Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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Geopolitics Watch
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Multiple outlets have called the Senate races in Kansas and South Carolina for the Democrats. Both were considered safe Republican states until recently. The results so far suggest that the Democrats may control between 53 to 57 Senate seats afterโ€ฆ
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ For the first time since 1932, the Democrats have won the Senate in Kansas.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Update on the races for Governor. Democrats are also dominating, having flipped four states, and with reports of Texas governor Greg Abbott has already conceded defeat to Democrat Gina Hinojosa

๐ŸŸข17/36 races called

๐Ÿ˜ Democrats (governors)
Massachusetts
Rhode Island
Pennsylvania
Maryland
Illinois
Colorado
New York
Connecticut
California
New Mexico
Texas (FLIP)
Iowa (FLIP)
Ohio (FLIP)
Georgia (FLIP)


๐Ÿ˜ Republicans (governors)
Florida
Wyoming
Arkansas
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ AP News called three additional seats, one Democrat and two Republican. Democrats are one seat away from a majority.

๐ŸŸข 24/35 races called

๐Ÿ˜ Democrats:
Massachusetts
Rhode Island
New Jersey
Delaware
Virginia
Georgia
Illinois
New Hampshire
Colorado
New Mexico
Oregon
North Carolina (FLIP)

Texas (FLIP)
South Carolina (FLIP)
Kansas (FLIP)

Ohio (FLIP)


๐Ÿ˜ Republicans
Florida
West Virginia
Wyoming

Kentucky
Oklahoma

Arkansas
Tennessee
Alabama


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#BREAKING
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ The Democrats have reached a majority of 51 in the Senate. AP News has just called the Iowa Senate election for the Democratsโ€”their sixth flip of the night in the chamber.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Trump on Truth Social:
Iโ€™m going to become a Political Pundit, both good and bad, on the reasons these Candidates won and lost!


He also posted an image of a MAGA-style hat that reads "VETO".


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Geopolitics Watch
#BREAKING โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ The Democrats have reached a majority of 51 in the Senate. AP News has just called the Iowa Senate election for the Democratsโ€”their sixth flip of the night in the chamber. @GeoPWatch
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Please note that our map shows the current reported margin. Minnesota shows the Republican candidate currently leading with 46% of the vote counted, but the remaining portion of the votes come predominantly from blue counties.

The US Senate seat in Minnesota is almost certainly going for the Democrats.
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Update on the races for Governor. Four additional races have been called, two for the Democrats and two for the Republicans.

๐ŸŸข21/36 races called

๐Ÿ˜ Democrats (governors)
Massachusetts
Rhode Island
Pennsylvania
Maryland
Illinois
Colorado
New York
Connecticut
California
New Mexico
Wisconsin
Maine
Texas (FLIP)
Iowa (FLIP)
Ohio (FLIP)
Georgia (FLIP)


๐Ÿ˜ Republicans (governors)
Florida
Wyoming
Arkansas

Oklahoma
South Dakota


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Geopolitics Watch
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Please note that our map shows the current reported margin. Minnesota shows the Republican candidate currently leading with 46% of the vote counted, but the remaining portion of the votes come predominantly from blue counties. The US Senate seat inโ€ฆ
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ As expected, the US Senate race in Minnesota has been called for the Democrats.

As it stands, the Democrats are set to control between 54-56 seats in January 2027.

The House margin is looking to be substantial, with Democrats projected to win upward of 245 out of 435 seats.

The 'Blue Wave' today exceeded the expectation of most pundits. Polling data were off by a very large margin. For example, South Carolina was polled to be ~2% in favor of Graham (R) but the preliminary result stands at ~4% in favor of Andrews (D).

A very rough night for the Republican and the pollsters.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€“ The Speaker of the Iranian Parliament on tonight's results in the U.S. midterms:

Conscience or the cost of living, Americans said NO TO WAR, and we endorse this message.

If the US govt betrays their public will to serve international paymasters and blackmailers, it will learn our NO comes with a Nightmare.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Update on the Senate races. Democrats could secure a majority of 54 seats if they win in Maine and Michigan.

๐ŸŸข 27/35 races called

๐Ÿ˜ Democrats:
Massachusetts
Rhode Island
New Jersey
Delaware
Virginia
Georgia
Illinois
New Hampshire
Colorado
New Mexico
Oregon
Minnesota
North Carolina (FLIP)

Texas (FLIP)
South Carolina (FLIP)
Kansas (FLIP)

Ohio (FLIP)
Iowa (FLIP)


๐Ÿ˜ Republicans
Florida
West Virginia
Wyoming

Kentucky
Oklahoma

Arkansas
Tennessee
Alabama
South Dakota


@GeoPWatch
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Forwarded from Tabz - Live News (Mister Iowan)
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโšก๏ธ โ€” In a crazy turn of events, Scott Colom (D) is leading Mississippi's Senate election by 28 votes with over 95% of the vote in.

