Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช โ€“ The President of the Yemeni PLC, President Rashad al-Alimi, offered a general amnesty for Houthi forces that surrender to the Saudi-backed faction.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง โ€“ Intense IDF artillery bombardment is being reported in al-Mansouri, southern Lebanon.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Missile launches have been reported tonight by Iran towards the Strait of Hormuz, most likely targeting vessels transiting through the Strait via the Omani route.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€“ Israeli outlet i24 News claims an "American source" told them:

Currently, approximately 12 million barrels of oil are passing through the Strait of Hormuz each day, on average, in recent weeks.

This is one of the reasons that allows Trump to say "no" to the previous Iranian agreement.

Meanwhile, we will continue to increase the rate of oil exports and continue the sanctions against Iran.

Most independent monitoring outlets claim the actual number is lower, although the rise in sightings of ship-to-ship transfers in the Gulf of Oman suggests more barrels are making it out of the Strait of Hormuz than before.

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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฉโšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฉ- In recent weeks, the SAF have started offensive operations north of the city of Ed Obeid where they have since captured over a dozen villages including Sawdiri where media recently surfaced of SAF soldiers celebrating their capture of the town.

โžก๏ธ Following their capture of Sawdiri, SAF forces advanced south and took the town of Mazrub as footage emerged showing Sudanese forces moving freely throughout the area. As a result of these advances, the RSFโ€™s presence in Sudanโ€™s North Kordofan region could soon be completely erased.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ’ฅโ“ - Explosions have been reported from Qeshm Island, Iran.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ’ฅโ“ - Explosions have been reported from Qeshm Island, Iran. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโ“ - Iran reportedly launched 4 SRBMs into the Strait of Hormuz in random directions with no clear reasoning.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ’ฅโ“ - Explosions have been reported from Qeshm Island, Iran. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ’ฅโ“ - New blasts have been heard just now from the Strait of Hormuz.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ’ฃโ“ โ€“ Unconfirmed reports suggest that some of the Iranian missiles launched towards the Strait of Hormuz were equipped with mines, a known capability of Tehran.

It's still unknown whether any mines were deployed, or how many, but it's likely they were aimed at the Omani route, which Iran considers illegal.


Some vessels were also reportedly struck, but no independent confirmation has emerged of this.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€“ Trump on Truth Social:

We have the BEST FINANCIAL NUMBERS EVER, and the FAKE NEWS MEDIA refuses to report them!!! President DJT


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€“ U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright said over 20 million barrels of oil exited the Strait of Hormuz in a single day this week, more than before the war in Iran started, and blamed the rise in energy costs on refining capacityโ€”not a lack of supply.

We had a day this last week where over 20 million barrels of oil, more than pre-conflict levers, flowed out of the straits.

The running average today is almost 13 million barrels a day. So the oil and gas are coming out of the Strait of Hormuz.

The pricing problem today is much more refining capacity than it actually is the flow of oil.


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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ A large fire is raging in Brovary, west of Kyiv, following a Russian strike.

The target was likely the 'Beton vid Kovalskoyi' (Concrete from Kovalska) facility, which produces concrete and reinforced-concrete products.


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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€“ General Abolfazl Shekarchi, spokesperson of the Iranian Armed Forces, stated the Strait of Hormuz remains under Iranian control following one of the largest missile barrages against the Strait in recent months.

He also said Tehran will continue to "pursue punishment" against President Trump and Prime Minister Netanyahu even after the war ends.


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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€“ The IRGC said it would target all U.S. warships, including those in the Indian Ocean, should war break out again between Tehran and Washington.

The threat against the Indian Ocean is likely aimed particularly against the U.S.-British base in Diego Garcia, a key resupply base for U.S. forces following the evacuation of NSA Bahrain.


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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ The Russian Ministry of Defense claimed to have struck the headquarters of the Ukrainian Navy.

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#BREAKING
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโ‰๏ธ - A major security operation is underway at RAF Fairford after Gloucestershire Police arrested several men on suspicion of offences under the Explosives Act. The Armyโ€™s specialist Explosive Ordnance Disposal team is examining multiple vehicles, homes in the nearby Whelford area have been evacuated, and a police cordon remains in place. Authorities say the incident is currently believed to be contained. Counter-terrorism police are now leading the investigation.

RAF Fairford is currently hosting U.S. Air Force B-1B Lancer strategic bombers and has been used by U.S. forces during operations against Iranian targets.

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#BREAKING ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโ‰๏ธ - A major security operation is underway at RAF Fairford after Gloucestershire Police arrested several men on suspicion of offences under the Explosives Act. The Armyโ€™s specialist Explosive Ordnance Disposal team is examining multiple vehiclesโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโ‰๏ธ - British Army Bomb disposal units are actively investigating multiple other vans found near RAF Fairford, with the main van found to have contained multiple large barrels containing mass amounts of homemade explosives.

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#BREAKING ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโ‰๏ธ - A major security operation is underway at RAF Fairford after Gloucestershire Police arrested several men on suspicion of offences under the Explosives Act. The Armyโ€™s specialist Explosive Ordnance Disposal team is examining multiple vehiclesโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโ‰๏ธ - 85 houses in the area have been evacuated.

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