Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Explosions and a column of smoke were reported from the IRGCโ€™s 15th Khordad military base in the Isfahan Province, Iran 30 minutes ago.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡นโ“ - A NATO Northrop Grumman RQ-4D Phoenix, operated by the Italian Air Force, is squawking 7700 for a General Emergency over the Black Sea.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡น โ€“ El Salvador's Nayib Bukele announced his forces launched an attack on the residence of 'Lanmรฒ San Jou' the leader of the '400 Mawozo' gang, which is also the headquarters of the group.

Footage published showed multiple helicopters launching missiles at the residency, although there were no immediate reports of an intention to capture/kill San Jou; rather, the attack was a show of force.

El Salvador believes this particular gang could be behind the kidnapping of 4 Salvadoran soldiers, which prompted Bukele to send over 2,000 troops to Haiti.


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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Explosions heard from the Strait of Hormuz.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Major General Mohsen Rezaei, Secretary of Iranโ€™s SNSC, says the Strait of Hormuz will remain closed, as the U.S. has failed to provide an acceptable response to Iranโ€™s seven conditions.

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๐Ÿ‘54๐Ÿซก15โค10๐Ÿคก10๐Ÿ‘Ž1๐Ÿ˜1๐Ÿ–•1
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Major General Mohsen Rezaei, Secretary of Iranโ€™s SNSC, says the Strait of Hormuz will remain closed, as the U.S. has failed to provide an acceptable response to Iranโ€™s seven conditions. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Mohsen Rezaei also stated that all U.S. claims regarding ongoing negotiations with Iran are "pure lies and fabrications"

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - AA Activity has also being reported from the 15th Khordad IRGC Base in the Isfahan Province, Iran.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - AA Activity has also being reported from the 15th Khordad IRGC Base in the Isfahan Province, Iran. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - AA Activity can also be heard in the Khuzestan Province, Iran.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - AA Activity can also be heard in the Khuzestan Province, Iran. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Nothing points towards U.S -Iran activity at the moment, it's most likely just routine testing.

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#BREAKING
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€“ A Western intelligence report cited by Bloomberg claims Iran is producing around 50 ballistic missiles per monthโ€”at roughly half of its pre-war capacityโ€”, and may have "at least" 1,700 ballistic missiles in its arsenal.

Israel estimated Iran had around 2,500 ballistic missiles in its arsenal before February 28, and Iran launched at least 2,200 of those during the war, suggesting Iran built as much as 1,400 new missiles since (or the Israeli estimate was off).

The report also says Iran has "thousands" of Shahed-type weapons, of which at least 4,900 were fired during the war.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€“ A fire broke out on the Iranian South Pars SPD-14D platform on the South Pars gas field earlier today. No casualties were reported, the platform was evacuated and its operations were shut down.

No foul play is suspected, and a gas leak or operational accident is being considered as the probable cause.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ˜ โ€“ Rep. Jim Jordan was elected by the Republicans to be the new House Minority Leader, following the GOP's defeat in the midterms, which made Speaker Mike Johnson take the decision to not run for the position.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น - Red Level Air Raid Alert in Lithuania after drones have entered the airspace. NATO fighters jets have reportedly been scrambled.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น - Red Level Air Raid Alert in Lithuania after drones have entered the airspace. NATO fighters jets have reportedly been scrambled. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น - Alerts are active in Kaunas city, Kaunas district, Prienai district and Marijampolฤ— County. Residents are urged to go to nearby shelters.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น - Red Level Air Raid Alert in Lithuania after drones have entered the airspace. NATO fighters jets have reportedly been scrambled. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น - Alerts were issued earlier, and the all clear was then given after the drone passed into Poland. These are new alerts that have been issued with sirens reportedly heard in Kaunus city, Lithuania.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป - Air Raid Alerts in Balvi Municipality on the border with Russia.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น - Russian drones entering NATO airspace are often attributed to jamming over Ukraine, causing them to stray into Poland or Romania.

However, Lithuania and Latvia border Russia directly, making these reported incursions particularly unusual.

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๐Ÿค”29๐Ÿ˜จ6๐Ÿ’Š2โค1โšก1๐Ÿ’”1
Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น - Russian drones entering NATO airspace are often attributed to jamming over Ukraine, causing them to stray into Poland or Romania. However, Lithuania and Latvia border Russia directly, making these reported incursions particularly unusual. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น - The drones flying within Latvian airspace could potentially be due to Ukrainian drones jammed by Russian Air Defense as Ukraine is mounting a drone attack right now on St. Petersburg, however the drones in Lithuanian airspace make no sense right now.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น - Lithuaniaโ€™s National Crisis Management Centre reports that 3 of the 4 tracked objects are currently in Latvian airspace, while the fourth is over Lithuania.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น - Red Level Air Raid Alert in Lithuania after drones have entered the airspace. NATO fighters jets have reportedly been scrambled. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น - NATO Fighter jets were scrambled from ล iauliai Air Base, which houses 4 Italian Eurofighter Typhoons and 6 Belgian F-16 Fighting Falcons.

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