Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Explosions heard coming from the sea in Bandar-e Lengeh.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช- Ansarullah continues to advance further into Lahij governorate, both PLC and Houthi affiliated media report about the fall of the Al-Maqatirah fortress to Ansarullah and their rapid advance into the Al-Maqatirah district. โžก๏ธ With the important Citadelโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆโšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช- After weeks of fighting, PLC and pro-government forces continue to hold onto their positions in the Al-Shaqab area and have succeeded in repelling Ansarullahโ€™s attempts to eliminate the pocket.

โžก๏ธ In recent days, the PLC and allied tribes have launched their own attacks, regaining control over Al Awat and a vital supply road that leads into Al-Shaqab, therefore turning the pocket into a bridgehead.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - 3 hours ago while explosions were being heard in Bandar Abbas and Qeshm, the Qatari delegation departed from Tehran back to Doha, Qatar.

Reportedly talks came to a dead end.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - The U.S has reportedly warned Gulf Nations to prepare for a short and intense operation shortly after tomorrowโ€™s midterm elections.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - A U.S Air Strike reportedly hit an Air Defense System on Qeshm Island. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - An Iranian SAM Launcher in Qeshm targeted a U.S. fighter jet earlier today. The same launcher was then targeted by the same jet and eliminated.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Talks between the U.S. and Iran have reportedly made close to no progress over the past months. This weekโ€™s attempted negotiation mediated by Qatar also failed with no progress reportedly made.

Neither the U.S. nor Iran will budge on a diplomatic level.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Talks between the U.S. and Iran have reportedly made close to no progress over the past months. This weekโ€™s attempted negotiation mediated by Qatar also failed with no progress reportedly made. Neither the U.S. nor Iran will budge on a diplomaticโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Iran and the U.S. are far from reaching a deal according to Reuters.

An Iranian Official told Reuters that Iran will not accept excessive U.S. demands and that Iran is prepared to respond forcefully to U.S. strikes, in the region and beyond.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - President Donald Trump on Iran:
Iran is an evil nation that has killed many of our people. Soleimani is an example. Heโ€™s no longer with us, but they have killed many of our people.

We cannot let them have a nuclear weapon, and we won't.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- President Donald Trump on Pickaxe Mountain:
We might have to go after Pickaxe, but that's not a big deal. We can do it in literally one hour.
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๐Ÿ–•106๐Ÿ’ฉ32๐Ÿคฃ16๐Ÿ”ฅ15โค6๐Ÿคฎ4๐Ÿค”2๐Ÿ’…2๐ŸŽ…1๐ŸŽ„1๐Ÿ—ฟ1
#NEW
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - The IRGC announces its Imam Sajjad Corps have intercepted 2 "LUCAS" OWA drones of the American Military in the airspace of southern Iran's 'Bandar Khamir'.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Donald Trump when asked what will happen after today, Election Day:
Well weโ€™ll see, look, Iโ€™m not looking to kill lots of people but if we have to, weโ€™ll have to.


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Geopolitics Watch
โ—๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - U.S. Senate Midterm Election Forecast. The median outcome of the US Senate midterm election is the GOP to maintain 50 seats, with the Vice Presidential tiebreaker clinching the control of the Senate. Despite President Trump's unpopularity, winningโ€ฆ
โ—๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Updated projection for the US Senate race. The median outcome of the Senate race is now the Democrats taking control of the chamber with 51 seats.

There is a 90% probability of the Democrats getting at least 50 seats, and 62% probability of the Dem getting at least 51 seats.

The House is a forgone conclusion. We are expecting the Democrats to have at least 225 of 435 seats.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ โ€“ Trump said he will cut almost $4 billion dollars of yearly aid to Israel at the end of 2026 because "they don't need it".

As one of his final measures before the midterms, and as polls start to open in the U.S., the measure is likely aimed at the America First portion of his MAGA movement.
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๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡งโœˆ๏ธ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡พ - An RAF KC2 Voyager tanker is dragging along an unknown number of RAF Eurofighter Typhoons from RAF Coningsby in the U.K to RAF Akrotiri in Cyprus.

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๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡งโœˆ๏ธ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡พโ“ - A lot of activity is being tracked today over RAF Akrotiri in Cyprus with RAF Cargo Flights from Bahrain to RAF Akrotiri and tanker movement in and out of RAF Akrotiri.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€” Heavy Israeli Air Force activity is being reported over Israel right now. Local sources tell us they have been hearing fighter jets for longer than at any point since Israel's last attack on Iran.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- UKMTO reports that a tanker was struck in the engine room by 2 unknown projectiles 14NM off the coast of Lima, Oman. No casualties or environmental impact were reported.
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โค28๐Ÿ”ฅ4๐Ÿฅฐ4๐Ÿคฌ33๐ŸŽ‰2๐Ÿ˜1๐Ÿคฉ1๐Ÿ–•1
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - The IRGC is claiming to have shot down a U.S. AeroVironment Switchblade 600 OWA Drone over Minab, Hormozgan Province, Iran. 

No information on the validity so far; However, Hormozgan locals reported hearing explosions.


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