Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ—ณ- Exit polling from ARD and ZDF indicates a major victory for the right-wing AfD in Saxony-Anhalt, with ZDF projecting the party at approximately 44% of the vote.

โ–ถ๏ธ The SPD is projected at around 8%, while Die Linke stands at approximately 9%. The Greens and BSW are hovering around the critical 5% threshold required to enter the state parliament, while the FDP is projected below the threshold.

โ–ถ๏ธ The result represents a major increase for the AfD, which received 20.8% in the 2021 election. Pre-election polling had already placed the party at roughly 41โ€“42%, substantially ahead of the CDU.

โ–ถ๏ธ Whether the AfD can secure an absolute parliamentary majority will depend heavily on the final results and, crucially, how many smaller parties clear the 5% threshold. A large share of votes going to parties that fail to enter parliament would lower the effective vote share required for a majority of seats.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ—ณ- Exit polling from ARD and ZDF indicates a major victory for the right-wing AfD in Saxony-Anhalt, with ZDF projecting the party at approximately 44% of the vote. โ–ถ๏ธ The SPD is projected at around 8%, while Die Linke stands at approximately 9%. The Greensโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ—ณ- AfD is currently projected as of current counts to secure 41 seats in the Saxony-Anhalt state parliament, more than double the CDUโ€™s 17 seats, according to current election projections.

If confirmed, the result would represent a gain of approximately 23.7 percentage points for the AfD compared with the 2021 state election

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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช โ€“ Over 140 people have died during the recent clashes in Yemen, AFP News reports citing military sources.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ โ€“ Pope Leo XIV has called for peace in Ukraine as U.S. envoys Witkoff and Kushner prepare to visit Kyiv to restart peace negotiations with Moscow.

He specifically said his heart is with those who have "lived in anguish and fear for years" in Ukraine.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€“ President Trump posted an image in Truth Social renaming the U.S. state of New Mexico to "New America".

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ -After weeks of constant Russian DRG infiltrations into the fortress town of Orikhiv the Russian military managed to consolidate in the southern residential part of the town along with capturing the entire eastern part of Novodanylivka.

โžก๏ธ Media surfaced of Russian positions being shelled by Ukrainian drones on Metalistiv street in southern/central Orikhiv, Russian DRGs also continue their infiltrations through the town of Mala Tokmachka and the fields north of the town.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€“ Trump posted a lot about Iran in his Truth Social, mostly mocking the Iranian economy, threatening Kharg Island with a fictional three-engine jet and showing himself "hammering" the country.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ Earlier, Trump also mocked Canadian President Mark Carney, showing himself beating Carney in an AI-drawn hockey game, and again calling him "Governor", a term reserved for state leaders in the U.S.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโ“- Ukraine Evaluates Taxation of OnlyFans Content to Finance Drone and Defense Programs

โžก๏ธ The Ukrainian Parliament is currently deliberating the legalization of pornography, with the objective of imposing taxes on a substantial number of OnlyFans creators. This initiative aims to generate approximately $25 million annually to support defense-related expenditures.

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๐Ÿšข- Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has declined to its lowest level since May following U.S. and Iranian strikes on commercial vessels.

โžก๏ธ Over the past ten days, an average of only ten commodity ships transited the strait daily, with just two transits recorded on Saturday and six on Sunday.

Source: Reuters

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿšข- The U.S. Navy undertook a gruelling four-month covert operation to remove Iranian naval mines from the Strait of Hormuz. Specialized teams of Navy divers and autonomous underwater vehicles utilized sonar technology to identify the mines, which were subsequently neutralized via controlled detonations.

โžก๏ธ While President Trump confirmed the completion of the clearance operation, shipping companies remain cautious due to the potential for Iran to re-establish minefields and the ongoing threat of missile and drone attacks.
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