Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณโšก๏ธ - Traders on Polymarket now believe the Democrats have a 74% chance of controlling the Senate.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ ๐Ÿง - President Donald Trump via TruthSocial.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณโšก๏ธ - CBS' initial exit poll shows President Donald Trumps Job Approval at 38%. The lowest of any sitting U.S. President dating back to 2006.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - CENTCOM reportedly has plans to resume strikes against the Iranian regime as early as tomorrow, after the midterms, with 3 U.S. Aircraft Carriers stationed in the region according to the New York Times.

The timing is also perfect for the U.S. as there will be moonless nights over the region this weekend which the U.S. favors for strike operations.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - CENTCOM reportedly has plans to resume strikes against the Iranian regime as early as tomorrow, after the midterms, with 3 U.S. Aircraft Carriers stationed in the region according to the New York Times. The timing is also perfect for the U.S. as thereโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - This week the Waning Moon won't rise until early morning, leaving evening skies completely dark with no moonlight. This total darkness maximizes the advantage for U.S. stealth and night-vision operations ahead of the November 9th's New Moon.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณโšก๏ธ - Polls have now closed in Kentucky and Indiana.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ As polls begin to close on the U.S. midterm election, let's take a look at what's at stake:

โ–ถ๏ธ 35 seats in the Senate, which will be the most critical for the future of the Trump administration. Democrats need at least 51 seats to gain a majority in this chamber, which means winning at least 17 of the 35 seats to be called.

โ–ถ๏ธ All 435 seats of the House of Representatives, which the Democrats are very likely to win according to most polls.

โ–ถ๏ธ 36 out of 50 U.S. States will also choose a new governor, which has a reduced impact on foreign policy but will make a big difference for those states.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Polls have now closed in Georgia, South Carolina, Kentucky, Virginia, Indiana and Vermont.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ - Decision Desk projects the Democrat's Jon Ossof to win the Georgia U.S. Senate Election.
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ - Decision Desk HQ has called the Senator race in Virginia in favor of the Democrat Mark Warner.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Democrats are winning the governor races on all states that are already posting their election results.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Vote counting for the Ohio governor election has begun. Democrat Amy Acton is likely to defeat Republican Vivek Ramaswamy, who did a terrible campaign.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ AP News has called the following Senate races:

๐Ÿ˜ Democrats:
Massachusetts
Rhode Island
New Jersey
Delaware
Virginia
Georgia
Illinois

๐Ÿ˜ Republicans:
No called races by AP News so far.
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ AP News has called four governatorial races for the Democrats:

Massachusetts
Pennsylvania
Maryland
Illinois


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Democrats are leading in Texas in both the Senate and the Governor's office.

With 17% of the vote counted, Democrat James Talarico has a massive +38 lead over his Republican opponent.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ AP News called the New Hampshire and North Carolina Senate election for the Democrats.

๐Ÿ˜ Democrats:
Massachusetts
Rhode Island
New Jersey
Delaware
Virginia
Georgia
Illinois
New Hampshire
North Carolina (FLIP)


๐Ÿ˜ Republicans
Nothing called by AP News so far.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ AP News called the first Senate seat for the Republicans: Ashley Moody is defeating the Democrat Angie Nixon by a tight margin of less than 2%

The Republican Byron Donalds is also projected to defeat Democrat David Jolly by less than one percentage point, an unimaginably close race for a Republican stronghold.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Current state of the Senate races according to AP News. The race for West Virginia was just called for the Republicans.

๐Ÿ˜ Democrats:
Massachusetts
Rhode Island
New Jersey
Delaware
Virginia
Georgia
Illinois
New Hampshire
North Carolina (FLIP)


๐Ÿ˜ Republicans
Florida
West Virginia


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