Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท - Direct Drone Strike on Erbil, Iraq.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - The Carrier Strike Group George Washington departed the port of Danang, Vietnam on August 5, 2026, crossed the Strait of Malacca and is moving toward the Middle East to relieve the USS Abraham Lincoln.

The deployment of the George Washington CSG comes as reports about deteriorating condition on the Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier make headlines.

The George Washington would be the 4th US carrier to join the war in Iran in just 6 months.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง โ€“ IAF jets have conducted multiple airstrikes in and around Mansouri today. Strikes have intensified in Lebanon and Gaza compared to last week.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€“ The USAF has lost at least 45 MQ-9 'Reaper' drones during the Iran war, which represent around 25% of the entire pre-war fleet and $1.3 billion dollars in losses. @GeoPWatch
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Air Defenses of the IRGC shot down a USAF "MQ-9" UCAV in southern Iran's 'Hormozgan' around an hour ago.

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๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฌ- Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan, Saudi Foreign Minister Faisal bin Farhan, and Egyptian Foreign Minister Badr Abdelatty convened in El Alamein, Egypt.

โžก๏ธ The meeting held in El Alamein among Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan, Saudi Foreign Minister Faisal bin Farhan, and Egyptian Foreign Minister Badr Abdelatty focused on regional developments and security.

โžก๏ธ The ministers discussed ongoing regional tensions, maritime security, the situation in Gaza, and efforts to prevent further escalation. Foreign Minister Fidan encouraged Egypt to consider acceding to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement between Tรผrkiye, Saudi Arabia, and Pakistan; however, Egypt indicated that such a move would require further legal and constitutional review.
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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช - Houthi strike on Mocha port. 2 ships are reportedly on fire.

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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Reports of a Houthi drone strike on Aramcoโ€™s Najra facility.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ-The AFU continues to maintain their momentum in southern Donetsk Oblast as they have succeeded in pushing the majority of Russian forces back from the western bank of the Mokri Yaly river north of Komar. โžก๏ธ Media surfaced of Ukrainian positions takingโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ-2 days ago the Ukrainian General staff announced the return of 26 villages in the Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts under their control, the majority of these claims can be verified through reliable mapping as well as geolocations.

โžก๏ธ As for the Southern Donetsk region the entire western bank of the Mokri Yaly river north of Komar along with the settlements of Myrne, Zirka, and Oleksandrohrad has returned to Ukrainian control, the villages of Vorone and Sicheve in the Dnipropetrovsk region have also been recaptured by Ukraine.

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๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡งโ—๏ธ- The UK Government has issued a severe alert for a very high risk of wildfires across the country.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€“ The U.S. Forest Service Chief, Michael Boren, pressed agency staff to deploy and divert more firefighting aircraft to extinguish a 7-acre fire burning near his personal Idaho ranch last month, according to the Washington Post.

At least nine aircraft, including helicopters, air tankers and tactical planes, were deployed to fight a relatively small fire that posed no risk to lives or infrastructure, and WaPo's sources confirm some of those aircraft were diverted from other fires in Idaho.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ โ€“ Trump reportedly refused to endorse Netanyahu's reelection bid for the upcoming October elections in Israel, and said the Israeli PM is "his own worst enemy", according to the Times of Israel.

Poor polling performance and policy disagreements on Iran, Lebanon, and Gaza are the main reasons Trump has politically distanced himself from the Israeli PM.

Polls in Israel show Netanyahu's Likud party Gadi Eisenkot, with Eisenkot better positioned to form a government.


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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง โ€“ IDF artillery struck the Lebanese village of Hadatha moments ago.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€“ President Trump said he will soon declare the Strait of Hormuz to be "territory of the United States".

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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช โ€“ The internationally-recognized Yemeni government, the Presidential Leadership Council (PLC), said four civilians died in today's Houthi strikes on the Mokha port.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€“ Trump's order to revert to steam and hydraulics instead of electromagnetic catapults on the future aircraft carrier Doris Miller (CVN-81) could "put the future fleet into a crisis", warned The War Zone.

The re-design process for Doris Miller is expected to be costly and time-consuming, and would "risk creating new delays in the delivery of new carriers, which are already running years behind schedule".


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€“ Bloomberg reports the Trump administration is preparing "unprecedented economic measures" against Iran, in an effort to force a deal with the Islamic Republic before November's midterms.

๐Ÿ“ This move also suggests Trump is favoring economic pressure and diplomacy over a return to military strikes in Iran, despite pressure from some in the high command.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ โ€“ Ukraine just launched around 480 drones into Russian airspace.

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๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ A new poll for the second round of the Brazilian presidential election, to be held 25 October, revealed right-wing Flavio Bolsonaro is closing the distance against left-wing incumbent Lula da Silva, although Lula still leads by around 4%.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ โ€“ A strong magnitude 7.7 earthquake shook Indonesia a few moments ago, with powerful aftershocks felt since.

A tsunami warning was issued for most of the coast around Southern Borneo and the Flores Sea, where the epicenter was located.

Multiple buildings have collapsed and there are reports of casualties.


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