Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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Geopolitics Watch
#NEW ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - The IRGC has announced downing 2 more "MQM-170 (Outlaw)" Drones of the USAF over Iran's 'Qeshm' Island using EW weaponry, capturing both intact, increasing the total number of captured drones of this variant to 4. @GeoPWatch
#NEW
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - The IRGC announced downing a USAF "MQ-9" UCAV over east of the Strait of Hormuz around 2 hours ago.

The IRGC adds that this is the 55th drone of this variant to be downed since the start of the conflict.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Explosions on Qeshm Island and Bandar Abbas.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Explosions on Qeshm Island and Bandar Abbas. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - A U.S Air Strike reportedly hit an Air Defense System on Qeshm Island.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Active Air Defense was reported from Qeshm Island.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Active Air Defense was reported from Qeshm Island. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Active Air Defense was also reported at Omidiyeh Airbase in Southern Iran.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - 6 explosions total were heard in the Qeshm and Bandar Abbas region.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - 7 USAF Tankers and 1 "P-8A (Poseidon)" ASUW over the Strait of Hormuz currently.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Explosions heard coming from the sea in Bandar-e Lengeh.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช- Ansarullah continues to advance further into Lahij governorate, both PLC and Houthi affiliated media report about the fall of the Al-Maqatirah fortress to Ansarullah and their rapid advance into the Al-Maqatirah district. โžก๏ธ With the important Citadelโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆโšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช- After weeks of fighting, PLC and pro-government forces continue to hold onto their positions in the Al-Shaqab area and have succeeded in repelling Ansarullahโ€™s attempts to eliminate the pocket.

โžก๏ธ In recent days, the PLC and allied tribes have launched their own attacks, regaining control over Al Awat and a vital supply road that leads into Al-Shaqab, therefore turning the pocket into a bridgehead.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - 3 hours ago while explosions were being heard in Bandar Abbas and Qeshm, the Qatari delegation departed from Tehran back to Doha, Qatar.

Reportedly talks came to a dead end.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - The U.S has reportedly warned Gulf Nations to prepare for a short and intense operation shortly after tomorrowโ€™s midterm elections.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - A U.S Air Strike reportedly hit an Air Defense System on Qeshm Island. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - An Iranian SAM Launcher in Qeshm targeted a U.S. fighter jet earlier today. The same launcher was then targeted by the same jet and eliminated.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Talks between the U.S. and Iran have reportedly made close to no progress over the past months. This weekโ€™s attempted negotiation mediated by Qatar also failed with no progress reportedly made.

Neither the U.S. nor Iran will budge on a diplomatic level.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Talks between the U.S. and Iran have reportedly made close to no progress over the past months. This weekโ€™s attempted negotiation mediated by Qatar also failed with no progress reportedly made. Neither the U.S. nor Iran will budge on a diplomaticโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Iran and the U.S. are far from reaching a deal according to Reuters.

An Iranian Official told Reuters that Iran will not accept excessive U.S. demands and that Iran is prepared to respond forcefully to U.S. strikes, in the region and beyond.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - President Donald Trump on Iran:
Iran is an evil nation that has killed many of our people. Soleimani is an example. Heโ€™s no longer with us, but they have killed many of our people.

We cannot let them have a nuclear weapon, and we won't.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- President Donald Trump on Pickaxe Mountain:
We might have to go after Pickaxe, but that's not a big deal. We can do it in literally one hour.
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#NEW
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - The IRGC announces its Imam Sajjad Corps have intercepted 2 "LUCAS" OWA drones of the American Military in the airspace of southern Iran's 'Bandar Khamir'.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Donald Trump when asked what will happen after today, Election Day:
Well weโ€™ll see, look, Iโ€™m not looking to kill lots of people but if we have to, weโ€™ll have to.


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Geopolitics Watch
โ—๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - U.S. Senate Midterm Election Forecast. The median outcome of the US Senate midterm election is the GOP to maintain 50 seats, with the Vice Presidential tiebreaker clinching the control of the Senate. Despite President Trump's unpopularity, winningโ€ฆ
โ—๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Updated projection for the US Senate race. The median outcome of the Senate race is now the Democrats taking control of the chamber with 51 seats.

There is a 90% probability of the Democrats getting at least 50 seats, and 62% probability of the Dem getting at least 51 seats.

The House is a forgone conclusion. We are expecting the Democrats to have at least 225 of 435 seats.

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