1โฃ Impeachment: The Democrats won at least 54 seats in the Senate and are at most 13 votes short from being able to impeach President Trump or any of his cabinet. After tonight historic rout, the risk of Senate Republicans defecting and joining a Democrat-led impeachment push has materially increased.
This could be the political death sentence for President Trump, his cabinet and the MAGA movement.
2โฃ Veto Power: The number of votes required to overturn a Presidential Veto is 290 out of 435 in the House and 67 out of 100 in the Senate. By most projections, the Democrats will win around 250 House seats.
3โฃ Iran War: Faced with the credible threat of impeachment and subsequent legal consequences, the President and his Pentagon will be incentivized to avoid uncontrolled escalation in Iran. Contrary to popular belief, all the stakeholders in the Trump administration still have much to lose in another Iran gamble.
The status quo of dual-blockade and low intensity tit-for-tat strikes is likely to remain.
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Geopolitics Watch
#NEW ๐ฎ๐ท ๐ฎ๐ท โ ๐บ๐ธ - The IRGC announced downing a USAF "MQ-9" UCAV over east of the Strait of Hormuz around 2 hours ago. The IRGC adds that this is the 55th drone of this variant to be downed since the start of the conflict. @GeoPWatch
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Massachusetts
Rhode Island
Pennsylvania
Maryland
Illinois
Colorado
New York
Connecticut
California
New Mexico
Wisconsin
Maine
Arizona
Oregon
Hawaii
Minnesota
Michigan
Texas (FLIP)
Iowa (FLIP)
Ohio (FLIP)
Georgia (FLIP)
Nevada (FLIP)
Florida
Wyoming
Arkansas
Oklahoma
South Dakota
Vermont
New Hampshire
Nebraska
Idaho
Tennessee
South Carolina
Alabama
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Major upsets include Susan Collins' defeat in Maine, Abdul el-Sayed's victory in Michigan, and an incredibly tight race in both Mississippi and Alaska.
Massachusetts
Rhode Island
New Jersey
Delaware
Virginia
Georgia
Illinois
New Hampshire
Colorado
New Mexico
Oregon
Minnesota
Michigan
North Carolina (FLIP)
Texas (FLIP)
South Carolina (FLIP)
Kansas (FLIP)
Ohio (FLIP)
Iowa (FLIP)
Maine (FLIP)
Florida
West Virginia
Wyoming
Kentucky
Oklahoma
Arkansas
Tennessee
Alabama
South Dakota
Nebraska
Idaho
Louisiana
Montana
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They also claimed a succesful strike against Saudi troop concentrations in the al-Jawf governorate with six ballistic missiles, and claim there were dozens of casualties.
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Geopolitics Watch
Their new majority is only beaten by the Democrats 1990s 100 seat victory, which came after George H. W. Bush breaking his famous โRead my lips: no new taxesโ pledgeโ where he increased taxes 2 years later leading to a major Republican loss.
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Geopolitics Watch
For Democrats to win Kansas again 94 years later, without a comparable economic collapse, is an unthinkable defeat for President Trump, who carried the state by over 16 points in 2024.
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Forwarded from Intel Slava (Hamilcar Barca)
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JD, habibi, there's a delicious irony in the fact that you're constitutionally required to swear me into office this January.
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