Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ At 4.51% of the vote counted, Bolsonaro is closing the gap to around 2.3% of the vote.
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๐Ÿ’”21โค13๐Ÿ‘Ž6๐Ÿค”3๐Ÿ™3๐Ÿ˜2๐Ÿคฉ2๐Ÿ‘€22
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโ“ - 2 Saudi Government-linked Planes were tracked today heading to Tehran. RSF1036 flew to Tehran earlier today, HZA3 is currently enroute to Tehran.
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๐Ÿค”34๐Ÿ˜7๐Ÿ–•3โค2๐Ÿ‘1๐Ÿ”ฅ1
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Bolsonaro has closed the voting gap with Lula da Silva to less that 1 percentage point at 9.66% of the vote counted.
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๐Ÿ‘Ž25๐Ÿ”ฅ15๐Ÿคฌ6๐Ÿ’”5๐Ÿ™2โค1๐Ÿค”1๐Ÿคฎ11
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Bolsonaro has flipped the Minas Gerais and Amazonas states towards the right, while Lula flipped the Amapรก state by a larger margin, comparing to the 2022 Presidential election results.

The states that have reported the largest proportion of votes are mostly pro-Lula, suggesting Bolsonaro will continue to close the gap and take the lead soon.
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๐Ÿคฌ16๐Ÿ”ฅ5๐Ÿ’”33๐Ÿคฉ1๐Ÿคฎ1๐Ÿ‘€1
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Bolsonaro has just taken the lead over Lula da Silva at 13.65% of the vote counted.
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๐Ÿ˜ข36๐Ÿ”ฅ18๐Ÿคฌ12๐Ÿคก4โค3๐ŸŽ‰3๐Ÿ’”3๐Ÿ˜ˆ2๐Ÿ˜1๐Ÿ‘€11
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ At 21.57% of the vote counted, the gap between Lula and Bolsonaro has extended to 1 percentage point (around 260,000 votes).
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๐Ÿ’ฉ28โค7๐Ÿ™3๐Ÿ’”3๐Ÿ‘€3๐Ÿ‘1๐Ÿคฎ1๐Ÿคก11
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ โ€“ Two days before the elections in Israel that could oust Prime Minister Netanyahu, Trump has reinforced his endorsement of the Israeli PM.

To the people of Israel, to those who havenโ€™t seen it, I am attaching the Endorsement I gave one week ago to your Prime Minister, Bibi Netanyahu.

As everyone is aware, including the enemy, Bibi and I have had a great relationship in winning together.

I did the Venezuelan attack, one of the most successful Military Operations in History but, before that, we did Operation Midnight Hammer, stopping the Worldโ€™s Number One State Sponsor of Terror from obtaining a Nuclear Weapon.

Then we did Operation Epic Fury, and Iran now has No Navy, No Air Force, and both their Military and Economy are in shambles, including the fact that Iranโ€™s Inflation is at 301%. The Naval Blockade has precluded them from getting Oil, and two levels of leadership, both Military and otherwise, are gone.

When you go to the Polls please remember that Bibi has been an outstanding Warrior Prime Minister!

Israel was called The Little Satan, with the United States being called The Big Satan, by some very evil people.

There can no longer be the chant heard around the World of โ€œDeath to America, Death to Israel,โ€ and there wonโ€™t be. Vote for Bibi Netanyahu for Prime Minister, we have to finish the job that we started!
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๐Ÿคก55๐Ÿ–•29๐Ÿคฎ12โค8๐Ÿคฃ4๐Ÿ˜ˆ22๐ŸŽ‰1๐Ÿ˜1๐Ÿณ1
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ With 38.52% of the vote counted Lula has begun to close the gap against Bolsonaro, who still has the lead by around 0.56% of the vote.
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โค30๐Ÿคฌ8โคโ€๐Ÿ”ฅ6๐Ÿ”ฅ3๐Ÿคฎ2๐Ÿ’ฉ1๐Ÿ‘€1๐Ÿซก11
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Lula da Silva has retaken the lead at 47.24% of the vote counted!
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โค67๐Ÿคก14๐Ÿ‘€104๐Ÿ˜3๐Ÿคฌ3๐Ÿ‘1๐Ÿ”ฅ1
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ At almost 60% of the vote counted, Lula da Silva now advantages Bolsonaro by a whole percentage point, or around 800,000 votes.

The gap is also still growing. It now appears that Lula is poised to be re-elected into an unprecedented fourth unconsecutive 4-year-term.
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Lula extends the gap to two percentage points, almost 2 million votes, at around three-quarters of the vote counted.

Lula is almost certain to win the second round.
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1โค81๐Ÿคฎ14๐Ÿคฉ9โคโ€๐Ÿ”ฅ6๐Ÿ’”43๐Ÿซก2๐Ÿ”ฅ1๐Ÿคฏ1๐ŸŽ‰1๐Ÿ‘€1
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Lula now has a 3.25 million vote lead over Bolsonaro, which amounts to a three-percentage-points advantage.

With almost 90% of the vote counted, and the current trajectory, Lula could end up winning the election by a 4%+ margin, far from the technical tie which most polls projected.
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ The GeopoliticsWatch team officially projects that 80-year-old Lula da Silva will win the second round of Brazil's Presidential Elections.

He will end his current term on January 2027, and will continue ruling until January 2031.
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โค122๐Ÿ”ฅ26๐Ÿคฎ26๐Ÿพ7๐Ÿคฉ64๐Ÿ˜2๐Ÿ–•1
Geopolitics Watch
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ The GeopoliticsWatch team officially projects that 80-year-old Lula da Silva will win the second round of Brazil's Presidential Elections. He will end his current term on January 2027, and will continue ruling until January 2031.
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Lula has officially won the second round of Brazil's Presidential Elections.

99.75% of votes have been counted, with Lula winning 51.75% and Flavio Bolsonaro winning 48.25% of votes.
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โค161๐Ÿคฎ31๐Ÿพ23๐Ÿฅฐ125๐Ÿ‘4๐Ÿคฉ2๐Ÿ”ฅ1๐Ÿ˜1๐Ÿ™1
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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Alerts were issued in Riyadh. All Clear was given 11 minutes after.
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๐Ÿ˜ญ14โค7โšก31
Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Alerts were issued in Riyadh. All Clear was given 11 minutes after.
๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Saudi Joint Forces announced the interception and destruction of an Ansarullah BM targeting Riyadh.
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๐Ÿคก20๐Ÿ‘5โšก2๐Ÿ˜2๐Ÿ˜ข2๐Ÿ‘1๐Ÿคฎ1๐Ÿคฃ1
Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Saudi Joint Forces announced the interception and destruction of an Ansarullah BM targeting Riyadh.
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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Footage of Active Air Defense over Riyadh 20 minutes ago.
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Lula's unexpected victory over Bolsonaro, by state.
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๐Ÿ”ฅ86๐Ÿ‘23๐Ÿ’ฉ138๐ŸŽ‰6๐Ÿคก5โค4๐Ÿ‘€3๐Ÿคฏ2
๐Ÿ›ข๐Ÿ”ผ โ€“ Oil markets opened today at around $115 dollars per barrel, down from last Friday's close of almost $117 but still much higher than the average price before the price shot up last week.
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๐Ÿ˜3713๐Ÿ”ฅ5โค4๐Ÿ˜Ž2๐Ÿคฎ1