Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Lula's unexpected victory over Bolsonaro, by state.
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๐Ÿ›ข๐Ÿ”ผ โ€“ Oil markets opened today at around $115 dollars per barrel, down from last Friday's close of almost $117 but still much higher than the average price before the price shot up last week.
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Geopolitics Watch
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Lula has officially won the second round of Brazil's Presidential Elections. 99.75% of votes have been counted, with Lula winning 51.75% and Flavio Bolsonaro winning 48.25% of votes.
#NOW
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Flรกvio Bolsonaro refuses to acknowledge his defeat in Brazil's second round of presidential elections, and announced he will demand the results be annulled.
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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Footage of Active Air Defense over Riyadh 20 minutes ago.
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช- Saudi Joint Forces announced the destruction of two Ansarullah missile launchers in San'aa, Yemen. One of the destroyed launchers was used to target Riyadh tonight.
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#NOW
๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ The Houthis claimed to have struck the Saudi East-West Pipeline once again.

Their statement claims multiple drones targeted oil pumping stations along the pipeline.
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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ The Houthis also claimed an attack on King Khalid International Airport in Riyadh, and the targeting of PLC deployment points and weapons storage facilities Aden and Lahij.
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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท - Officials from Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Pakistan are reportedly set to meet Iran in Tehran on Monday to discuss regional coordination according to Reuters.
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Geopolitics Watch
#BREAKING โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ด - 2 gunmen carry out a mass shooting in a Church in Jordan's AlKarak with reports of at least 7 killed.
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ด - Jordanian State TV reports that 3 of the perpretrators of the Karak Church Attack have been arrested.
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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ #BREAKING: FIRMS data confirms a large fire broke out earlier today along the Saudi East-West Pipeline, about 90 kilometers west of Riyadh in the Najd desert.

This coincides with the Houthi statement that the pipeline was targeted, although FIRMS last detected the fire about 11 hours ago, suggesting it could be under control by now, and that the attack was a while before than the Houthi announcement.

Saudi authorities and other official sources have not confirmed damage to the pipeline.

Coordinates of the struck substation, according to FIRMS data:
๐Ÿ“ 24.7975ยฐN, 45.8298ยฐE
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โ—๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - The electoral upset against the Trump-backed Flavio Bolsonaro bucked the trend of Latin America electing right-wing, pro US governments in the last 5 years.

The traditionally leftist continent has decidedly turn right-wing and toward the US in the last election cycle. Most notably, the Milei government abruptly withdrew from BRICS, cut down government programs and open the country to US investments shortly after gaining power in Argentina. Milei's Argentina again received decisive backing from the US through the 2025 election, in the form of a $20 billion cashline to stabilize its currency.

The Trump administration also mounted an extensive pressure campaign to unseat the leftist Lula government in the 2026 election, employing tactics such as tariff and sanctions against Brazilian officials...
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€” CNN reports that Israelโ€™s Chief of Staff warned his American counterpart that an attack on Iran now could disrupt the elections.

๐Ÿ“ Israeli elections are scheduled for tomorrow, October 27, while U.S. midterms take place on November 3.

โžก๏ธPolls suggest Netanyahu may lose the elections, but he would remain prime minister until a new government forms, typically around 60 days. During this period, his government could still approve a war with Iran or seek to form an emergency government.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - A Tanker has reportedly been struck and is on fire off the coast of Basra, Iraq.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Explosions coming from the Strait of Hormuz were heard in the Hormozgan Province, Iran.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท โ€“ Iranian Supreme National Security Council Secretary Mohsen Rezaee hosted a four-way meeting with delegations from the Mecca Alliance countries in Tehran.

Saudi Defence Minister Khalid bin Salman, Pakistani Army Chief Asim Munir and Turkish intelligence chief Ibrahim Kalin led their respective delegations. Iranian President Pezeshkian also joined the talks.
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