Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ”ผ๐Ÿ›ข โ€“ Oil prices rose over 3.5% today and are back at around $103 dollars per barrel, snapping a five day losing streak for the oil market.

The rise could be related to the diplomatic impasse between Iran and the U.S. that became clear following Trump's suggestion he could "annihilate" Iran after the midterms and Pezeshkian's defiant speech at the UNGA today.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ-With the Russian bridgehead north of Lyman now eliminated the Ukrainian military was able to clear the northeastern/eastern residential sectors of Lyman from Russian infiltrators as well as consolidate in forested areas southeast of Stavky. โžก๏ธ Mediaโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ - According to pro Russian and neutral OSINT sources the Ukrainian military has captured the village of Myrne as well as crossing the Mokri Yaly river and securing a foothold in the settlements of Perebudova and Komar.

โžก๏ธ South of Komar the Ukrainian military has also regained control over the settlement of Voskresenka as media surfaced of Ukrainian positions being shelled by Russian artillery in the western sector of the village.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€” The Israeli Central Elections Committee votes to bar the only 2 Arab parties running for parliamentary elections, representing 20% of the country's population.

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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Last night, the Ansarullah launched an attack towards "AlAshbut" aiming to capture the "Hayjat AlAbd" highway, cutting off the main supply line to the PLC in "Ta'izz".

Clashes were paired with artillery. The PLC's 4th Mountain Infantry Brigade alongside YAF and RSAF airstrikes held the attempt back
.

The highway was disrupted for a few short hours, and shortly reopened. The attack failed.

Image attached [2] displays the current situation in the "Ta'izz" front, with an overview of supply lines.

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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Alerts in Saudi Arabia's 'Taif', 'Yanbu', 'Mecca', 'Tabbuk' and 'Jeddah'.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Iran has launched 2 BMs tonight with local sources reporting the launches as โ€œtest launchesโ€.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - 2 Iranian cruise missile launches from Sirik, Hormozgan Province, Iran.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - 2 Iranian cruise missile launches from Sirik, Hormozgan Province, Iran. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Most likely targeting ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz via the Omani route.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโšก๏ธ โ€” Fox's Bret Baier: Will you give up the 60% enriched uranium?

Iranian President Pezeshkian: Yes, within the framework of international law, based on the Non-Proliferation Treaty. Whatever we are supposed to adhere to, we will.
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ›ข โ€“ Trump supports the idea of banning the exports of diesel, according to his own statements during a press conference with President Zelensky on the sidelines of the UNGA. I've said let's not send out the diesel. We make a lot of diesel, and it couldโ€ฆ
โ—๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ›ข - U.S. Energy Industry Leaders plus two key Businesses Associations (the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and the National Association of Manufacturers) have sent an open letter to caution President Trump against imposing restrictions against diesel export.

The support for a ban on diesel export to support the domestic energy market has been gaining momentums among Republican politicians, who are facing a difficult midterm election.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Russian Geran-4 Drones are currently targeting Kyiv, with explosions reported.

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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- Gulf states exhibit divergent positions regarding the resumption of negotiations between the United States and Iran.

โžก๏ธ Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates are advocating for the Trump administration to sustain economic pressure and sanctions on Tehran.

โžก๏ธ Conversely, Qatar is promoting diplomatic engagement, which includes a proposed seven-day cessation of hostilities to facilitate the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.

โžก๏ธ Saudi Arabia maintains that Iran should be subjected to increased pressure prior to the establishment of any agreement, citing incidents involving attacks on Gulf shipping and Houthi operations in Yemen.

โžก๏ธ Qatar and Oman support a phased reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and the pursuit of a diplomatic resolution.
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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ- Saudi Arabia, Tรผrkiye, and Pakistan are convening an urgent chiefs-of-staff meeting under the Mecca Joint Defence Pact in response to escalating Houthi attacks on Saudi territory.

โžก๏ธ This action marks the initial activation-level measure under the pact, which stipulates that an attack on any one member constitutes an attack on all three.

โžก๏ธ The triggering incident occurred on September 24, when Saudi air defense systems intercepted six ballistic missiles targeting Taif and Yanbu, following separate Houthi claims of strikes on Riyadh and Aramco facilities.

โžก๏ธ Additionally, France, Greece and the United Kingdom have offered military personnel, radar systems, and air defense support for Yanbu.

โžก๏ธ As of now, no specific military support has been announced, and any deployment would require a formal request from Saudi Arabia.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Explosions heard from the Strait of Hormuz.

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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Explosions have been reported in Riyadh.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - President Donald Trump has rejected Iran's 7-day ceasefire proposal and is expected to resume the bombing campaign on Iran after Midterm Elections on the 3rd of November according to U.S. officials speaking to the WSJ.

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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ- Alerts in Khamis Mushait, Saudi Arabia.

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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ- Alerts in Abha, Saudi Arabia.

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