Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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โ—๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - The damage caused by the Houthis strikes to the Saudi East-West pipeline was found to be much greater than previous estimates.

Three pumping stations were damaged and recovery could take up to 6 weeks.

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โ—๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ›ข - Exxon Mobil has shut down one of the largest diesel refineries in the Midwest U.S., which produces ~11 million gallons of gasoline and diesel fuel per day, due to outage issues.

This comes as diesel prices have already surged nearly 90% this year and the US has entered peak diesel demand season.

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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น - An Italian Air Force F-2000 Eurofighter was hit during overnight attacks on King Fahd Air Base in Taif, Mecca region, Saudi Arabia according to the Italian Defense Ministry.

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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น - An Italian Air Force F-2000 Eurofighter was hit during overnight attacks on King Fahd Air Base in Taif, Mecca region, Saudi Arabia according to the Italian Defense Ministry. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น - The jet was deployed alongside 3 other Eurofighters to Saudi Arabia as part of Italyโ€™s Task Force Air Arabia detachment in March 2026.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - JPMorgan :

We simply donโ€™t know how to model the endgame.


The bank says says it no longer has a baseline outlook for oil for the first time since the Iran war began, and that several economic โ€œred linesโ€ it assumed Washington would avoid have now been crossed, while the path toward ending the disruption has become less clear.

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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ›ข๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‘Ž - According to Bloomberg, Saudi Arabia will cease all sales of Crude Oil to European Refiners due to the recent attacks on the East-West pipeline.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Multiple explosions have been reported from the Strait of Hormuz with reports stating that 4 cruise missiles were launched at vessels in the Strait.
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ โ€“ A drone, likely of Ukrainian origin, struck the cooling tower of the Kursk Nuclear Plant, near the Russia-Ukraine border, according to the IAEA.

No damage was reported, and the facility continued operating normally. Rafael Grossi, head of the IAEA, called again for "maximum military restraint" to prevent nuclear accidents, reiterating that all attacks on such facilities are unacceptable.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡จ๐ŸŒ โ€“ The U.S. is moving "most" of its MQ-9 'Reaper' drones deployed in AFRICOM to the SOUTHCOM area of responsibility as operation against cartelsโ€”including strikes on landโ€”are expected to increase, CNN reported.

The redeployment could hamper operations against ISIS, al-Shabaab and others, although there is still a "steady drumbeat" of operations against terrorist groups in the continent.

Although the number of drones to be moved and the countries they will be deployed to remain unknown, Ecuador was named as one of the countries that could host U.S. drones and strikes. Most recent operations in the Pacific have been coordinated with Ecuadorian authorities.


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#BREAKING
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€“ Six U.S. officials cited by the Washington Post claim the number of dead U.S. servicemembers during the Iran war is higher than the Pentagon has publicly admitted.

Five officials said at least 22 U.S. soldiers have died, 4 more than what the Pentagon has disclosed in its DCAS database.


The sixth official said the actual number was 23.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€“ The inflated number of 22-23 casualties does not include three U.S. contractors that have died during the war, nor two U.S. servicemembers who died in the Middle East during missions unrelated to the warโ€”these are Sgt. Devin Seibel, who died in Erbil, Iraq, on May during a training accident, and Maj. Sorffly Davius, who suffered an unspecified medical emergency in Kuwait on March.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€“ The same report outlines that the war in Iran has cost the U.S. approximately $43.6 billion through early September.

It's also detailed only 28% of Americans support the war in Iran as it's been conducted, while 62% oppose it.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€“ Trump announced a ban from coverage in the White House against CNN, MSNOW and POLITICO due to their "FAKE NEWS", "FICTION" and "LIES".

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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Alerts in Jeddah.

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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Alerts in Yanbu.

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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Alerts in Al Ula.

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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Alerts in Taif.

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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Alerts in Al Ula. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Al Ula is deep in Saudi, North West of the country.

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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - All Clear in Mecca Region, Khamis Mushait and Jeddah.

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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - All Clear in all remaining provinces.

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