Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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Geopolitics Watch
#NEW ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - The IRGC announced downing a USAF "MQ-9" UCAV over east of the Strait of Hormuz around 2 hours ago. The IRGC adds that this is the 55th drone of this variant to be downed since the start of the conflict. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Overnight, the IRGC announced intercepting a USAF "MQ-9" UCAV over the Strait of Hormuz near southern Iran.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ U.S. Midterm election update: Lower House. Democrats have taken firm control of the House of Representatives, and are poised to get around 250 seats there.

๐ŸŸข 367 / 435 races called by AP

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Update on the races for Governor. The Democrats have so far flipped 5 states, and are on track to win Alaska and Kansas, a major upset in deep-red territory.

๐ŸŸข 34/36 races called

๐Ÿ˜ Democrats (governors)
Massachusetts
Rhode Island
Pennsylvania
Maryland
Illinois
Colorado
New York
Connecticut
California
New Mexico
Wisconsin
Maine
Arizona
Oregon
Hawaii
Minnesota
Michigan
Texas (FLIP)
Iowa (FLIP)
Ohio (FLIP)
Georgia (FLIP)

Nevada (FLIP)


๐Ÿ˜ Republicans (governors)
Florida
Wyoming
Arkansas

Oklahoma
South Dakota
Vermont
New Hampshire
Nebraska
Idaho
Tennessee
South Carolina
Alabama


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Update on the Senate races. Democrats have secured a previously unimaginable 54-seat majority, with two states yet to be called. The difference in Mississippi is currently less than 100 votes.

Major upsets include Susan Collins' defeat in Maine, Abdul el-Sayed's victory in Michigan, and an incredibly tight race in both Mississippi and Alaska.

๐ŸŸข 33/35 races called

๐Ÿ˜ Democrats:
Massachusetts
Rhode Island
New Jersey
Delaware
Virginia
Georgia
Illinois
New Hampshire
Colorado
New Mexico
Oregon
Minnesota
Michigan
North Carolina (FLIP)

Texas (FLIP)
South Carolina (FLIP)
Kansas (FLIP)

Ohio (FLIP)
Iowa (FLIP)
Maine (FLIP)


๐Ÿ˜ Republicans
Florida
West Virginia
Wyoming

Kentucky
Oklahoma

Arkansas
Tennessee
Alabama
South Dakota
Nebraska
Idaho
Louisiana
Montana


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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ The Houthis (Ansarallah) claimed to have shot down another Saudi 'Wing Loong' drone, the tenth since the conflict in Yemen restarted.

They also claimed a succesful strike against Saudi troop concentrations in the al-Jawf governorate with six ballistic missiles, and claim there were dozens of casualties.


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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ The Houthis (Ansarallah) just claimed three more operations against Saudi Arabia:

๐ŸŸข Against a radar in al-Qahmah, north of Jazan, using a drone.

๐ŸŸข A command and control center in Jazan with a ballistic missile, claiming multiple casualties.

๐ŸŸข A military camp in Najran with a ballistic missile, claiming damage.

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Geopolitics Watch
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ Update on the Senate races. Democrats have secured a previously unimaginable 54-seat majority, with two states yet to be called. The difference in Mississippi is currently less than 100 votes. Major upsets include Susan Collins' defeat in Maine, Abdulโ€ฆ
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ - The Democrats victory in the House of Representatives has secured them the 2nd largest majority in the last 40 years.

Their new majority is only beaten by the Democrats 1990s 100 seat victory, which came after George H. W. Bush breaking his famous โ€œRead my lips: no new taxesโ€ pledgeโ€ where he increased taxes 2 years later leading to a major Republican loss.

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Geopolitics Watch
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ For the first time since 1932, the Democrats have won the Senate in Kansas. @GeoPWatch
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ - The last time Kansas elected a Democrat to the U.S. Senate was in 1932, during the Great Depression, when economic devastation fueled a nationwide backlash against Republicans.

For Democrats to win Kansas again 94 years later, without a comparable economic collapse, is an unthinkable defeat for President Trump, who carried the state by over 16 points in 2024.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง โ€“ The IAF struck a motorcycle in southern Lebanon, killing at least one person and wounding an undetermined number of others.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€“ The IRGC has claimed to have intercepted and shot down yet another USAF MQ-1 drone over Qeshm Island. According to Iran's count, it's the fifteenth aircraft of this type to be shot down by their air defenses.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ โ€“ With around 96% of the vote counted for Mississippi's Senator election, the race is still unbelievably close: the difference is of only 43 votes.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—ณ - JD Vance via X posted a long essay blaming the Republican Party's major defeat in the midterm elections on the Iran war which he previously has backed. He also mentioned the Trump Administrations lack of focus on the economy.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ The Houthis (Ansarallah) claimed to have shot down another Saudi 'Wing Loong' drone, the tenth since the conflict in Yemen restarted. They also claimed a succesful strike against Saudi troop concentrations in the al-Jawf governorate with six ballisticโ€ฆ
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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Ansarullah published footage of the wreckage of an RSAF "Wing Loong II" UCAV which was intercepted over Yemen's Ta'izz earlier today.

@GeoPWatch
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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช- Ansarullah and pro-government forces continue to fight along the Al Jawf axis, with heavy fighting particularly centered around Jabal Duhaydah, which has been a key target for PLC and Saudi drone and airstrikes. Houthi forces have also targeted pro-government forces with FPVs southwest and northeast of Jabal Duhaydah.

โžก๏ธ In northwestern Yemen, Ansarullah continues to strike pro-government positions inside Hajjah governorate. Houthi forces have also been striking pro-government forces in Saudi Arabia itself, footage surfaced of drones targeting Saudi positions around Al-Khawbah and pickup trucks inside of Saudi Arabiaโ€™s Jazan province.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโšก๏ธ โ€” U.S. Senator-elect Abdul El-Sayed to Vice President JD Vance:

JD, habibi, there's a delicious irony in the fact that you're constitutionally required to swear me into office this January.


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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโ“ - An Iranian Government flight is en route from Tehran to Moscow, Russia.

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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€” The Saudis approached the Houthis in Yemen to understand how much it would cost them for the Houthis to stop the war. The Houthi response was $51 billion, The Wall Street Journal reports.

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