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🇸🇦 – The Saudi ARAMCO refinery in Jazan was struck yet again by Houthi missiles. NASA's FIRMS confirms multiple fires broke out in the facility.

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Geopolitics Watch

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🛢 – Oil prices continue to rise as fighting intensifies in Yemen and risks to spill over as strikes in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait and/or strikes against Saudi refineries.

Murban Crude, the main West Asian benchmark, has risen more than 4% to ~$108 dollars per barrel. Brent and WTI crude are also steadily rising, albeit slower.

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🇵🇸 – 20 minutes ago, the IDF struck the industrial city of southern Gaza Strip with artillery. Currently, the IDF is targeting eastern 'Tuffah' of northern Gaza with artillery.

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🇸🇦 - Ansarullah (Houthis) announced shooting down an RSAF "CH-4" UCAV over Yemen's 'Khabb wa alSha'af' District of 'AlJawf' overnight. @GeoPWatch

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🇸🇦 - Ansarullah (Houthis) announced shooting down a second RSAF "CH-4" UCAV over Yemen's 'AlJawf' whilst ongoing clashes.

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🇺🇦 – U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff said about his visit to Moscow and Kyiv that
"substantive progress was made, including movement on scheduling additional trilateral talks" to end the war.

There is still no confirmation of whether additional meetings will be held with Putin or Zelensky.

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5.57K viewsDeigo, edited 16:39

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🇾🇪 – The Houthis claimed Saudi Arabia struck a prison in northern Yemen, killing at least seven people and trapping at least 36 others, including 35 prisoners and a woman, under the rubble.

The strike took place in the Central Corrective Facility in Hazm, Jawf province, as fighting intensifies between the Houthis and the Saudi-backed PLC.

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5.71K viewsDeigo, edited 16:53

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🇮🇷 - Alleged missile fire from Iran's 'Sirik' towards the Strait of Hormuz.

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🇺🇸 – Majed al-Nasari, Qatari foreign ministry spokesperson, said the U.S. military presence in the region is "not enough" anymore, but instead of calling for the U.S. to reinforce its position, he advocated for self-sufficiency, diversification in the security realm and for Gulf states to be responsible for their own defense.

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5.61K viewsDeigo, 18:29

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🇷🇺 – Two Russian Su-35s fighter jets crashed against each other above Kursk earlier today. The debris of both aircraft is pictured above.

The status of the pilots remains unknown.

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🇷🇺❌🇺🇦 - A large-scale Russian aerial attack is expected against Ukraine tonight, with Kyiv and Kyiv Oblast facing the highest threat with the Lviv Oblast also potentially targeted.

▶️ Current estimates suggest the potential use of hundreds of drones, up to 40 cruise missiles and 35–50 ballistic/hypersonic missiles. Up to 8 Tu-95MS and 4 Tu-160 strategic bombers could participate, potentially carrying as many as 60 Kh-101 cruise missiles, with 4 Tu-160 bombers in the air right now flying from East Russia to West Russia to their launch lines.

▶️ Geran-4 jet drones are expected to continue operating ahead of the main strike, to wear out Air Defense systems protecting the capital.

⚡️ Nonetheless, nothing is officially confirmed.

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🇺🇦 - A large-scale Russian aerial attack is expected against Ukraine tonight, with Kyiv and Kyiv Oblast facing the highest threat with the Lviv Oblast also potentially targeted. ▶️ Current estimates suggest the potential use of hundreds of drones, up to…

🇷🇺❌🇺🇦 - The ceasefire for aerial strikes on Kyiv will end in 30 minutes.

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🇺🇦❌🇷🇺 - 370 Ukrainian drones have been launched to Russia.

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🇮🇱 – Volkswagen finalized a deal with Israeli defense firm 'Rafael' to transform its plant in Osnabrück, Germany, into a factory for components for the Israeli 'Iron Dome' air defense system.

The plant is expected to stop producing automobiles in 2027, and then switch to trucks, generators and launchers for the Iron Dome batteries.

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🇺🇦 - The ceasefire for aerial strikes on Kyiv will end in 30 minutes. @GeoPWatch

🇷🇺❌🇺🇦 - 72 hour ceasefire is officially over.

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🇷🇺❌🇺🇦🔴 - Ballistic missile threat in Kyiv.

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🇷🇺❌🇺🇦🔴 - The first wave of Russian Geran-4 Jet Powered Drones appear to be enroute to Kyiv.

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🇺🇦❌🇷🇺🔴- Moscow Oblast is under Missile Threat.

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🇱🇧 – IAF airstrikes killed 13 people in southern Lebanon today, and wounded others, in what represents another escalation and one of the deadliest days recorded in the last weeks.

11 of those people were killed on a single strike on Kfar Rumman, which destroyed a building.

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4.17K viewsDeigo, 21:51

🔴 - Ballistic missile threat in Kyiv.

🇷🇺❌🇺🇦🟢 - Ballistic missile threat in Kyiy has been lifted, however the capital is still under a drone attack and Kyiv remains under air raid alert.

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-The Russian military’s bridgehead west of the Zherebets River, which was utilized by Russian forces to put pressure on Lyman from the north along with threatening Ukrainian formations with encirclement east of the Oskil River, has been completely eliminated by the Ukrainian military.

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Over recent weeks as the AFU was conducting their pincer movements toward the village of Kolodyazi the Russian military withdrew their forces from the pocket north of Lyman, evading the what would be the encirclement of a couple hundred Russian personnel.

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As a result of the Russian military’s withdrawal back towards the Zherebets River Ukrainian forces have recaptured the villages of Drobysheve, Novoselivka, Derylove, Shandryholove, Serednje, and Zelena Dolyna, fighting for the village of Kolodyazi continues.

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