Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโ“ โ€“ Trump said he's going to "take a look" at whether to resume major military operations against Iran before the November midterms when asked whether the recent Houthi attack on Riyadh could prompt him to take such a decision.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - The head of the Arab Joint List, Youssef Jabareen announced:

We will provide a safety net for any government that replaces the Netanyahu government, and we are ready to negotiate for that purpose.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€“ Nine people were killed following a mass shooting in Erie, Pennsylvania, yesterday night according to U.S. authorities.

The shooter is dead, although it's unclear if he's included in the death toll. Officials also said no shots were fired after responding officers arrived at the scene, suggesting the shooter may have died by a self-inflicted wound.


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๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ โ€“ EU Representative of Foreign Affairs, Kaja Kallas, said the EU will approve on Monday the "biggest set of sanctions" against Russia since the start of the war.

Russian strikes killed over 80 Ukrainian civilians in two days. Moreover, it has stepped up its hybrid attacks against Europe, both EU Member States and NATO Allies.

Suspending sanctions on Russian diesel provides Moscow with more revenues to wage war.

This is not the time to ease pressure on Russia, and Europe wonโ€™t.

On Monday, EU Foreign Ministers intend to approve the biggest set of sanctions listings targeting Russiaโ€™s war machine since the start of the war.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฒ โ€“ Explosions reported in the Strait of Hormuz following alleged missile launches from Sirik, southern Iran.

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#BREAKING
๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ Satellite imagery taken today shows four large plumes of smoke arising from multiple oil and gas facilities in Saudi Arabia. Our team managed to identify them as:

โ€ข Khurais Oil Processing Facility.
โ€ข Gas-Oil Separation Plant (GOSP) in the Ghawar Oil Field.
โ€ข Shegdum Gas Plant.
โ€ข Hawiyah Gas Plant.


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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ According to NASA FIRMS, all fires but the one at Hawiyah remain active, with high FRPs and brightness values that suggests the fire are spreading, and are not under control yet.

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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ Geolocation and high-res images of the struck facilities:

Khurais Oil Processing Facility:
๐Ÿ“ 25ยฐ15'54.43"N 48ยฐ07'41.64"E

GOSP Ghawar:
๐Ÿ“ 25ยฐ52'55.95"N 49ยฐ14'37.86"E

Shegdum GP:
๐Ÿ“ 25ยฐ38'53.14"N 49ยฐ23'57.98"E

Hawiyah GP:
๐Ÿ“ 24ยฐ48'42.03"N 49ยฐ22'07.30"E


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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ The Houthi missile strike on the Riyadh Airport killed at least 12 people and injured over 300, according to CNN.

The strike is likely to cause a large Saudi response, maybe assisted by Mecca pact forces, as well as European and U.S. intelligence and defense assistance.


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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€“ An oil tanker was struck by an Iranian projectile, causing a fire and an unknown amount of damage, while transiting the Strait of Hormuz.

All crewmembers are safe, according to the UKMTO statement.


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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช โ€“ The Saudi-backed PLC claimed to have killed over 1,050 Houthi combatants just in the last 24 hours, as well as advances towards the Bab al-Mandab Strait.

This remains unconfirmed, and is almost certainly an extreme exaggeration or an outright lie, as no advances have been reported in that front.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช โ€“ U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio condemned the recent attack on King Khalid International Airport, which killed 12 people, including a U.S. citizen.

He stopped short of announcing any type of U.S. military assistance to Saudi Arabia, although Washington already provides intelligence, defense and refueling support to the kingdom.


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๐ŸŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€“ U.S. CENTCOM announced a new strike against a vessel violating its blockade of Iran. The Panama-flagged M/V Ocean Molica was disabled by a U.S. fighter jet after ignoring repeated warnings.

It's the fourth civilian vessel to be disabled by U.S. forces since the blockade was reimposed three months ago, and an additional 135 have been redirected.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ The Atlantic on Trump's deal with Russia for 2.25 million barrels of Russian diesel:
For Vladimir Putinโ€™s Russia, the deal is a potential lifesaver. For war-ravaged Ukraine, it is the most outrageous and heartless Trump betrayal to date. For Trumpโ€™s entourage, the deal promises corruption opportunities on a multibillion-dollar scale.


The deal, which Trump claims could reduce diesel prices in the whole country, amounts to roughly 16 hours worth of U.S. consumption, 10 hours worth of U.S. production, or 14 days worth of Canadian imports.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿฆ  โ€“ The death toll of the Ebola outbreak in the DR Congo has reached 4,205, out of 8,728 cases, a 48.18% mortality rate.

The virus has spread to both Kenya, where the first death due to the virus was reported, and to the war-ravaged North Kivu province, where the Bundibugyo strain is more likely to spread rapidly due to the poor conditions.


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