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Geopolitics Watch

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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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Geopolitics Watch

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Geopolitics Watch

Geopolitics Watch

#BREAKING ⚡️

🇨🇦 – Trade talks between the U.S. and Canada collapsed after Canadian PM Mark Carney withdrew from the negotiations, triggering 50% tariffs set by the Trump administration. Carney said those tariffs will be matched dollar for dollar. @GeoPWatch

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- Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has been one of the few Western leaders willing to push back against Trump's tariff, making Canada among the biggest targets of Trump's coercive trade measure.

The trade row between Ottawa and Washington just took on a different dimension as Trump heads for the midterm election with elevated inflation and a rapidly declining Strategic Petroleum Reserve.

Canada exports over 4 million barrels of crude per day to the US, accounting for over 50% of US total crude import and over 25% of the US crude consumption.

@GeoPWatch

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Geopolitics Watch

Forwarded from Tabz - Live News (Tabz)

🇮🇷🇺🇸🇸🇦⚡️ — Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf:

We've received numerous messages from neighboring countries about shaping new security arrangements and economic cooperation in the region.

The United States put the security of every single one of its allies at such risk through bullying and pure disregard for their interests for the sake of Israel that they briefly saw their entire existence on the line.

A homegrown, independent order is what will actually deliver peace and security.

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🇱🇧 – The IDF/IAF continue to strike the Ali al-Taher heights.

@GeoPWatch

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🇫🇷 – France will provide new interceptors for Ukraine following the latest waves of Russian strikes, AFP News reports, without clarifying the amount or type of interceptors to be delivered.

While thanking the announcement by President Macron, Zelensky added: "Thank you for confirming your readiness to provide licenses for the production of missiles".

📝 The interceptors in question are likely to be French-Italian 'Aster 15' or 'Aster 30', used by European-made SAMP/T air defense systems, which have been donated to Ukraine.

@GeoPWatch

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🇸🇾 – The Syrian state news agency SANA reported multiple people were injured after an explosive device went off on an Internal Security Forces bus near Damascus.

No details were given on the number or severity of the injuries, and no party has claimed responsibility for the attack.

@GeoPWatch

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🚢 – South Korea is testing for the first time the Northern Sea Route, sending the 'PanStar Acro' commercial vessel to test the viability of the route.

The journey is expected to last 40–45 days, cutting 10 days and 7,000 kilometers off from the traditional route through the Suez Canal, while at the same time avoiding a region now plagued by uncertainty.

President Lee Jae Myung prioritizes this initiative to establish the city of Busan as a global maritime hub, predicting the Arctic will be a regular trade route by 2030.

@GeoPWatch

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🇳🇴 – The U.S. approved a sale of 21 UH-60M 'Black Hawk' helicopters and related material, spare parts and training to Norway, valued at over $2.3 billion dollars.

@GeoPWatch

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🇷🇺 – Rosatom's CEO confirmed the state-owned atomic energy company is returning employees to the Iranian Bushehr power plant, after evacuating it in spring due to the war.

After leaving a minimal 20-person staff at the plant, the number of Rosatom employees in Bushehr has risen to 42 and is expected to reach 100 by autumn.

@GeoPWatch

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- The AFU continues to build off their success in the southern Donetsk/ Dnipropetrovsk regions as they have recently retaken large swaths of fields and tree lines southeast of Novopavlivka

➡️ Over the past month Ukrainian forces have also succeeded in retaking the villages of Muravka and Novomykolaivka as media surfaced of Ukrainian positions taking fire in the two settlements.

➡️ Finally, Ukrainian forces continue to advance east of the Mokri Yaly river as they have captured the settlement of Yalta and from there they have entered the village of Zaporizhzhya.

@GeoPWatch

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🇵🇦 – The 'Ocean Winner', a Panama-flagged vessel carrying iron ore to Singapore, sunk off eastern India due to unknown reasons, Reuters reports.

Out of the 24 crew members only two have been rescued by the Indian Coast Guard.

@GeoPWatch

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🇮🇷 – President Trump on Truth Social:

We've escorted over 1000 ships through the Strait of Hormuz.

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🪁🇵🇸❌🇮🇱 - Yesterday morning, around 6 kites from Gaza reached Israel's settlement of "Nahal Oz".