Mississippi is traditionally one of the most Republican states in the country.
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Geopolitics Watch
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ As expected, the US Senate race in Minnesota has been called for the Democrats. As it stands, the Democrats are set to control between 54-56 seats in January 2027. The House margin is looking to be substantial, with Democrats projected to win upwardโ€ฆ
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Multiple outlets have called the US Senate race in Michigan for the Democrats candidate Abdul El Sayed.

The Progressive El Sayed will make history as the first Muslim American to serve in the Senate.

The race in Maine has also been called for the Democrat Troy Jackson. The 5-term Senator Susan Collins has been unseated.

As it stands, the Democrats are guaranteed at least 54 seats, with potential to gain 2 more in Alaska and most surprisingly Mississippi.

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โ—๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Key takeaways from the election results:

1โƒฃ Impeachment: The Democrats won at least 54 seats in the Senate and are at most 13 votes short from being able to impeach President Trump or any of his cabinet. After tonight historic rout, the risk of Senate Republicans defecting and joining a Democrat-led impeachment push has materially increased.

This could be the political death sentence for President Trump, his cabinet and the MAGA movement.

2โƒฃ Veto Power: The number of votes required to overturn a Presidential Veto is 290 out of 435 in the House and 67 out of 100 in the Senate. By most projections, the Democrats will win around 250 House seats.

3โƒฃ Iran War: Faced with the credible threat of impeachment and subsequent legal consequences, the President and his Pentagon will be incentivized to avoid uncontrolled escalation in Iran. Contrary to popular belief, all the stakeholders in the Trump administration still have much to lose in another Iran gamble.

The status quo of dual-blockade and low intensity tit-for-tat strikes is likely to remain.

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Geopolitics Watch
#NEW ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - The IRGC announced downing a USAF "MQ-9" UCAV over east of the Strait of Hormuz around 2 hours ago. The IRGC adds that this is the 55th drone of this variant to be downed since the start of the conflict. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Overnight, the IRGC announced intercepting a USAF "MQ-9" UCAV over the Strait of Hormuz near southern Iran.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ U.S. Midterm election update: Lower House. Democrats have taken firm control of the House of Representatives, and are poised to get around 250 seats there.

๐ŸŸข 367 / 435 races called by AP

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Update on the races for Governor. The Democrats have so far flipped 5 states, and are on track to win Alaska and Kansas, a major upset in deep-red territory.

๐ŸŸข 34/36 races called

๐Ÿ˜ Democrats (governors)
Massachusetts
Rhode Island
Pennsylvania
Maryland
Illinois
Colorado
New York
Connecticut
California
New Mexico
Wisconsin
Maine
Arizona
Oregon
Hawaii
Minnesota
Michigan
Texas (FLIP)
Iowa (FLIP)
Ohio (FLIP)
Georgia (FLIP)

Nevada (FLIP)


๐Ÿ˜ Republicans (governors)
Florida
Wyoming
Arkansas

Oklahoma
South Dakota
Vermont
New Hampshire
Nebraska
Idaho
Tennessee
South Carolina
Alabama


@GeoPWatch
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Update on the Senate races. Democrats have secured a previously unimaginable 54-seat majority, with two states yet to be called. The difference in Mississippi is currently less than 100 votes.

Major upsets include Susan Collins' defeat in Maine, Abdul el-Sayed's victory in Michigan, and an incredibly tight race in both Mississippi and Alaska.

๐ŸŸข 33/35 races called

๐Ÿ˜ Democrats:
Massachusetts
Rhode Island
New Jersey
Delaware
Virginia
Georgia
Illinois
New Hampshire
Colorado
New Mexico
Oregon
Minnesota
Michigan
North Carolina (FLIP)

Texas (FLIP)
South Carolina (FLIP)
Kansas (FLIP)

Ohio (FLIP)
Iowa (FLIP)
Maine (FLIP)


๐Ÿ˜ Republicans
Florida
West Virginia
Wyoming

Kentucky
Oklahoma

Arkansas
Tennessee
Alabama
South Dakota
Nebraska
Idaho
Louisiana
Montana


@GeoPWatch
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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ The Houthis (Ansarallah) claimed to have shot down another Saudi 'Wing Loong' drone, the tenth since the conflict in Yemen restarted.

They also claimed a succesful strike against Saudi troop concentrations in the al-Jawf governorate with six ballistic missiles, and claim there were dozens of casualties.


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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ The Houthis (Ansarallah) just claimed three more operations against Saudi Arabia:

๐ŸŸข Against a radar in al-Qahmah, north of Jazan, using a drone.

๐ŸŸข A command and control center in Jazan with a ballistic missile, claiming multiple casualties.

๐ŸŸข A military camp in Najran with a ballistic missile, claiming damage.

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