Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿด โ€“ Gunfire and explosions were also heard around the National Guard Camp in Niamey, which is near the presidential palace.

So far it remains unknown whether the militants have a particular target.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐ŸŒž - The Trump administration is considering cutting off security assistance to the Kurdish security force, Peshmerga, sources told BBC.

The Peshmerga, numbering 180,000 troops in Iraqi Kurdistan, received $61M in funding in fiscal 2026. The group was instrumental in defeating ISIS.

President Trump was expecting them join the campaign against Iran earlier this year. The Kurds did not meaningfully contribute to the American war effort but has been under intense bombardment from Iran.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต - The latest Intervention effort to save the Yen likely costs Tokyo and Washington close to $100B. The yen rebounded from the historically low level of 164 per dollar and is stabilizing at 158 per dollar. BOJ alone spent $87B in two days, a much largerโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต - The Yen is back below the 160 per dollar level, shedding more than half the move from the joint US-Japan intervention.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - 37 Ukrainian civilians were killed in last night's Russian attack on Bucha.

President Zelenskyy confirmed that the strike triggered a major detonation at the site, where ammunition was being stored near residential areas. At least 42 others were injured and 381 people were evacuated.


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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - President Zelenskyy:
Storing weapons and drones near civilian areas is a terrifying situation and gross negligence.
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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - 37 Ukrainian civilians were killed in last night's Russian attack on Bucha. President Zelenskyy confirmed that the strike triggered a major detonation at the site, where ammunition was being stored near residential areas. At least 42 others wereโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - President Zelenskyy has called for an investigation into the warehouse, storing weapons and drones near residential areas, that was targeted last night, stating that all information must be released to the public immediately.

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๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ - Lukashenko and Putin are meeting now for the 2nd time in 3 days.

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๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ - Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk:

Russia is seriously preparing for an escalation and that the next seven to eight months could be critical for the security of Ukraine, Poland and the entire region.


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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Reportedly, Russia is planning on mass mobilizing 500,000 to 600,000 soldiers for a planned new front in Ukraineโ€™s Chernihiv region.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโš ๏ธ- Ongoing Ukranian drone attack on Russia. Drones are targeting Crimea and Belgorod.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ช โ€“ Gunfire reported yesterday in Niamey, Niger, was not related to an ISSP assault on the capital, but to a coup attempt by regional military leaders.

Fighting continues to be sporadic in the capital, with Niamey International Airport being one of the main hot zones. An initial attack on the Presidential Palace was repealed, and the coup could likely be considered to have failed.

The situation, while calm for now, does not appear to be under control for the military junta.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ช โ€“ Nigerien state TV resumed broadcasting after a brief pause, and claimed the military junta is "progressively โ€Œretaking โ control" of all sensitive sites attacked by the rebels.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€“ President Trump reposted a New York Post article titled "Trump is winning the Iran warโ€”stay the course".

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๐Ÿšข๐Ÿ›ข- Oil exports from the Persian (Arabian) Gulf have recovered to 16 million barrels per day, representing approximately two-thirds of pre-war levels. Concurrently, the increasing practice of tankers operating in "dark" mode and utilizing ship-to-ship transfers to circumvent disruptions has contributed to a decline in oil prices from over $120 in April to approximately $89.

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๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ- Greece and Israel are set to execute a โ‚ฌ3.1 billion agreement for the โ€œAchillesโ€™ Shieldโ€ program, which will integrate Spyder, Barak MX, and Davidโ€™s Sling systems with Greeceโ€™s existing defense infrastructure.

This AI-enabled network is designed to counter drones, aircraft, and ballistic missiles, with a projected delivery timeline of 35 months and a requirement for 25% Greek industrial participation.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ช โ€“ Nigerien state TV resumed broadcasting after a brief pause, and claimed the military junta is "progressively โ€Œretaking โ control" of all sensitive sites attacked by the rebels. @GeoPWatch
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ช - An unidentified audio file is currently circulating that reportedly indicates that Nigerโ€™s junta leader, Tiani, has been removed from office. This still remains to be confirmed.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ช- The Nigerien government appears to have lost control over a significant portion of the armed forces amid an ongoing military mutiny.

โ–ถ๏ธ Both loyalist and mutinous forces are reportedly contacting military units across the country, attempting to rally them to their respective sides and calling troops back toward the capital, Niamey.

โ–ถ๏ธ Notably, the National Gendarmerie has reportedly remained inside its barracks and has yet to clearly align itself with either side. The reason for its apparent inaction remains unclear.

โ–ถ๏ธ The situation is increasingly becoming a race to secure the loyalty of the bulk of Nigerโ€™s armed forces, although developments in Niamey could determine the outcome before reinforcements arrive.

โ–ถ๏ธ The unrest points to significant discontent within sections of the Nigerien military.

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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฉโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฉ- Since mid August the RSF allied with SPLM-N has managed to recapture territory in the southeastern Blue Nile region of Sudan including the important border village of Kurmuk as well as advancing into the Geissan district of Sudan.

โžก๏ธYesterday media surfaced of the RSF celebrating their victory at the Sirkum military base west of Sali, they have also reportedly captured the Bakori base although it is likely that fighting for the base is still ongoing.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ”ด - Air Raid Alert in Kyiv.

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