Israel's Defense Minister Israel Katz has instructed the IDF to act forcefully against the launching of kites from Gaza. The IDF states that no suspicious material was attached on the kites.

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Katz in a statement:

Every launch [of kites] is an act of war in every respect, and are committed to the absolute protection of the Israeli communities.

Anyone who organizes, launches, or enables the launches will be dealt with immediately and with the utmost severity.

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Katz added:

A kite is treated like a drone, with or without explosives.

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Geopolitics Watch

🇮🇱 - Yesterday morning, around 6 kites from Gaza reached Israel's settlement of "Nahal Oz". Israel's Defense Minister Israel Katz has instructed the IDF to act forcefully against the launching of kites from Gaza. The IDF states that no suspicious material…

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🇮🇱 - Israel's Defense Minister Israel Katz is to summon the IDF Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir alongside other top IDF military officials to discuss the "kite" incident in Gaza.

@GeoPWatch

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❗️🇺🇦 - Ukrainian President Zelensky Says His Ex-Defense Minister Fedorov Was Wrong to Call for Elections.

The Ukrainian president repeated his long-held position that elections in the middle of war would tear his country apart.

What started as a dispute between the former Defense Minister Fedorov and former Commander in Chief of the AFU resulted in the dismissal of both men. Fedorov has since rejected Zelensky's offer to return to the government in a different post and called for election to be held in Ukraine.

@GeoPWatch

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🇮🇷 – Iran discovered more than 7.5 trillion cubic feet (or ~212.37 billion cubic meters) in a massive gas field in the south of the Fars province, according to Mohsen Paknejad, the Iranian oil minister.

@GeoPWatch

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🇪🇺 – Western intelligence sources cited by The Telegraph claim Russia has launched "a new wave" of coordinated attacks against European armament production.

Moscow reportedly employs mostly local gangs to do its bidding, which in some cases take advantage of the European Schengen Zone to easily cross borders and disrupt production in other countries.

There has also been a notable increase in attacks. Just this month, there have been three incidents linked to Russian sabotage:

🔴 One of the two foreign suppliers of unmanned ground systems to Ukraine, Milrem Robotics, had a building set ablaze in Estonia by Latvian nationals.

🔴 An explosion in an EMCO plant in Bulgaria, which produces 155mm shells for Ukraine, was also linked to Russia in the report.

🔴 A similar incident took place just three days later in a KNDS Ammo Italy plant.

🔴 Other incidents, like the explosive-laden drone that appeared in a German airport, were also linked to Russia's hybrid war campaign.

@GeoPWatch

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Geopolitics Watch

🇮🇱 - Israel's Defense Minister Israel Katz is to summon the IDF Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir alongside other top IDF military officials to discuss the "kite" incident in Gaza. @GeoPWatch

#BREAKING
🇮🇱❌🪁🇵🇸 - Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has blamed "Hamas" for the kites that landed in Israel's settlements yesterday, and has warned that the IDF is to intensify its attacks on Gaza and is to return to it's policy of evacuations and mass displacement.

📝 Netanyahu states:

Israel warns Hamas that if the launches toward Israel do not stop immediately, the IDF will act to intensify strikes against those responsible for the launches and evacuate populations from areas from which kites, drones and balloons are launched

The statement come following the assessment held between top IDF officials alongside Netanyahu, Israel Katz and Eyal Zamir.

@GeoPWatch

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🇺🇸 – A state of emergency has been called in Reno, Nevada as wildfires that have burnt over 10,000 acres force more than 14,000 people to evacuate.

@GeoPWatch

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🇮🇱 – Iran executed Majid Adineh after being accused of aiding the U.S. and Israel in the January protests that swept across the country.

He had been under arrest since January 9.

@GeoPWatch

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🇮🇷 – The Iran-backed Persian Gulf Strait Authority (PSGA) has warned it will now fine, seize or confiscate vessels violating the "Iranian arrangements" for transiting the Strait of Hormuz:

In light of violations by certain vessels of the Iranian arrangements for transiting the Strait of Hormuz, these vessels will face restrictions in their future transits through the Strait of Hormuz, such as fines, seizure, or confiscation.

[...]

Vessels that, from this date onward, engage in ship-to-ship transfers, transshipment, etc., with vessels on [the offending vessels list] will themselves be added to this list. Additionally, vessels wishing to have their names removed from this list must submit their request along with the relevant explanation to info@pgsa.ir.

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