Geopolitics Watch
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - The USS Theodore Roosevelt, a Nimitz-class aircraft carrier, is headed for the Middle East to join the war against Iran.

The USS Theodore Roosevelt, the flagship vessel of Carrier Strike Group 9, left San Diego last Sunday. It will bring new munitions and up to 10,000 troops to the theater.

The deployment came as President Trump ramped up rhetoric against Iran in recent remarks. The CSG 9 is expected to arrive in the region around December, after the midterm election.

Two other carriers are operating under US CENTCOM, the USS George Washington and the USS George H.W. Bush, having replaced the USS Abraham Lincoln and USS Gerald Ford respectively. The Theodore Roosevelt CSG would be the 5th out of the 11 CSGs to be deployed in the 7 months of fighting in Iran.

It is currently unclear whether the USS Theodore Roosevelt will replace another carrier group or bring the total number of carriers deployed in the region to 3.

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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ-Ansarullahโ€™s offensive around Taizz continues to see success with Houthi advances and infiltration attempts reported across multiple fronts southwest and southeast of the city, several important supply routes have also been severely impacted including the Hayjat Al-Abd and Al Turbah roads which are now practically unusable.

โžก๏ธ Southwest of Taizz city footage recently surfaced of a Houthi tank operating in Banu Bukari along with footage emerging of a column of Ansarullah fighters entering the town of As Safiyah as well as severing the Al- Turbah road.

โžก๏ธ Southeast of Taizz city Ansarullah has begun advancing southeast of Ad Dimnah along with reaching the Hayjat Al- Abd road where media surfaced of the road being damaged with Houthi explosives.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€“ An article by the TIME magazine has revealed new details of the Trump administration, including the fact that Grok, X's AI chatbot, is partially responsible for convincing the President that kidnapping his Venezuelan counterpart, Nicolรกs Maduro, would cement his legacy.

The TIME article also revealed that Trump wasn't directly informed of the U.S. munitions stockpiles issues by senior officials, but instead learned about it from a New York Times article and confronted Pete Hegseth, who convinced the President it was all "fake news".


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - 2 U.S. Officials to Axios have stated that additional Patriot Air Defense Batteries have been deployed to Saudi Arabia and Qatar to protect oil and gas facilities in both countries. This is to reportedly reassure both nations ahead of potential renewed U.S. strikes on Iran. CENTCOM reportedly refused to comment on this information.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ›ข โ€“ Trump said Europe agreed to release a "massive amount" of diesel to control prices in global markets.

The precise quantity is still unknown.

Europe has just agreed to release a massive amount of their heavily stocked Diesel Oil. The process will begin immediately. Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DJT


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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ Footage has emerged of alleged Houthi strikes in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, for the second consecutive day, and likely as retaliation for yesterday's Saudi bombing of Sana'a.

At least one large plume of smoke was spotted over the city, but the Houthis have claimed no attack so far.


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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ NASA's FIRMS confirms at least three fire hotspots in Riyadh were spotted by satellite sensors around four hours ago.

The fires, with a relatively low Fire Radiative Power (FRP) but high brightness suggests a very small, intense fire that is not spreading.

The fire can be geolocated to the al-Faisaliyah area of Riyadh, where there are large industrial parking lots for machinery, which could explain the concentrated but intense fire.


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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆโ“ โ€“ It should be highlighted there is still no hard evidence that the fires are related to a Houthi strike, and could be related to a separate incident.

However, the fact that there are multiple, separate hotspots, could suggest some sort of coordinated hostile action.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€“ The office of Iraqi Prime Minister al-Zaidi announced an agreement allowing Iranian airlines to operate 40 daily flights to Najaf International Airport, with the exception of the 'Mahan' airline, according to al-Mayadeen.

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#BREAKING
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช โ€“ The Pakistani Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar said Iran has suggested 'engaging' Ansarullah (the Houthis) politically following strikes against Saudi Arabia, an idea that will be discussed during emergency talks in Riyadh next week, Reuters reports.

Dar said Iran has distanced itself from its Yemeni and Iraqi proxies, and that top decision makers like Pezeshkian and Araqchi "want the matter concluded."

Iran has made no solid commitment to engage the Houthis diplomatically, and Dar said it's so far only "brainstorming between two foreign ministers", suggesting Araqchi is deeply involved in the negotiations.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฒ โ€“ UKMTO reported yet another Iranian attack against a vessel in the Omani route of the Strait of Hormuz.

A tanker was struck by one projectile, causing a fire that has since been controlled. The vessel is continuing its transit, and no casualties were reported.


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๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡นโšก๏ธ- Recently, ENDF forces have begun taking back territory previously lost to Ugugumo and TDF rebels in the Afar region, along with pushing further north into the Tigray region.

โžก๏ธ In western Afar, Ethiopian soldiers have retaken the towns of Abala and Erebti from rebel forces. In Tigray, ENDF forces have captured the towns of Adi Aba Musa and Mehoni with fighting now situated south of Maychew.

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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช โ€“ Saudi Arabia and the Yemeni PLC are preparing a large-scale offensive against Ansarullah, which could include a push for the Red Sea coast or a broader, multi-front offensive.

The operation is likely to kick off "in the coming weeks", and will involve Saudi air support but not forces on the ground. Sources said the operation could begin as late as after the U.S. midterm elections.

The U.S. is expected to keep providing intelligence for offensive and defensive operations, while European partners have ramped up defensive support for Riyadh.

The PLC is expected to moblizie up to 100,000 troops for the offensive, and Riyadh has reportedly concluded it cannot enter new negotiations with the Houthis while they control de Bab al-Mandab Strait.


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๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช โ€“ Pakistan has been aiding both Saudi Arabia and the PLC in their fight against Ansarullah (the Houthis) in Yemen, Reuters reported citing Western and Middle Eastern sources.

Pakistan has sent around 40,000 troops to Saudi Arabia, some of them after the renewal of tensions between Riyadh and Sana'a, and Pakistani material support, including multiple types of military equipment, reached the PLC in at least four cargo planes.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฒ โ€“ UKMTO confirmed a second vessel was struck by Iran today.

There were no casualties reported, and the extent of the damage remains unknown.


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