Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€“ The World Health Organization (WHO) warned of "devastating consequences" for Gaza due to a lack of life-saving medical supplies, sanitation equipment and fuel as winter approaches.

WHO representative Reinhilde Van De Weerdt criticized Israeli authorities for rejecting non-essential items, such as prosthetics, while demanding unimpeded access to prevent further delays in care.

Almost two million people face heightened risks of preventable disease, flooding, and cold due to a lack of shelter and damaged health infrastructure as winter approaches, almost a year into the "ceasefire" that has killed over 1,440 Gazans.


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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช โ€“ New Saudi strikes reported in Sana'a, capital of Houthi-controlled Yemen.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Insane footage has come out from February 28th 2026 capturing the exact moment U.S. BGM-109 Tomahawks hit the Iranian Navy's base in Konarak, Iran during the start of Operation Epic Fury.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ โ€“ The Omani pilot that tried to hijack a Flydubai aircraft earlier this week is cooperating with local authorities, and has been officially identified as 29-year-old Hamam al-Hammami. Al-Hammami's plan was to crash the plane in Israeli territory, accordingโ€ฆ
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - The Omani co-pilot attacked the main pilot with the cockpit's emergency axe, this has been confirmed by UAE Authorities. The axe is used in the event of a crash to escape from the cockpit.
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๐Ÿคก62๐Ÿคฃ19๐Ÿคฌ8๐Ÿ–•7โค4๐Ÿ˜จ3๐Ÿ”ฅ2๐Ÿ˜ฑ2๐Ÿ˜1๐ŸŽ‰1๐Ÿคฎ1
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€“ An IAF airstrike targeted the top Hamas leader in Gaza, Ali al-Amoudi, on the early hours of Saturday. The strike occurred in Gaza City's Rimal neighborhood.

The IDF claims he was the right hand man of late Hamas chief Yahya Sinwar, who al-Amoudi succeeded, and accused him of being involved in the planning of the October 7 attack.

The IDF has not yet confirmed if the attack was succesful. Five people, included four women, were killed in the strike.
Two of those women were buried today after a ceremony at the Greek Orthodox Church of Saint Porphyrius.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโ—๏ธ - An Air Ambulance carrying 6 people has gone missing off the coast of Nantucket, Massachusetts according to the U.S. Coast Guard. Search operations are underway. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโ—๏ธ - Close to 12 hours later, the search is still ongoing. It is still unclear what happened to the Air Ambulance that went missing.

U.S. Coast Guard Assets involved:
- HC-144 Ocean Sentry airplane crew from AirSta Cape Cod
- HC-130 Hercules crew from AirSta Elizabeth City
- MH-60 Jayhawk helicopter crew from AirSta Cape Cod
- 47-foot MLB crew from Station Brant Point
- FRC William Sparling (WPC-1154)

Onboard the plane were four Canadian pilots, who picked up a patient and their relative from Bermuda to bring them to Boston for Medical Care.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ As the last polls for the upcoming presidential election in Brazil went live, Polymarket gives right-wing Flavio Bolsonaro a 62% chance of defeating incumbent Lula da Silva, who was given a 38% of winning the election.

Both percentages correspond to the likelihood of winning the second round of electionsโ€”the first one will be held tomorrow (Sunday).


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ On the eve of the first round of the presidential elections in Brazil the race appears to be a toss-up.

Three of the most relevant pollsters for this election have given extremely tight predictions: AtlasIntel predicts a technical tie, Quaest gives Bolsonaro a small margin, and Datafolha predicts Lula will narrowly stay in power.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโ—๏ธ - Close to 12 hours later, the search is still ongoing. It is still unclear what happened to the Air Ambulance that went missing. U.S. Coast Guard Assets involved: - HC-144 Ocean Sentry airplane crew from AirSta Cape Cod - HC-130 Hercules crew from AirStaโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโ—๏ธ โ€“ Debris from the missing air ambulance was spotted floating in the ocean off the coast of Nantucket, Massachusetts, according to the New York Post.

There are no reports of survivors being spotted or rescued amid the wreckage.


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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ The Houthis (Ansarullah) appear to have struck Riyadh once again with ballistic missiles or drones.

FIRMS spotted multiple large and very intense fires at a refinery in southeast Riyadh, with the latest reading coming in less than 30 minutes ago.

A reading of 90+ Fire Radiative Power (FPR) and 290+ brightness suggests a very intense fire that may be spreading or is very wide.


๐Ÿ“ 24ยฐ32'00.18"N 46ยฐ50'23.94"E


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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ The Houthis (Ansarullah) also struck a major oil processing facility for Saudi ARAMCO in Khurais.

Khurais is one of the largest oil processing and Stabilization facilities in Saudi Arabia.


๐Ÿ“ 25ยฐ17'06.00"N 48ยฐ04'57.74"E


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง โ€“ The IDF has just now informed of an "operational accident" in southern Lebanon that severely injured one IDF soldier and moderately injured another.

The incident took place during Friday, and both soldiers were evacuated to a hospital. No further details were given.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต โ€“ Japan lodged a rare protest against the U.S. following the arrest of a 20-year-old Marine accused of having robbed and killed 39-year-old Anna Yagi, found dead at a hotel Saturday.

The Third Marine Expeditionary Force confirmed the arrest of a lance corporal identified as Devin J. Ballard.

The case threatens to put the U.S. military presence in Okinawa under the spotlight once again, since U.S. crimes on the island have caused tensions between Tokyo and Washington for decades.

The Japanese archipelago hosts a large portion of the American bases in Japan, and is a critical point for U.S. and allied forces in the event of a conflict with China.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ German Chancellor Merz arrived in Kyiv to announce the release of โ‚ฌ1 billion euros in military aid and an additional โ‚ฌ350 million in additional aid for repairs in the energy sector.

He is also expected to finalize a deal on joint production for multiple types of drones and air defense technology, although the visit is also an important show of support for Zelensky.

Merz is accompanied by the Minister of Economic Affairs and a delegation of multiple CEOs from German defense companies.


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