Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง - Earlier this morning, the IDF opened machine gun fire toward a crowd that was retrieving bodies in southern 'Nabatiyeh' of southern Lebanon, killing 2 civilians, and wounding others.

Hezbollah published an announcement describing the event. The IDF too acknowledged it, and stated that "it struck Hezbollah gunmen who posed a threat to forces" in the area, and accuses Hezbollah of violating the ceasefire.
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๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโ€“ In his speech today, Hezbollah Secretary-General Naim Qassem reaffirmed that armed resistance remains the sole pathway to liberating Lebanese territory and demanded a complete, time-bound Israeli withdrawal. He dismissed United States guarantees following the collapse of the November 2024 agreement and insisted that Israel must possess no influence over Lebanon's internal affairs or military cooperation.

Qassem further urged Lebanese authorities to leverage the organization's strength, while reiterating Hezbollah's commitment to the constitution and its steadfast alliance with Iran.

@GeoPWatch
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Geopolitics Watch
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Hezbollah published footage of the targeting of an IDF "Achzarit" APC using a fiber-optic "Ababil" FPV drone in a newly established IDF site on the 'Hamamis' hill near southern Lebanon's 'Khiam' on the 13th of June.
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Hezbollah published footage of the targeting of an IDF "Merkava IV (Barak)" Tank using a fiber-optic "Ababil" FPV drone nearby the 'Beaufort' castle of southern Lebanon on the 12th of June.
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Hezbollah published footage of the targeting of an IDF "D9" Bulldozer using a fiber-optic "Ababil" FPV drone nearby the 'Beaufort' castle of southern Lebanon on the 11th of June.
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#NEW
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง - The IDF has announced the IAF drone struck 2 Hezbollah personnel in southern Lebanon's 'Kfar Tibnit', and published images of their bodies, despite the ongoing ceasefire.

This marks the 3rd flagrant ceasefire violation in just 48 hours.
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#NEW
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ - Earlier today, an IDF Defense Ministry contractor, Ra'ad Abu al-Qi'an, was killed after the collapse of a Mosque minaret he was demolishing with heavy machinery in Gaza.
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - US Navy "Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72)" Aircraft Carrier spotted on satellite imagery yesterday, 140+ km away from Iran's 'Chabahar' port.
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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช- Conflict erupted for the second time within a week between Ansarullah and former Southern Transitional Council (STC) forces in the Ad Dali region of southern Yemen.

Hostilities persisted for several hours overnight, accompanied by reports of multiple drone strikes conducted by Ansarullah.

The STC has solicited assistance from the Saudi-backed Yemeni Presidential Leadership Council, alleging that forces aligned with the Houthi movement are escalating tensions along the line of contact.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡พ- Secretary of State Marco Rubio is expected to welcome representatives from eastern and western Libya to Washington to formalize the historic reunification of the country.
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โš ๏ธ- Strait of Hormuz Declared Unsafe โ€“ Controlled Vessel Evacuation Underway

The Sultanate of Oman has requested the issuance of an urgent navigation warning for the Arabian Gulf and Strait of Hormuz after authorities determined that the existing Traffic Separation Scheme (TSS) is no longer safe for navigation.

โ—๏ธKey Developments:

โ€ข Omani authorities report an elevated risk of vessel collisions in the current operating environment.
โ€ข A gradual and controlled evacuation of maritime traffic has been initiated.
โ€ข Two temporary emergency transit corridors one north and one south of the existing TSS have been established for vessels exiting the strait.
โ€ข Ships must assemble in a designated waiting area before receiving transit instructions.
โ€ข Vessel movements will be coordinated by the International Maritime Organization (IMO) and relevant coastal authorities.

Mandatory Measures:

โ€ข Ships will be assigned specific transit windows and instructed individually.
โ€ข AIS tracking systems must remain active throughout transit.
โ€ข Masters must maintain communications with coastal authorities and be prepared for sudden traffic suspensions to allow naval vessel movements.
โ€ข Vessel owners remain responsible for conducting independent risk assessments before proceeding.

Oman also reaffirmed its commitment to maintaining freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz without the imposition of transit tolls.

The emergency navigation warning was distributed through the Oman National Hydrographic Office and coordinated via NAVAREA IX channels.

The Strait of Hormuz handles roughly one-fifth of global oil trade, making any disruption to maritime traffic a significant development for global energy markets and regional security.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโ€ผ๏ธ- Iran has expressed criticism toward Oman for establishing shipping routes in the Strait of Hormuz without the participation of Tehran.

According to a statement released by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) Navy, unspecified authorities without explicitly naming Oman declared a new vessel traffic route through the strait without coordination with Iran. The statement further asserted that the sole authorized traffic routes are those designated by Tehran and warned that alternative routes are "highly dangerous."

These remarks follow Oman's announcement of a "temporary maritime corridor" in the Strait of Hormuz, established in coordination with the International Maritime Organization.
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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโ€ผ๏ธ- Iran has expressed criticism toward Oman for establishing shipping routes in the Strait of Hormuz without the participation of Tehran. According to a statement released by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) Navy, unspecified authorities withoutโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฒ- The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Oman has responded to Iran's objections regarding the establishment of vessel traffic routes in the Strait of Hormuz without prior coordination with Tehran, affirming that no fees will be levied on transiting vessels.

During the Gulf Cooperation Council summit in Bahrain, the Omani Foreign Minister emphasized the necessity of restoring freedom of navigation and ensuring the safe passage of ships through the Strait.

As a coastal state, the Sultanate of Oman underscored its responsibility to support international efforts in securing maritime navigation in compliance with international law and the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea.

The statement further clarified that future arrangements concerning the Strait will not involve the imposition of any transit fees.
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#BREAKING

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ›ฅ- Vessels are maneuvering to reverse course in the Strait of Hormuz following renewed Iranian assertions that only vessels with Iranian authorization may transit. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) Navy continues to disseminate broadcasts declaring the Strait closed and warning of consequences should vessels proceed.

It should be noted that a similar situation occurred last weekend, during which no attacks were launched against shipping.

This precedent does not necessarily indicate that the same outcome will occur this time.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ช- A unified NATO partnership will deploy the following personnel to Venezuela to assist with search and rescue operations:

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธโšก๏ธ โ€” Spain has prepared 55 army rescuers to respond to the devastating twin earthquakes in Venezuela.
๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑโšก๏ธ โ€” The Netherlands will dispatch a team to Venezuela and allocate approximately โ‚ฌ2 million to deploy rescue workers, search dogs, and equipment.
๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ทโšก๏ธ โ€” A team of 85 French specialists in search-and-rescue operations is being sent to Venezuela immediately.
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡นโšก๏ธ- Italy is to provide operational contribution in response to the international rescue request to prepare the departure today of an advanced team which, operators from the Regional Health Services and Firefighters, coordinated by the Department of Civil Protection.
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโšก๏ธ โ€” Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated regarding Venezuela: "We are already deploying search and rescue teams from Fairfax County, Virginia, and Los Angeles. Additional teams will be added. The most immediate requirement at this time is search and rescue efforts."
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#BREAKING

โš ๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy has engaged a vessel located 7.5 nautical miles off the coast of Oman. The vessel attempted to transit the Strait of Hormuz via an unauthorized route without coordinating with the Persian Gulf Strait Authority.
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