Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง โ€“ The IDF/IAF continue to strike the Ali al-Taher heights.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€“ France will provide new interceptors for Ukraine following the latest waves of Russian strikes, AFP News reports, without clarifying the amount or type of interceptors to be delivered.

While thanking the announcement by President Macron, Zelensky added: "Thank you for confirming your readiness to provide licenses for the production of missiles".

๐Ÿ“ The interceptors in question are likely to be French-Italian 'Aster 15' or 'Aster 30', used by European-made SAMP/T air defense systems, which have been donated to Ukraine.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พ โ€“ The Syrian state news agency SANA reported multiple people were injured after an explosive device went off on an Internal Security Forces bus near Damascus.

No details were given on the number or severity of the injuries, and no party has claimed responsibility for the attack.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿšข โ€“ South Korea is testing for the first time the Northern Sea Route, sending the 'PanStar Acro' commercial vessel to test the viability of the route.

The journey is expected to last 40โ€“45 days, cutting 10 days and 7,000 kilometers off from the traditional route through the Suez Canal, while at the same time avoiding a region now plagued by uncertainty.

President Lee Jae Myung prioritizes this initiative to establish the city of Busan as a global maritime hub, predicting the Arctic will be a regular trade route by 2030.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด โ€“ The U.S. approved a sale of 21 UH-60M 'Black Hawk' helicopters and related material, spare parts and training to Norway, valued at over $2.3 billion dollars.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ โ€“ Rosatom's CEO confirmed the state-owned atomic energy company is returning employees to the Iranian Bushehr power plant, after evacuating it in spring due to the war.

After leaving a minimal 20-person staff at the plant, the number of Rosatom employees in Bushehr has risen to 42 and is expected to reach 100 by autumn.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ- The AFU continues to build off their success in the southern Donetsk/ Dnipropetrovsk regions as they have recently retaken large swaths of fields and tree lines southeast of Novopavlivka

โžก๏ธ Over the past month Ukrainian forces have also succeeded in retaking the villages of Muravka and Novomykolaivka as media surfaced of Ukrainian positions taking fire in the two settlements.

โžก๏ธ Finally, Ukrainian forces continue to advance east of the Mokri Yaly river as they have captured the settlement of Yalta and from there they have entered the village of Zaporizhzhya.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ The 'Ocean Winner', a Panama-flagged vessel carrying iron ore to Singapore, sunk off eastern India due to unknown reasons, Reuters reports.

Out of the 24 crew members only two have been rescued by the Indian Coast Guard.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€“ President Trump on Truth Social:

We've escorted over 1000 ships through the Strait of Hormuz.


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๐Ÿช๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Yesterday morning, around 6 kites from Gaza reached Israel's settlement of "Nahal Oz".

Israel's Defense Minister Israel Katz has instructed the IDF to act forcefully against the launching of kites from Gaza. The IDF states that no suspicious material was attached on the kites.


๐Ÿ“ Katz in a statement:
Every launch [of kites] is an act of war in every respect, and are committed to the absolute protection of the Israeli communities.

Anyone who organizes, launches, or enables the launches will be dealt with immediately and with the utmost severity.

๐Ÿ“ Katz added:
A kite is treated like a drone, with or without explosives.


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๐Ÿช๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Yesterday morning, around 6 kites from Gaza reached Israel's settlement of "Nahal Oz". Israel's Defense Minister Israel Katz has instructed the IDF to act forcefully against the launching of kites from Gaza. The IDF states that no suspicious materialโ€ฆ
๐Ÿช๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Israel's Defense Minister Israel Katz is to summon the IDF Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir alongside other top IDF military officials to discuss the "kite" incident in Gaza.

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โ—๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Ukrainian President Zelensky Says His Ex-Defense Minister Fedorov Was Wrong to Call for Elections.

The Ukrainian president repeated his long-held position that elections in the middle of war would tear his country apart.

What started as a dispute between the former Defense Minister Fedorov and former Commander in Chief of the AFU resulted in the dismissal of both men. Fedorov has since rejected Zelensky's offer to return to the government in a different post and called for election to be held in Ukraine.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€“ Iran discovered more than 7.5 trillion cubic feet (or ~212.37 billion cubic meters) in a massive gas field in the south of the Fars province, according to Mohsen Paknejad, the Iranian oil minister.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ โ€“ Western intelligence sources cited by The Telegraph claim Russia has launched "a new wave" of coordinated attacks against European armament production.

Moscow reportedly employs mostly local gangs to do its bidding, which in some cases take advantage of the European Schengen Zone to easily cross borders and disrupt production in other countries.

There has also been a notable increase in attacks. Just this month, there have been three incidents linked to Russian sabotage:

๐Ÿ”ด One of the two foreign suppliers of unmanned ground systems to Ukraine, Milrem Robotics, had a building set ablaze in Estonia by Latvian nationals.

๐Ÿ”ด An explosion in an EMCO plant in Bulgaria, which produces 155mm shells for Ukraine, was also linked to Russia in the report.

๐Ÿ”ด A similar incident took place just three days later in a KNDS Ammo Italy plant.

๐Ÿ”ด Other incidents, like the explosive-laden drone that appeared in a German airport, were also linked to Russia's hybrid war campaign.

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๐Ÿช๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Israel's Defense Minister Israel Katz is to summon the IDF Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir alongside other top IDF military officials to discuss the "kite" incident in Gaza. @GeoPWatch
#BREAKING
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿช๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ - Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has blamed "Hamas" for the kites that landed in Israel's settlements yesterday, and has warned that the IDF is to intensify its attacks on Gaza and is to return to it's policy of evacuations and mass displacement.

๐Ÿ“ Netanyahu states:
Israel warns Hamas that if the launches toward Israel do not stop immediately, the IDF will act to intensify strikes against those responsible for the launches and evacuate populations from areas from which kites, drones and balloons are launched

The statement come following the assessment held between top IDF officials alongside Netanyahu, Israel Katz and Eyal Zamir.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€“ A state of emergency has been called in Reno, Nevada as wildfires that have burnt over 10,000 acres force more than 14,000 people to evacuate.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ โ€“ Iran executed Majid Adineh after being accused of aiding the U.S. and Israel in the January protests that swept across the country.

He had been under arrest since January 9.

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#BREAKING
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€“ The Iran-backed Persian Gulf Strait Authority (PSGA) has warned it will now fine, seize or confiscate vessels violating the "Iranian arrangements" for transiting the Strait of Hormuz:

In light of violations by certain vessels of the Iranian arrangements for transiting the Strait of Hormuz, these vessels will face restrictions in their future transits through the Strait of Hormuz, such as fines, seizure, or confiscation.

[...]

Vessels that, from this date onward, engage in ship-to-ship transfers, transshipment, etc., with vessels on [the offending vessels list] will themselves be added to this list. Additionally, vessels wishing to have their names removed from this list must submit their request along with the relevant explanation to
info@pgsa.ir.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ โ€“ Serbia has requested assistance from both Russia and the European Union to battle the wildfires that are raging across the country and the Balkans as a whole.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ The British Prime Minister will share with Ukraine the necessary information for Kyiv to start manufacturing Storm Shadow cruise missiles, The Telegraph reports.

The Storm Shadow, in service since 2002, has a range of 155 miles (~225 kilometers). Their bunker-busting warheads have proven very useful to the Ukrainian armed forces, which have used the limited number of missiles France and the UK donated since 2023.

The missiles, though, rely on classified U.S. targeting data, and its unclear whether Washington will assist on every strike planned by Kyiv.


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