Geopolitics Watch
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Forwarded from Old Glory Vortex
How Iran Is beating Trump at his own game

It was supposed to be Trump's crowning achievement — a memorandum of understanding that would end Iran's nuclear program and bring peace to the Middle East for the first time in 3,000 years. Instead, weeks later, the president is downplaying his own deal as a "test" Iran failed and which "didn't mean much” in the first place.

The administration rushed into an MOU with imprecise language, missing what seasoned diplomats immediately saw coming. Iran seized on the vagueness to claim control over the Strait of Hormuz — the very waterway Trump now threatens to toll. In a masterstroke of sarcastic diplomacy, Iran's foreign minister offered a "fairer" price than the "Art of the Deal" president, tweeting: "20% is of course too much. We will be fair."

For all Trump’s military threats, Tehran is still dictating the dynamics of the conflict, using geography and a shrewd understanding of its limited abilities to outmaneuver a superpower.

So why hasn't this exploded into all-out war? For now, both sides are keeping ceilings on escalation. Trump has avoided striking civilian infrastructure, and Iran has calibrated its reprisals. But with daily back-and-forth attacks, the risk of violence spiraling out of control is real.

Five months into a conflict he said he'd already won, Trump still can't answer the only question that matters: How does he get out?

#Trump #Iran #theStraitofHormuz #negotiations

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📱 Old Glory Vortex 🇺🇸
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#NEW
🇸🇾❌🇱🇧🇱🇧 - The Syrian Ministry of Interior has announced the seizure of an Iranian arms smuggling attempt from the Iraqi Border on it's way to Lebanon's Hezbollah.

The shipment was found within an Iraqi oil tanker of a convoy that travels daily through Syria.

The cache included a large amount of FPV drones, 15 kilometer Fiber-Optic spools, modified-fuse
"PG7-VL-AT-1" Projectiles, 12 "ALMAS" NLOS ATGMs, and a "Paveh" Anti-Ship Cruise Missile.
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🛥❌🇺🇸 - Shipowners and crews are rejecting the US initiative to boost Hormuz traffic. The toll among ships and mariners are mounting as CENTCOM fails to deliver on its promise of safe passage.
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🇺🇸❌🇮🇷- Explosion in Bandar Abbas!
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🇺🇸❌🇮🇷- Reports of explosions on Behbahan.
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🇦🇪❓– Reuters reports explosions in central Dubai.

@GeoPWatch
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🇮🇱❌🇱🇧– Israeli Cabinet member Eli Cohen:

The memorandum of understanding with Lebanon explicitly states that we will remain in Lebanon for the coming years.


@GeoPWatch
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🇮🇷❌🇺🇸🇦🇪 — Iranian media outlets are accusing the United Arab Emirates of carrying out airstrikes in Iran today (so far, there is no official confirmation).
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🇮🇷❌🇺🇸🇯🇴 — The Jordanian Minister of Foreign Affairs stated that
"There are no American bases in Jordan, and there are only American soldiers present."
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🇮🇷❌🇺🇸🇰🇼🇧🇭🇯🇴- Map of the Iranian retaliatory strikes against US linked bases, Late 7/15-7/16/2026

🇮🇷⚡️Confirmed Iranian Impacts: US installations in the Ali al-Salem airbase and impacts near the Kuwait/Iraq border (likely against US missile unit bases) in Kuwait, US facilities and IADS in the Sheikh Isa Airbase in Bahrain, and US installations in the Muwaffaq Salti Air Base in Jordan.

🇮🇷⁉️Unconfirmed Iranian Impacts: The US Military Pier in Shuaiba in Kuwait.

🇮🇷⁉️🌞The headquarters of the Iranian-Kurdish anti government parties in Sulaymaniyah and a US Patriot launcher at the Erbil airport in Iraq were also struck, although neither the IRGC or Iranian Armed forces claimed responsibility for the attack.
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Forwarded from Tabz - Live News (Mister Iowan)
🇺🇸❌🇮🇷 — Aftermath of the attack against a bridge in Kahuristan, near Bandar Abbas. The bridge fully collapsed.
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🇮🇱❌🇱🇧 — IAF strike in Mansouriya, south Lebanon.
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