Geopolitics Watch
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Geopolitics Watch
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Geopolitics Watch
⚡️🇺🇸🗳 – As polls begin to close on the U.S. midterm election, let's take a look at what's at stake:

▶️ 35 seats in the Senate, which will be the most critical for the future of the Trump administration. Democrats need at least 51 seats to gain a majority in this chamber, which means winning at least 17 of the 35 seats to be called.

▶️ All 435 seats of the House of Representatives, which the Democrats are very likely to win according to most polls.

▶️ 36 out of 50 U.S. States will also choose a new governor, which has a reduced impact on foreign policy but will make a big difference for those states.

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Geopolitics Watch
⚡️🇺🇸🗳 – Polls have now closed in Georgia, South Carolina, Kentucky, Virginia, Indiana and Vermont.

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⚡️🇺🇸🗳 - Decision Desk projects the Democrat's Jon Ossof to win the Georgia U.S. Senate Election.
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Geopolitics Watch
⚡️🇺🇸🗳️ - Decision Desk HQ has called the Senator race in Virginia in favor of the Democrat Mark Warner.

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Geopolitics Watch
⚡️🇺🇸🗳 – Democrats are winning the governor races on all states that are already posting their election results.

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⚡️🇺🇸🗳 – Vote counting for the Ohio governor election has begun. Democrat Amy Acton is likely to defeat Republican Vivek Ramaswamy, who did a terrible campaign.

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Geopolitics Watch
⚡️🇺🇸🗳 – AP News has called the following Senate races:

🐘 Democrats:
Massachusetts
Rhode Island
New Jersey
Delaware
Virginia
Georgia
Illinois

🐘 Republicans:
No called races by AP News so far.
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⚡️🇺🇸🗳 – AP News has called four governatorial races for the Democrats:

Massachusetts
Pennsylvania
Maryland
Illinois

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⚡️🇺🇸🗳 – Democrats are leading in Texas in both the Senate and the Governor's office.

With 17% of the vote counted, Democrat James Talarico has a massive +38 lead over his Republican opponent.

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Geopolitics Watch
⚡️🇺🇸🗳 – AP News called the New Hampshire and North Carolina Senate election for the Democrats.

🐘 Democrats:
Massachusetts
Rhode Island
New Jersey
Delaware
Virginia
Georgia
Illinois
New Hampshire
North Carolina (FLIP)

🐘 Republicans
Nothing called by AP News so far.

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Geopolitics Watch
⚡️🇺🇸🗳 – AP News called the first Senate seat for the Republicans: Ashley Moody is defeating the Democrat Angie Nixon by a tight margin of less than 2%

The Republican Byron Donalds is also projected to defeat Democrat David Jolly by less than one percentage point, an unimaginably close race for a Republican stronghold.

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⚡️🇺🇸🗳 – Current state of the Senate races according to AP News. The race for West Virginia was just called for the Republicans.

🐘 Democrats:
Massachusetts
Rhode Island
New Jersey
Delaware
Virginia
Georgia
Illinois
New Hampshire
North Carolina (FLIP)


🐘 Republicans
Florida
West Virginia


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⚡️🇺🇸🗳 – Current state of the Senate races according to AP News. Races in Colorado, New Mexico and Wyoming were called by AP News immediately after the polls closed there.

🐘 Democrats:
Massachusetts
Rhode Island
New Jersey
Delaware
Virginia
Georgia
Illinois
New Hampshire
Colorado
New Mexico
North Carolina (FLIP)


🐘 Republicans
Florida
West Virginia
Wyoming


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⚡️🇺🇸🗳 - DDHQ projects that the Democrats have won the House of Representatives.

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Geopolitics Watch
⚡️🇺🇸🗳 – Democrat Keisha Lance won Georgia's Governor race against Republican Rick Jackson, flipping control of the state.

🟢11/26 races called

🐘 Democrats (governors)
1. Massachusetts
2. Rhode Island
3. Pennsylvania
4. Maryland
5. Illinois
6. Colorado
7. New York
8. Connecticut
9. Georgia (FLIP)


🐘 Republicans (governors)
1. Florida
2. Wyoming
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⚡️🇺🇸🗳 – The New York Times projects a 95%+ chance that the Democrats win both the House of Representatives and the Senate, in a major upset for the second half of the Trump administration.

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⚡️🇺🇸🗳 – The likelihood of Kansas' and Texas' senate seats flipping to the Democrats is increasing sharply, as the Democrat candidates hold ~20-point leads over their Republican opponents at more than 50% of the vote counted.

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⚡️🇺🇸🗳 – Although AP News has not confirmed it, the GeoPolitics Watch team can now confidently call the following races:

Texas Senate: Democrat
Kansas Senate: Democrat
South Carolina Senate: Democrat

Texas Governor: Democrat
Arkansas Governor: Republican

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