Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Major General Mohsen Rezaei, Secretary of Iranโ€™s SNSC, says the Strait of Hormuz will remain closed, as the U.S. has failed to provide an acceptable response to Iranโ€™s seven conditions.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Major General Mohsen Rezaei, Secretary of Iranโ€™s SNSC, says the Strait of Hormuz will remain closed, as the U.S. has failed to provide an acceptable response to Iranโ€™s seven conditions. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Mohsen Rezaei also stated that all U.S. claims regarding ongoing negotiations with Iran are "pure lies and fabrications"

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - AA Activity has also being reported from the 15th Khordad IRGC Base in the Isfahan Province, Iran.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - AA Activity has also being reported from the 15th Khordad IRGC Base in the Isfahan Province, Iran. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - AA Activity can also be heard in the Khuzestan Province, Iran.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - AA Activity can also be heard in the Khuzestan Province, Iran. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Nothing points towards U.S -Iran activity at the moment, it's most likely just routine testing.

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#BREAKING
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€“ A Western intelligence report cited by Bloomberg claims Iran is producing around 50 ballistic missiles per monthโ€”at roughly half of its pre-war capacityโ€”, and may have "at least" 1,700 ballistic missiles in its arsenal.

Israel estimated Iran had around 2,500 ballistic missiles in its arsenal before February 28, and Iran launched at least 2,200 of those during the war, suggesting Iran built as much as 1,400 new missiles since (or the Israeli estimate was off).

The report also says Iran has "thousands" of Shahed-type weapons, of which at least 4,900 were fired during the war.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€“ A fire broke out on the Iranian South Pars SPD-14D platform on the South Pars gas field earlier today. No casualties were reported, the platform was evacuated and its operations were shut down.

No foul play is suspected, and a gas leak or operational accident is being considered as the probable cause.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ˜ โ€“ Rep. Jim Jordan was elected by the Republicans to be the new House Minority Leader, following the GOP's defeat in the midterms, which made Speaker Mike Johnson take the decision to not run for the position.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น - Red Level Air Raid Alert in Lithuania after drones have entered the airspace. NATO fighters jets have reportedly been scrambled.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น - Red Level Air Raid Alert in Lithuania after drones have entered the airspace. NATO fighters jets have reportedly been scrambled. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น - Alerts are active in Kaunas city, Kaunas district, Prienai district and Marijampolฤ— County. Residents are urged to go to nearby shelters.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น - Red Level Air Raid Alert in Lithuania after drones have entered the airspace. NATO fighters jets have reportedly been scrambled. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น - Alerts were issued earlier, and the all clear was then given after the drone passed into Poland. These are new alerts that have been issued with sirens reportedly heard in Kaunus city, Lithuania.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป - Air Raid Alerts in Balvi Municipality on the border with Russia.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น - Russian drones entering NATO airspace are often attributed to jamming over Ukraine, causing them to stray into Poland or Romania.

However, Lithuania and Latvia border Russia directly, making these reported incursions particularly unusual.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น - Russian drones entering NATO airspace are often attributed to jamming over Ukraine, causing them to stray into Poland or Romania. However, Lithuania and Latvia border Russia directly, making these reported incursions particularly unusual. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น - The drones flying within Latvian airspace could potentially be due to Ukrainian drones jammed by Russian Air Defense as Ukraine is mounting a drone attack right now on St. Petersburg, however the drones in Lithuanian airspace make no sense right now.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น - Lithuaniaโ€™s National Crisis Management Centre reports that 3 of the 4 tracked objects are currently in Latvian airspace, while the fourth is over Lithuania.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น - Red Level Air Raid Alert in Lithuania after drones have entered the airspace. NATO fighters jets have reportedly been scrambled. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น - NATO Fighter jets were scrambled from ล iauliai Air Base, which houses 4 Italian Eurofighter Typhoons and 6 Belgian F-16 Fighting Falcons.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has reportedly relocated from his home to a military base following Iranian threats against his life, according to The New York Times.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€“ UKMTO published a new warning regarding an incident in the Strait of Hormuz, but added absolutely no details: there is no incident date or time, no damage assessment, status of crew or known environmental impact.

The warning, though, came from "military authorities".

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