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Geopolitics Watch

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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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Geopolitics Watch

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Geopolitics Watch

❗️🇺🇦 - Ukrainian President Zelensky Says His Ex-Defense Minister Fedorov Was Wrong to Call for Elections.

The Ukrainian president repeated his long-held position that elections in the middle of war would tear his country apart.

What started as a dispute between the former Defense Minister Fedorov and former Commander in Chief of the AFU resulted in the dismissal of both men. Fedorov has since rejected Zelensky's offer to return to the government in a different post and called for election to be held in Ukraine.

@GeoPWatch

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🇮🇷 – Iran discovered more than 7.5 trillion cubic feet (or ~212.37 billion cubic meters) in a massive gas field in the south of the Fars province, according to Mohsen Paknejad, the Iranian oil minister.

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🇪🇺 – Western intelligence sources cited by The Telegraph claim Russia has launched "a new wave" of coordinated attacks against European armament production.

Moscow reportedly employs mostly local gangs to do its bidding, which in some cases take advantage of the European Schengen Zone to easily cross borders and disrupt production in other countries.

There has also been a notable increase in attacks. Just this month, there have been three incidents linked to Russian sabotage:

🔴 One of the two foreign suppliers of unmanned ground systems to Ukraine, Milrem Robotics, had a building set ablaze in Estonia by Latvian nationals.

🔴 An explosion in an EMCO plant in Bulgaria, which produces 155mm shells for Ukraine, was also linked to Russia in the report.

🔴 A similar incident took place just three days later in a KNDS Ammo Italy plant.

🔴 Other incidents, like the explosive-laden drone that appeared in a German airport, were also linked to Russia's hybrid war campaign.

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Geopolitics Watch

🇮🇱 - Israel's Defense Minister Israel Katz is to summon the IDF Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir alongside other top IDF military officials to discuss the "kite" incident in Gaza. @GeoPWatch

#BREAKING
🇮🇱❌🪁🇵🇸 - Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has blamed "Hamas" for the kites that landed in Israel's settlements yesterday, and has warned that the IDF is to intensify its attacks on Gaza and is to return to it's policy of evacuations and mass displacement.

📝 Netanyahu states:

Israel warns Hamas that if the launches toward Israel do not stop immediately, the IDF will act to intensify strikes against those responsible for the launches and evacuate populations from areas from which kites, drones and balloons are launched

The statement come following the assessment held between top IDF officials alongside Netanyahu, Israel Katz and Eyal Zamir.

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🇺🇸 – A state of emergency has been called in Reno, Nevada as wildfires that have burnt over 10,000 acres force more than 14,000 people to evacuate.

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🇮🇱 – Iran executed Majid Adineh after being accused of aiding the U.S. and Israel in the January protests that swept across the country.

He had been under arrest since January 9.

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🇮🇷 – The Iran-backed Persian Gulf Strait Authority (PSGA) has warned it will now fine, seize or confiscate vessels violating the "Iranian arrangements" for transiting the Strait of Hormuz:

In light of violations by certain vessels of the Iranian arrangements for transiting the Strait of Hormuz, these vessels will face restrictions in their future transits through the Strait of Hormuz, such as fines, seizure, or confiscation.

[...]

Vessels that, from this date onward, engage in ship-to-ship transfers, transshipment, etc., with vessels on [the offending vessels list] will themselves be added to this list. Additionally, vessels wishing to have their names removed from this list must submit their request along with the relevant explanation to info@pgsa.ir.

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🇪🇺 – Serbia has requested assistance from both Russia and the European Union to battle the wildfires that are raging across the country and the Balkans as a whole.

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🇺🇦 – The British Prime Minister will share with Ukraine the necessary information for Kyiv to start manufacturing Storm Shadow cruise missiles, The Telegraph reports.

The Storm Shadow, in service since 2002, has a range of 155 miles (~225 kilometers). Their bunker-busting warheads have proven very useful to the Ukrainian armed forces, which have used the limited number of missiles France and the UK donated since 2023.

The missiles, though, rely on classified U.S. targeting data, and its unclear whether Washington will assist on every strike planned by Kyiv.

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🇷🇺 – Ukraine struck another two OZON warehouses in Russia, this time in Krasnodar and Dagestan.

This raises the number of strikes against OZON warehouses to four.

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🇳🇿 – New Zealand is the latest country to propose a social media ban for children under 16, and is studying the possibility of imposing fines equivalent to 10% of a platform's global revenue for failure to comply.

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🇷🇺 – Another two OZON warehouses were hit in Adygea Republic and Stavropol Krai. That raises the total of struck OZON warehouses to six.

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🇴🇲 – The Iranian Foreign Ministry confirmed the Omani FM, Sayyid Badr al-Busaidi, will visit Tehran on Tuesday to discuss bilateral and regional issues, mainly the Strait of Hormuz.

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🇨🇩 – The DR Congo and the Rwanda-backed M23 group have agreed on a roadmap that includes timeliness for negotiations to end the conflict engulfing eastern Congo, according to a joint statement published by Switzerland.

The negotiations will take place under the Doha Framework Agreement signed last year. This breakthrough was achieved after four days of closed-door talks mediated by the United States, Qatar, Switzerland, the African Union Commission and Togo.

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❗️🛢🇸🇦 - An unknown projectile struck a tanker 63 nautical miles west of Yanbu, Saudi Arabia, causing a fire on the vessel deck.

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🇸🇾 — Times of Israel and Axios reported that Syrian Foreign Minister Assad Shabbani met with the head of Israeli intelligence agency Mossad, Gofman, yesterday in Amman.

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🇺🇸❌🇮🇷 - President Donald Trump via Truth Social.

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