Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Democrats are winning the governor races on all states that are already posting their election results.

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40๐Ÿ‘11๐Ÿคก9๐Ÿ˜5๐Ÿ–•5๐ŸŽ‰4๐Ÿ˜ˆ4โค2๐Ÿคฎ2๐Ÿค”1๐Ÿ’…1
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Vote counting for the Ohio governor election has begun. Democrat Amy Acton is likely to defeat Republican Vivek Ramaswamy, who did a terrible campaign.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ AP News has called the following Senate races:

๐Ÿ˜ Democrats:
Massachusetts
Rhode Island
New Jersey
Delaware
Virginia
Georgia
Illinois

๐Ÿ˜ Republicans:
No called races by AP News so far.
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22โค13๐Ÿคฎ7๐Ÿ‘2๐Ÿ”ฅ1๐Ÿ‘1๐Ÿคฉ1๐Ÿพ1
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ AP News has called four governatorial races for the Democrats:

Massachusetts
Pennsylvania
Maryland
Illinois


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25โค3๐Ÿคฎ3๐Ÿ”ฅ2๐Ÿ˜1๐Ÿค”1๐Ÿพ1
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Democrats are leading in Texas in both the Senate and the Governor's office.

With 17% of the vote counted, Democrat James Talarico has a massive +38 lead over his Republican opponent.


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29โค16๐Ÿคฎ11๐ŸŽ‰5๐Ÿ‘€3๐Ÿ‘Ž2๐Ÿ”ฅ1๐Ÿ’…1๐Ÿ™Š1
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ AP News called the New Hampshire and North Carolina Senate election for the Democrats.

๐Ÿ˜ Democrats:
Massachusetts
Rhode Island
New Jersey
Delaware
Virginia
Georgia
Illinois
New Hampshire
North Carolina (FLIP)


๐Ÿ˜ Republicans
Nothing called by AP News so far.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ AP News called the first Senate seat for the Republicans: Ashley Moody is defeating the Democrat Angie Nixon by a tight margin of less than 2%

The Republican Byron Donalds is also projected to defeat Democrat David Jolly by less than one percentage point, an unimaginably close race for a Republican stronghold.

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๐Ÿคฎ27โค44๐Ÿคฌ2๐Ÿ‘Ž1๐Ÿ˜ข1๐Ÿ’”1๐Ÿ’…1
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Current state of the Senate races according to AP News. The race for West Virginia was just called for the Republicans.

๐Ÿ˜ Democrats:
Massachusetts
Rhode Island
New Jersey
Delaware
Virginia
Georgia
Illinois
New Hampshire
North Carolina (FLIP)


๐Ÿ˜ Republicans
Florida
West Virginia


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25๐Ÿคฎ5โค4๐Ÿ”ฅ2๐Ÿค”1๐Ÿ’”1
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Current state of the Senate races according to AP News. Races in Colorado, New Mexico and Wyoming were called by AP News immediately after the polls closed there.

๐Ÿ˜ Democrats:
Massachusetts
Rhode Island
New Jersey
Delaware
Virginia
Georgia
Illinois
New Hampshire
Colorado
New Mexico
North Carolina (FLIP)


๐Ÿ˜ Republicans
Florida
West Virginia
Wyoming


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ - DDHQ projects that the Democrats have won the House of Representatives.

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๐Ÿพ45๐Ÿคฃ11๐Ÿคฎ6๐Ÿ˜ˆ3๐Ÿคฉ2๐Ÿ’…2๐Ÿ˜11
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Democrat Keisha Lance won Georgia's Governor race against Republican Rick Jackson, flipping control of the state.

๐ŸŸข11/26 races called

๐Ÿ˜ Democrats (governors)
1. Massachusetts
2. Rhode Island
3. Pennsylvania
4. Maryland
5. Illinois
6. Colorado
7. New York
8. Connecticut
9. Georgia (FLIP)


๐Ÿ˜ Republicans (governors)
1. Florida
2. Wyoming
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๐Ÿ”ฅ179โค8๐Ÿ‘7๐Ÿพ4๐Ÿ‘Ž2๐Ÿ˜2
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ The New York Times projects a 95%+ chance that the Democrats win both the House of Representatives and the Senate, in a major upset for the second half of the Trump administration.

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๐Ÿ”ฅ3717โค7๐Ÿคฉ3๐Ÿ˜1๐ŸŽ‰1๐Ÿ‘€1
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ The likelihood of Kansas' and Texas' senate seats flipping to the Democrats is increasing sharply, as the Democrat candidates hold ~20-point leads over their Republican opponents at more than 50% of the vote counted.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Although AP News has not confirmed it, the GeoPolitics Watch team can now confidently call the following races:

Texas Senate: Democrat
Kansas Senate: Democrat
South Carolina Senate: Democrat

Texas Governor: Democrat
Arkansas Governor: Republican


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ NBC has called the race for the US Senate in South Carolina for the Democrats.

If confirmed, this is a major upset for Darline Graham (R), who inherited the seat from her late brother Lindsey Graham.

President Trump won this state by 17 points in 2024.
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ The Democrats have flipped another 3 Senate seats, and are inching towards control of the chamber.

๐ŸŸข 19/35 races called

๐Ÿ˜ Democrats:
Massachusetts
Rhode Island
New Jersey
Delaware
Virginia
Georgia
Illinois
New Hampshire
Colorado
New Mexico
North Carolina (FLIP)

Texas (FLIP)
South Carolina (FLIP)
Kansas (FLIP)


๐Ÿ˜ Republicans
Florida
West Virginia
Wyoming

Kentucky
Oklahoma


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๐Ÿ”ฅ2212๐Ÿคฉ7โค6๐Ÿคฎ4๐Ÿ˜ญ3๐Ÿ’ฉ1๐Ÿคฃ1๐Ÿ’”1
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Trump on the blue wave that is sweeping U.S. states and districts right now:

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๐Ÿคฃ108๐Ÿ–•31๐Ÿคก28๐Ÿ’Š13๐Ÿ˜33๐Ÿ’…2๐Ÿ‘1๐Ÿซก1๐Ÿ—ฟ1
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Multiple outlets have called the Senate races in Kansas and South Carolina for the Democrats.

Both were considered safe Republican states until recently.

The results so far suggest that the Democrats may control between 53 to 57 Senate seats after the dust settles.
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Update on the control of the Senate. Democrats are practically guaranteed to win a majority in the Senate once AP News calls the races on Kansas, Iowa and Michigan

๐ŸŸข 21/35 races called

๐Ÿ˜ Democrats:
Massachusetts
Rhode Island
New Jersey
Delaware
Virginia
Georgia
Illinois
New Hampshire
Colorado
New Mexico
Oregon
North Carolina (FLIP)

Texas (FLIP)
South Carolina (FLIP)
Kansas (FLIP)

Ohio (FLIP)


๐Ÿ˜ Republicans
Florida
West Virginia
Wyoming

Kentucky
Oklahoma

Arkansas

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๐Ÿ”ฅ159๐Ÿ˜2๐Ÿคฉ2โค1
Geopolitics Watch
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Multiple outlets have called the Senate races in Kansas and South Carolina for the Democrats. Both were considered safe Republican states until recently. The results so far suggest that the Democrats may control between 53 to 57 Senate seats afterโ€ฆ
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ For the first time since 1932, the Democrats have won the Senate in Kansas.

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โค2817๐Ÿ–•3๐Ÿ˜2๐Ÿคฃ2๐Ÿค”1๐Ÿคฏ1๐Ÿ’ฉ1๐Ÿพ1