Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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Geopolitics Watch
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Geopolitics Watch
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⚡️🇪🇪🇷🇺 – Around the same time, two EF-18Ms deployed in Estonia were scrambled to escorted a Russian surveillance aircraft, likely a drone, flying in international waters but without establishing any time of contact with air traffic controls.

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🔽🛢 – Brent crude oil prices have dipped below $100 dollars per barrel for the first time since September 9.

The situations in both the Bab al-Mandab and the Hormuz Straits, while dire, have stabilized over the past weeks.

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🇷🇺❌🇺🇦 – Russia missiles are currently striking multiple cities in Ukraine, including Kyiv.

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦🇺🇳 – The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) said casualties have been reported following strikes around the Zaporizhzhya Nuclear Plant in Ukraine in recent weeks. It also said drones were not the only projectiles involved.

According to the IAEA, off-site training centers, diesel fuel transports (pipes or trucks, it's unclear) and possible civilian infraestructure in Enerhodar have been targeted.

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🇨🇦❌🖥 – British Columbia, a province in Canada, is suing OpenAI for its alleged role in a mass shooting that took place there.

The enterprise was accused of negligence and contributing to the Tumbler Ridge mass shooting, which occurred in February. Eight people were killed and more than 25 were wounded.

The lawsuit claims that the suspect, 18-year-old Jesse Van Rootselaar, described "scenarios of gun violence" on ChatGPT for several days before the attack, and that OpenAI employees internally alerted authorities about this activity months before the massacre, but the company chose not to contact law enforcement.

As part of the lawsuit, British Columbia is demanding that OpenAI fund the construction of a new school in Tumbler Ridge.

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🇷🇺❌🇺🇦 – Ukrainian authorities said at least 5 people died during the latest large-scale Russian attack, which struck Kryvyi Rih, Kremenchuk, Dnipro, and Pavlohrad.

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⚡️🇺🇸 – Following the ban on multiple outlets and the boycott of the U.S. White House Press Pool as protest, the White House announced a new state-run service, "Trump TV", to cover his statements.

The White House uploaded this video to its X account, showing many famous TV characters from Family Guy, SpongeBob, The Simpsons, Home Alone, and more, excitingly tuning into the service.

It's unlikely the White House got permission to use these characters for political purposes, and it would not be the first time they do this—a recent ad for ICE caused controversy by showing Optimus Prime advocating for the organization.

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⚡️🇾🇪🇺🇸 – A joint statement by the foreign ministers of the G7 called on Iran to stop arming the Houthis. The United Kingdom, Canada, ‌France, ⁠Germany, Italy, Japan and the United States signed on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly.

The statement also called on the Houthis to stop their attacks and to return to the negotiating table:
We ​condemn in the strongest terms ​the unacceptable continued strikes carried out by the Houthis in Yemen and ​against the Kingdom of Saudi ​Arabia.

We call on the ​Houthis to immediately cease ​all ⁠military actions, all threats and attacks against civilian shipping, and ⁠to ​return to the ​political process in good faith.


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🇮🇷❌🇺🇸 - Explosions have reportedly been heard from the Strait of Hormuz, likely as a result of Iran targeting oil tankers using the Omani Route.

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🇸🇦🛢 - Bloomberg reports that Saudi Arabia is currently running tests on it's East-West Pipeline which is expected to resume activity this week.

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⚡️🇺🇳 – The 81st session of the United Nations General Assembly has begun.

UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres has spoken for the last time, since he is expected to retire this year, and the President of the General Assembly, opened the debate.

As per tradition, the first country to speak is Brazil. President Lula da Silva is currently giving his speech. After that, Donald Trump will speak.

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⚡️🇺🇳🇺🇸 – Trump has begun speaking.

Despite the UN being an international forum, he started by touting the economic and social success of his administration, alleging he has created over a million jobs, attracted record levels of inflation, reduced crime and murders to a record low, and sealed the border.

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⚡️🇺🇳🇺🇸 – Trump called Iran the number one sponsor of terrorism worldwide and the "bully of the Middle East".

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⚡️🇺🇳🇺🇸 – Trump again claimed to have "obliterated" the Iranian nuclear program during June 2025's 'Operation Midnight Hammer', but claims they tried to "dash" for a nuclear bomb after that.

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⚡️🇺🇳🇺🇸 – Trump says Hamas killed many babies during the October 7 attacks, and claimed Iran has killed over 72,000 protesters, including 10,000 "recently".

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⚡️🇺🇸🇺🇳 – Trump claims all 159 Iranian ships were sunk, and their aircrafts, drones, radars, economy and more, are all gone.

"The only thing that isn't gone is their inflation".

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⚡️🇺🇸🇺🇳 – Trump claims between 22 and 37 ships are being escorted out of the Strait of Hormuz every day, and over 1 billion barrels of oil have been exported from the SoH with U.S. help.

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⚡️🇺🇸🇺🇳 – Trump says he has a choice between making a deal with Iran and annihilating them quickly.

He claims a deal will be made soon after the midterm elections, which he claim he will win overwhelmingly.

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⚡️🇺🇸🇺🇳 – Trump says the U.S. has enough munitions, more than they could use, and that 18 factories of ammunition are being built in the U.S. right now.

Trump also called upon every country to join Operation Economic Outcast to financially cut off Tehran.

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⚡️🇺🇸🇺🇳 – Trump credits himself for ending the war in Gaza and liberating the Israeli hostages, "saving an untold number of lives".

As a note: Israel continues striking Gaza every day, and the number of dead Gazans has risen by hundreds since the "ceasefire" was signed.

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