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Geopolitics Watch

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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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Geopolitics Watch

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Geopolitics Watch

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🇺🇸 – President Trump posted a new Truth Social post lashing out against political commentator Tucker Carlson, Congressman Thomas Massie and former Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene, three former MAGA figures who broke up with the movement and have become critical voices of the Trump administration.

He ended his rant by praising Allah (again).

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- Map of the Houthi’s strikes against Saudi backed Yemeni controlled territory from August 6th- August 21st 2026

➡️August 6th: Missile and drone strikes on multiple military camps in Al-Ruwaik and Al-Thaniyah (Marib governorate).

➡️August 6th & 13th: Missile and drone strikes on Al-Abr's Nation's Shield Forces camp (Hadramout governorate).

➡️August 7th: Missile strikes on the Sahn al-Jinn military camp (Marib governorate) and logistical lines along the Al-Abr desert corridor (Hadramout governorate).

➡️August 8th, 9th, 15th, & 16th: Missile and drone strikes on Marib city (Marib governorate).

➡️August 9th, 14th, 16th, & 18th: Missile and drone strikes on the Al-Mukha port (Taizz governorate).

➡️August 21st: Drone strikes on the northwestern shores (Sa'dah governorate).

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🦠 – The Ebola outbreak in the DR Congo has become the deadliest in the history of the country, with over 2,500 deaths, of which half occurred in the last 20 days.

A senior UN coordinator warned the outbreak is growing "exponentially", and is spreading faster than any outbreak of the deadly virus on record.

The warning comes after the WHO warned this outbreak could become the deadliest in recorded history.

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🇵🇸 – Bassem Naim, a senior Hamas official, was told by Board of Peace mediators and U.S. advisor Jared Kushner to "be sensitive" to Netanyahu's political standing before the upcoming elections, according to Middle East Eye.

Meanwhile, Israel is ramping up strikes against alleged Hamas targets and civilian infrastructure in the Gaza Strip, as well as intensifying pressure in the West Bank through the 'E1' settlement project.

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🇨🇦 – Trade talks between the U.S. and Canada collapsed after Canadian PM Mark Carney withdrew from the negotiations, triggering 50% tariffs set by the Trump administration.

Carney said those tariffs will be matched dollar for dollar.

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🇴🇲 – New UKMTO data shows maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has dipped to only 20% of the pre-war average.

Last week, 103 ships entered the strait and 89 left. That's an average of ~14 ships entering and ~12 leaving each day.

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🇷🇺 – A Russian refinery in Novokuybyshevsk, Samara, and a port in Eisk, Krasnodar, were targeted by Ukrainian projectiles a few hours ago.

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🇮🇶 – Iranian state news outlet IRNA reported "a number" of Iraqi oil tankers were granted permission to transit the Strait of Hormuz, according to al-Arabiya.

The move comes after much requests by Baghdad, which relies heavily on the Strait to export its oil.

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🇷🇺- Retired FSB Major General Igor Laptev was found deceased with a gunshot wound at his residence in Moscow.

Russian media reports present conflicting accounts regarding the cause of death, with some outlets suggesting suicide and others alleging assassination by the SBU; however, official authorities have not yet confirmed the specific circumstances surrounding his death.

Major General Laptev had previously served in both the KGB and the FSB. He subsequently transitioned to the private sector, where his enterprises supplied secure communications equipment to the Russian Ministry of Defense, the Ministry of Internal Affairs, and the military communications infrastructure.

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🇰🇵- According to Ukrainian intelligence chief Skibitskiy, as reported in a CNN interview, North Korea has deployed 8,500 new troops to Russia, including 400 drone operators.

➡️ The drone unit is anticipated to conduct reconnaissance and strikes against targets within Ukraine from Russian territory.

➡️ The remaining personnel consist of 1,000 engineers and sappers assigned to reinforce rear positions in Russia's Kursk region.

➡️ Approximately 25,000 North Korean troops have rotated through Russia since October 2024. Ukrainian intelligence anticipates that President Putin may request up to 50,000 additional troops during a meeting with Kim Jong Un in September.

➡️ North Korea's Kim Yo Jong has dismissed such claims as groundless.

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🇨🇦 – Trade talks between the U.S. and Canada collapsed after Canadian PM Mark Carney withdrew from the negotiations, triggering 50% tariffs set by the Trump administration. Carney said those tariffs will be matched dollar for dollar. @GeoPWatch

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- Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has been one of the few Western leaders willing to push back against Trump's tariff, making Canada among the biggest targets of Trump's coercive trade measure.

The trade row between Ottawa and Washington just took on a different dimension as Trump heads for the midterm election with elevated inflation and a rapidly declining Strategic Petroleum Reserve.

Canada exports over 4 million barrels of crude per day to the US, accounting for over 50% of US total crude import and over 25% of the US crude consumption.

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Forwarded from Tabz - Live News (Tabz)

🇮🇷🇺🇸🇸🇦⚡️ — Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf:

We've received numerous messages from neighboring countries about shaping new security arrangements and economic cooperation in the region.

The United States put the security of every single one of its allies at such risk through bullying and pure disregard for their interests for the sake of Israel that they briefly saw their entire existence on the line.

A homegrown, independent order is what will actually deliver peace and security.

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🇱🇧 – The IDF/IAF continue to strike the Ali al-Taher heights.

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🇫🇷 – France will provide new interceptors for Ukraine following the latest waves of Russian strikes, AFP News reports, without clarifying the amount or type of interceptors to be delivered.

While thanking the announcement by President Macron, Zelensky added: "Thank you for confirming your readiness to provide licenses for the production of missiles".

📝 The interceptors in question are likely to be French-Italian 'Aster 15' or 'Aster 30', used by European-made SAMP/T air defense systems, which have been donated to Ukraine.

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🇸🇾 – The Syrian state news agency SANA reported multiple people were injured after an explosive device went off on an Internal Security Forces bus near Damascus.

No details were given on the number or severity of the injuries, and no party has claimed responsibility for the attack.

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🚢 – South Korea is testing for the first time the Northern Sea Route, sending the 'PanStar Acro' commercial vessel to test the viability of the route.

The journey is expected to last 40–45 days, cutting 10 days and 7,000 kilometers off from the traditional route through the Suez Canal, while at the same time avoiding a region now plagued by uncertainty.

President Lee Jae Myung prioritizes this initiative to establish the city of Busan as a global maritime hub, predicting the Arctic will be a regular trade route by 2030.

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🇳🇴 – The U.S. approved a sale of 21 UH-60M 'Black Hawk' helicopters and related material, spare parts and training to Norway, valued at over $2.3 billion dollars.

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🇷🇺 – Rosatom's CEO confirmed the state-owned atomic energy company is returning employees to the Iranian Bushehr power plant, after evacuating it in spring due to the war.

After leaving a minimal 20-person staff at the plant, the number of Rosatom employees in Bushehr has risen to 42 and is expected to reach 100 by autumn.

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- The AFU continues to build off their success in the southern Donetsk/ Dnipropetrovsk regions as they have recently retaken large swaths of fields and tree lines southeast of Novopavlivka

➡️ Over the past month Ukrainian forces have also succeeded in retaking the villages of Muravka and Novomykolaivka as media surfaced of Ukrainian positions taking fire in the two settlements.

➡️ Finally, Ukrainian forces continue to advance east of the Mokri Yaly river as they have captured the settlement of Yalta and from there they have entered the village of Zaporizhzhya.

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