Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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#BREAKING
๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ Satellite imagery taken today shows four large plumes of smoke arising from multiple oil and gas facilities in Saudi Arabia. Our team managed to identify them as:

โ€ข Khurais Oil Processing Facility.
โ€ข Gas-Oil Separation Plant (GOSP) in the Ghawar Oil Field.
โ€ข Shegdum Gas Plant.
โ€ข Hawiyah Gas Plant.


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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ According to NASA FIRMS, all fires but the one at Hawiyah remain active, with high FRPs and brightness values that suggests the fire are spreading, and are not under control yet.

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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ Geolocation and high-res images of the struck facilities:

Khurais Oil Processing Facility:
๐Ÿ“ 25ยฐ15'54.43"N 48ยฐ07'41.64"E

GOSP Ghawar:
๐Ÿ“ 25ยฐ52'55.95"N 49ยฐ14'37.86"E

Shegdum GP:
๐Ÿ“ 25ยฐ38'53.14"N 49ยฐ23'57.98"E

Hawiyah GP:
๐Ÿ“ 24ยฐ48'42.03"N 49ยฐ22'07.30"E


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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ The Houthi missile strike on the Riyadh Airport killed at least 12 people and injured over 300, according to CNN.

The strike is likely to cause a large Saudi response, maybe assisted by Mecca pact forces, as well as European and U.S. intelligence and defense assistance.


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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€“ An oil tanker was struck by an Iranian projectile, causing a fire and an unknown amount of damage, while transiting the Strait of Hormuz.

All crewmembers are safe, according to the UKMTO statement.


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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช โ€“ The Saudi-backed PLC claimed to have killed over 1,050 Houthi combatants just in the last 24 hours, as well as advances towards the Bab al-Mandab Strait.

This remains unconfirmed, and is almost certainly an extreme exaggeration or an outright lie, as no advances have been reported in that front.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช โ€“ U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio condemned the recent attack on King Khalid International Airport, which killed 12 people, including a U.S. citizen.

He stopped short of announcing any type of U.S. military assistance to Saudi Arabia, although Washington already provides intelligence, defense and refueling support to the kingdom.


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๐ŸŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€“ U.S. CENTCOM announced a new strike against a vessel violating its blockade of Iran. The Panama-flagged M/V Ocean Molica was disabled by a U.S. fighter jet after ignoring repeated warnings.

It's the fourth civilian vessel to be disabled by U.S. forces since the blockade was reimposed three months ago, and an additional 135 have been redirected.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ The Atlantic on Trump's deal with Russia for 2.25 million barrels of Russian diesel:
For Vladimir Putinโ€™s Russia, the deal is a potential lifesaver. For war-ravaged Ukraine, it is the most outrageous and heartless Trump betrayal to date. For Trumpโ€™s entourage, the deal promises corruption opportunities on a multibillion-dollar scale.


The deal, which Trump claims could reduce diesel prices in the whole country, amounts to roughly 16 hours worth of U.S. consumption, 10 hours worth of U.S. production, or 14 days worth of Canadian imports.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿฆ  โ€“ The death toll of the Ebola outbreak in the DR Congo has reached 4,205, out of 8,728 cases, a 48.18% mortality rate.

The virus has spread to both Kenya, where the first death due to the virus was reported, and to the war-ravaged North Kivu province, where the Bundibugyo strain is more likely to spread rapidly due to the poor conditions.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ-The Ukrainian military continues their offensive operations around the town of Komar and in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast where they have since captured the towns of Filiya and Maliivka.

โžก๏ธ In the Komar direction, Ukrainian forces have captured the settlements of Zaporizhzhya and Shevchenko as well as advancing along the eastern bank of the Mokri Yaly river and entering Fedorivka.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€“ The U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) is investigating five of the largest TV networks in the country, Fox News, CNN, ABC, CBS and NBC, due to possible violations of antitrust laws.

All five outlets boycotted the White House pool coverage following Trump's ban on CNN, as well as MS NOW and POLITICO, due to perceived negative coverage of the White House. The Trump administration is now targeting all those outlets.

The top DOJ spokesperson said "group boycotts among commercial competitors can violate the Sherman Act", and said the Department is just "investigating to determine whether these news organizations have violated the antitrust laws.โ€


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres condemned the Houthi attack on King Khalid International Airport, calling for restraint in strikes against civilian infraestructure in the region.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€“ The UKMTO published an advisory on an incident "involving a tanker and military forces" close to the U.S. blockade line, likely referring to the U.S. strike on the M/V Ocean Molica.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช โ€“ The recognized Yemeni government, the PLC, warned of an imminent collapse in health services in Taizz as the Houthi siege causes essential supplies to run out.

The PLC reported critical shortages of fuel, medicines, and supplies, with the Ministry of Public Health stating that emergency, surgical, dialysis, and neonatal services risk cessation, while fuel scarcity threatens electricity, ambulances, and vaccine cold chains.


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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ Satellite images captured less than 30 minutes ago show two plumes of smoke still towering over Saudi Arabia.

Their locations line up with the fires spotted
earlier at Khurais and Hawiyah, suggesting they remain active.

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