to hold a second informal poll on who will be the next Secretary General of the organization, which is going through one of its toughest crisis in decades.

The office traditionally rotates between different regions, and this time it should go to a Latin American contender, which has shown on both leading candidates and the nationalities of contenders.

After last month's poll, Costa Rica's Rebeca Grynspan was leading among the nations in the Security Council. She was followed by Argentina's Rafael Grossi, Chile's Michelle Bachelet, Ecuador's Maria Fernanda Espinosa, Guyana's Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett, as well as two African contenders.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ - Ukrainian attack drones hit Russia's Perm Oil Refinery this morning, resulting in a fire.

Locals reported multiple explosions and pillars of smoke rising from the refinery which is one of Russiaโ€™s largest.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Iran is reportedly preparing to conduct strikes on oil terminals across Gulf nations in response to Trumpโ€™s โ€˜Economic D-Dayโ€™ sanctions. It would be an attempt at surging global energy prices by destroying Hormuz bypasses.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - A Senior Iranian Official stated that Iran is preparing to damage Trump's presidency through economic warfare, aimed at making him lose the November midterms.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ - A swarm of Ukrainian jet-powered strike drones reportedly attacked the Tavri power station in Russian-occupied Crimea tonight, with AAA fire and explosions visible near Crimeaโ€™s second largest plant.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฉ - Russia reportedly targeted the "Tabaki" border crossing point on the border with Moldova in the Odesa region.

Buildings and structures were seen damaged, and fires broke out. All forms of movement through the border is currently not possible, and traffic is being redirected to other checkpoints.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฒ โ€“ The number of ships crossing the Strait of Hormuz is still in the single digits, according to Reuters, citing Kpler data.

Only seven ships crossed the Strait on Thursday, of which four entered and three exited. Some used the Iranian route, including a large gas carrier, and there were no very large crude carriers (VLCC) anywhere to be seen.

Traffic in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait has also slowed down, with only 23 ships crossing Thursday, compared to 34 on Tuesday and Wednesday.

This is despite Trump's and Axios' claim that tens of millions of oil barrels have continued to cross the Strait into global markets daily under U.S. guidance.


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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€“ The Iranian Foreign Ministry said the U.S. sanctions against the country are "economic terrorism" and "a crime against humanity" that will not weaken the Iranian resolve in the war.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ต โ€“ The U.S. and South Korea wrapped up their annual 'Ulchi Freedom Shield' military drill six days earlier than planned after Trump ordered to scale down military excersises with South Korea, as a goodwill gesture towards the North and as reprisal for the lack of South Korean assistance in the Iran war.

North Korea has shown Trump's gesture isn't enough to bring their country back into talks, and Kim Jong Un's sister, Kim Yo Jong, even mocked the South as an American puppet following what they see as a U.S. capitulation.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ - A swarm of Ukrainian jet-powered strike drones reportedly attacked the Tavri power station in Russian-occupied Crimea tonight, with AAA fire and explosions visible near Crimeaโ€™s second largest plant. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ - Russiaโ€™s perm oil refinery is on fire.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฒ โ€“ The Myanmar military junta has intensified its push towards Dawei, burning villages and sealing off roads to make way for a Russia-backed Special Economic Zone, which would include a deep-sea port long presented as an alternative to the Strait of Malacca.

Local sources confirmed to Reuters that hundreds of junta soldiers have been deployed to secure Dawei, which the junta's leader has presented in both Thailand and Russia in efforts to gain international backing.


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#BREAKING
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ - German authorities have discovered a weapons cache in Berlin planted by Russian intelligence for potential state-backed attacks inside Germany.

A suspect linked to the case was arrested in Romania.

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#NEW
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - The IAF has received it's 2nd "KC-46A (Gideon)" Refueling aircraft from the United States out of the 6 ordered to replace the IAF's "Boeing 707" Refueling aircrafts in service.

The aircraft landed in southern Israel's
"Nevatim" airbase, where a ceremony was held.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโ€ผ๏ธ - Federal prosecutors say a woman from Albany, New York, was arrested after reportedly plotting to attack the New York State Capitol and kill state senators in the name of ISIS.

The 35 year old Jessica Bowie was arrested on the 19th of August after possessing an explosive device. Investigators report that she had sworn allegiance to ISIS, photographed the Capitol and verbally stated she planes on causing destruction to the building, murdering lawmakers and โ€˜disrupting the U.S. governmentโ€™.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Yesterday, the IAF completed the relocation of the "AH-64A (Apache)" Helicopter Fleet of the "190th" Squadron from the "Ramon" Airbase of the Negev to northern Israel's "Ramat David" Airbase.

The IDF states that this move comes in protection of the fleet from "lessons learned from [the attack on] October 7, 2023", and to "improve the availability of the fleet โ€” in the north and south".


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โ—๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Iranian President Pezeshkian's remark:

It is better that we bring the war to an end now as we are in a position of power and dignity.

The whole world acknowledges our victory and emphasizes that America has attacked our schools, hospitals and infrastructure in violation of all regulations and is hated around the world.
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โ—๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Iranian Speaker of Parliament Qalibaf released a statement regarding the peace process:

No matter how much military power we have, if the people are hungry and we have no financial circulation, economic growth, and national production, we will not endure.

As combatants, we appreciate the value of peace more than those who merely talk about it.

Someone who has fought knows the value of peace.
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