Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ โ€“ As Ukrainian ground-to-air air defenses face critical lacks of ammunition, another layer of Kyiv's air defense is starting to face the same issue: its force of F-16s tasked with downing Russian cruise missiles and drones.

The shortage is so bad some pilots now rely exclusively on the plane's internal guns during daytime sorties, when it's easier to spot an enemy projectile, and the Ukrainian Air Force now tracks missile deliveries to the minute, expecting them to arrive before the next large-scale attack.

Ukrainian F-16s have been primarily armed with AIM-120 Advanced Medium-Range Air-to-Air Missile (AMRAAM) and the shorter-range AIM-9 'Sidewinder', both in critically low supply.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ The U.S. State Department approved the sale of Joint Direct Attack โ€‹Munitions-Extend Range (JDAM-ER) valued at around $5 billion to Saudi Arabia, as well as AGT-1500 engines (mainly used in M1 'Abrams' MBTs) valued at $750 million.

The JDAM-ER adds deployable wings to extend the range of a projectile to between 75-85 kilometers.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง โ€“ The IDF said it's striking Hezbollah positions in southern Lebanon in response to the launch of a drone against Israeli forces operating in the "Security Zone".

The drone was downed and caused no casualties.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ โ€“ Netanyahu posted an AI-generated video of New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani, Turkish President Erdogan, an injured Iranian Ayatollah Khamenei and President of the Palestinian Authority Mahmoud Abbas celebrating at the prospect of the Israeli PM losing the upcoming election, and then being sad when he unexpectedly wins.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Russia and Ukraine have reportedly agreed on a ceasefire that was put into effect 10 minutes ago. No fighting along the ceasefire and no drone attacks while Witkoff and Kushner are in Moscow. The ceasefire is supposed to end on the 9th of September.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Russia and Ukraine have reportedly agreed on a ceasefire that was put into effect 10 minutes ago. No fighting along the ceasefire and no drone attacks while Witkoff and Kushner are in Moscow. The ceasefire is supposed to end on the 9th of September.โ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ’ฅ - Exactly 1 minute after the ceasefire, Kyiv issued an Air Raid Alert and Russian drones are currently targeting Kyiv with explosions reported.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ President Trump:

People, especially Patriots from the United States of America, love the name change of Lake Ontario to Lake America! The support has been overwhelming, including affirmation from Google Maps, Apple Maps, and Microsoftโ€™s Bing Maps. Since the name change, business on the United States side of the Lake has been absolutely BOOMING! President DONALD J. TRUMP.


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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - 2 Hours after the Ceasefire went into effect, Russia is currently launching Ballistic Missiles to Dnipro.

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5 Ballistic Missiles are currently flying over the Dnipro region.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ ๐Ÿ”ด - Air Raid Alert in Kyiv.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ ๐Ÿ”ด - Air Raid Alert in Kyiv. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ’ฅ - Explosions in Kyiv.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ›ข โ€“ The New York Post claims Iran has only 2 months worth of fuel left in its reserves, due to a combination of the U.S. blockade and additional sanctions that have cut off Tehran from the resources needed to repair its energy infrastructure.

Another "crushing loss", as the NYP puts it, was the loss of the UAE as a primary trading partner.

Keep in mind this same article claims "the global flow of oil has largely resumed unencumbered through the Strait of Hormuz", statement that has been debunked by all independent observers like Kpler and TankerTrackers.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ โ€“ A member of the Mexican federal lower house of Congress from the ruling party, Morena, was found dead in his car with a gunshot wound.

The 42-year-old represented the city of Nogales, Veracruz in the Mexican Congress.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง โ€“ The IDF said it's striking Hezbollah positions in southern Lebanon in response to the launch of a drone against Israeli forces operating in the "Security Zone". The drone was downed and caused no casualties. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง - At least three people were killed and 20 were injured in the latest wave of IDF/IAF strikes on southern Lebanon.

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๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ’ฅ โ€“ At least 58 people, including 52 civilians and six military personnel, were injured after a massive explosion at the "Bolรญvar" Artillery Regiment in Viacha. The cause of the blast is unknown.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ -South of Dobropillya the Russian military has captured the remaining northern residential areas of Shevchenko as well as capturing various fields/tree lines west of the village, from there Russian forces have advanced further north into Vodyanske along with reaching the village of Dobropillya.

โžก๏ธ Media surfaced of Russian personnel under fire from Ukrainian drones in the easternmost outskirts of Dobropillya (the village not the city), Russian forces are now only 2.90 km from the nearest southern residential houses in Dobropillya.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ Pedro Sรกnchez, the Spanish Prime Minister, said there is "no solid evidence" that the Moroccan state planned the influx of 72,000 migrants into Ceuta. His claim directly refutes a report by Spanish police, which claims Rabat "orchestrated" the event.

Sรกnchez also cited Rabatโ€™s subsequent cooperation in returning most migrants within 2 days, although admitting elements from the Moroccan police allowed migrant crossings during a 10-hour peak on July 30.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€“ Initial and unconfirmed reports suggest the U.S. targeted a small Iranian oil tanker close to Kharg Island.

The tanker was initially identified as 'Sanchi'.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€“ Additional reports suggest up to 4 projectiles struck the vessel.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Hezbollah has published a statement condemning the continuously exacerbating Israeli aggression on Lebanon, and the silence of the International community and the Lebanese state. The statement calls upon the Lebanese government to reevaluate its positions and look for the benefit of the country through unification.

๐Ÿ“ Full statement [click to expand]:
Statement from Hezbollah regarding the ongoing Israeli aggression against Lebanon:

The Israeli enemy continues to escalate its aggression and crimes against Lebanon, killing, shelling, destroying, and systematically bombing homes and villages, erasing their landmarks, and destroying all aspects of life within them, without any restraint and with flimsy pretexts. Yesterday, this terrorist aggression resulted in the deaths of four martyrs and dozens of wounded, while the international community remains silent and the United States openly colludes. Furthermore, the Lebanese government is completely absent from its responsibilities, stubbornly persisting in its flawed choices, its submissive and compromising approach, and its framework, which the enemy tramples on every day, bringing nothing but shame and disgrace to Lebanon, and only serving to solidify the occupation and allowing the enemy to continue its aggression and crimes against the Lebanese people.

This condemned and ongoing aggression, carried out with full American partnership, cover, and planning, has no justification other than to pressure and blackmail the Lebanese government into implementing agendas whose goals are now well-known, even if the price is to plunge Lebanon into a mire of internal strife. The government's continued pursuit of this futile, illegitimate, and unconstitutional path provides the enemy with a cover to continue its aggression, and gives it more time to achieve its goals and impose its conditions on Lebanon.

The government's claims that its direct and fruitless negotiations and the infamous framework agreement with the enemy are achieving successes are undermined and invalidated by the continued occupation, aggression, bloodshed of Lebanese citizens, destruction, and bombings. While the release of some Lebanese prisoners is important, it cannot be a justification for ignoring the continuation of the aggression, occupation, and killings, nor a justification for continuing a path that has proven to be a failure and incapable of protecting Lebanon and its people. The government has repeatedly stated that it will not pursue any negotiation path before the enemy ceases its aggression.

The government is called upon to re-evaluate its position, abandon its arrogance, and set aside its stubbornness and petty squabbles, for the benefit of Lebanon and its people, and to return to the unifying national principles that protect Lebanon's sovereignty. We call on all Lebanese to stand united behind a unified national stance that preserves Lebanon's strength, resilience, and sovereignty in the face of Israeli aggression.
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