Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ The Ukrainian regional governor of Kherson, the southern city where 280,000 people live, urged residents to evacuate in the face of relentless Russian bombardment.

Oleksandr Prokudin called particularly upon families and the elderly to evacuate due to an "extremely difficult security situation" caused by intensifying Russian attacks, which threaten prolonged outages of electricity and heating.

This comes as Ukraine is progressively less able to down Russian projectiles amid a severe shortage of advanced air interceptors.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ต โ€“ The death toll from the floods in Nepal has risen to 469, and over 1,300 people, including around 700 foreigners, remain missing.

The rainy weather has created worries that a dam created during the landslide in China's Gyirong County could breach and cause even more flooding while search and rescue operations continue.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด โ€“ The health of the Norwegian King, Harald V, continues to deteriorate, and the royal court warned his condition is now "very serious". Family members gatherer around his bedside and hundreds went to lay flowers as the await news on the health of theโ€ฆ
โ—๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด - King Harald V of Norway has passed away, aged 89, having served 35 years on the throne.

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๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani pledged to support the Iranian people through hardships during his visit to Tehran on Thursday.

Qatar does not want the Iranian people to face difficulties while the countries of the region merely watch. We will provide any assistance possible to alleviate the hardships of the brotherly Iranian people.


Doha also emphasized it's commitment to restore calm and stability to the region.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ’ฅ - Overnight Ukranian drones hit Russia's Yaroslavl oil refinery, the 5th largest in the country. The refinery is approximately 900km from the front line in Ukraine.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ - Ukraine targeted Engels-2 air base tonight. Engels-2 is a major Russian strategic bomber military airbase. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโš ๏ธ - Ukraineโ€™s Alpha unit claim to have struck a Tu-95MS Russian strategic bomber during the overnight attack on Engels-2 Air Base.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ’ฅ - Footage shows the moment a Russian drone impacted in a residential parking lot in Vyshneve, near Kyiv.

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๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ - Putin and Lukashenko are set to meet this Saturday. Lukashenko flew yesterday to Moscow for an unknown reason.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโ€ผ๏ธ - Ballistic Missile launch detected towards Dnipro.
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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโ€ผ๏ธ - Ballistic Missile launch detected towards Sumy.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ”ด - Kyiv has already had 9 Air Raid Alerts so far today, and we are only halfway through the day.
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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Russian aerial activity in the last 24 Hours :


โ€ผ๏ธ Drones: 140
โ€ข Piston/propeller: 78
โ€ข Jet-powered: 62

โ€ผ๏ธ Missiles: 3
โ€ข Ballistic missiles: 2
โ€ข Cruise missiles: 1

๐Ÿ’ฃ Guided bombs: 14

โ—๏ธThis data remains subject to official confirmation from the Ukrainian Air Force.

Duplicate detections and subsequent tracking updates have been excluded where possible.
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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ”ด - Air Raid Alert in Kyiv.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ โ€“ Kyrylo Budanov, Ukraine's Chief of the Military Intelligence, said technical talks on peace with Russia could start soon, although it would be "unrealistic" to expect the war to end soon [before the winter].

Budanov is Ukraine's representative in the talks and a top presidential adviser. The last rounds of negotiations which involved the U.S. took place in February, before all diplomatic attention turned to the war in Iran.

๐Ÿ“ During an interview for a YouTube project, Budanov said:
"I think everyone will see the negotiations happening very soon. But this will mainly concern the technical side of things and preparations โ€‹for something big, which I hope we will eventually get โ€‹to."


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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€“ The IAF launched an unusual airstrike in Jenin, in the West Bank, and eliminated Qais Bitawi and two other men. The IDF claimed all three were part of a terrorist network tied to Hamas, both in the Gaza Strip and abroad.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ”ด - Air Raid Alert in Kyiv. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐ŸŸข - All clear in Kyiv.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿฅ โ€“ The Red Cross has said over 93,000 people are in "great need" following the devastating floods in Nepal and Tibet, while the death toll has risen beyond 540 people and around 1,900 remain missing.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ Ukrainian intelligence believes Russia is now using longer-range Iskander ballistic missiles for strikes on Kyiv.

The new Iskander variant, 9M723-2 ballistic missiles dubbed โ€˜Iskander-1000', have a range of around 550 kilometers by Ukrainian estimatesโ€”that's 160 kilometers (100 miles) more than the range of the previous variant, the 9M723-1.

This will make it harder for Ukraine to counter the missiles by destroying their launching systems. Ukraine estimates Russia can produce around 60 9M723 missiles every month, and can sustain a launch rate of 50-70 missiles of this type per month.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ”ด - Air Raid Alert in Kyiv.
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ โ€“ As the U.S. and China prepare to extend the one-year commercial truce agreed last October in Busan, Chinese executives and business leaders could join Xi's planned trip to the U.S.

The issue is still being discussed between U.S. and Chinese officials, and could be seen as a reciprocal gesture to Trump's own trip to Beijing on May, when he took CEOs of some of the largest companies in the world to the talks.


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