🇺🇸🇮🇱🇮🇷⚡️ — CNN: U.S. intelligence views the Israeli report regarding an alleged Trump assassination plot as part of a broader Israeli campaign to influence Trump's decisions on Iran, rather than as neutral intelligence. That is why some U.S. intelligence officials treat Israeli intelligence reports with caution and skepticism instead of accepting them at face value.

@IntelSlava

🇺🇸🇮🇷⚡️ — Shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has dropped sharply, with just 22 verified transits recorded Thursday, Kpler reports.

➡️ Only one vessel crossed via the Omani channel — the rest opted for Iran's designated shipping lane.

➡️ 22 transits is well down from 40–50 in recent weeks and a fraction of the 100+ daily crossings recorded before the war began.

➡️ Some vessels are disabling transponders entirely, meaning actual traffic may be higher than tracked figures show.

🇺🇸⚡️ — US average gas prices have surged 9 cents in two days, reaching $3.88 per gallon, AAA reports.

➡️ Prices rose 5 cents Thursday and a further 4 cents overnight, following a roughly 6% rise in oil prices since US-Iran hostilities resumed in the Persian Gulf.

➡️ The outsized jump reflects how gas prices behave: they rise sharply in anticipation of higher wholesale costs, but fall only gradually as station owners use lower prices to recover lost profit margins.

➡️ Gas had been slowly declining from a wartime peak of $4.56 per gallon hit in mid-May before the latest oil spike reversed that trend.

@IntelSlava

🇺🇸🇮🇷⚡️ — NEW: The US and Iran remain deadlocked over core issues despite a June ceasefire, with "technical talks" unlikely to resolve fundamentally political disputes, the New York Times reports.

The key flashpoint is control of the Strait of Hormuz — a vaguely worded paragraph in the Versailles MOU has been interpreted entirely differently by each side: the US saw it as Iran's commitment to ensure free passage; Iran took it as a mandate to control the waterway and charge tolls.

When the US Navy began secret escorting ships through a channel near Oman — away from Iran's preferred route — Iran fired on some of the vessels. Lloyd's of London reports traffic through the strait has now dropped sharply.

A second unresolved dispute concerns Iran's nuclear fuel stockpile; the ceasefire agreement is vague on whether Iran retains control of it, and Trump is said to be resistant to any deal that offers less than the 2015 Obama-era accord.

Trump has declared the Versailles MOU "over," though aides insist the US is not in violation, arguing the agreement was performance-based and Iran failed to meet its terms.

A US official, speaking anonymously, said the administration remains committed to a peaceful resolution and expects "technical talks" to continue — despite lower-level negotiators are not empowered to resolve the political core of the dispute.

@IntelSlava

🇺🇸🇮🇷⚡️ — Fighting has paused temporarily between the US and Iran, but no compromise is in sight over the disputed administration of the Strait of Hormuz, CNN reports.

➡️ Iran views control of the strait as its key wartime gain and insists ships must follow its assigned route — the latest round of fighting was triggered after the US retaliated against Iran for firing on vessels that defied its directives.

➡️ The dispute centers on Point 5 of the MoU, which calls on Iran to arrange safe passage and engage Oman on future strait administration — but does not explicitly grant Iran exclusive authority over shipping there.

➡️ Both sides have been imposing their own interpretations of the clause; Crisis Group warns the ambiguity that helped end initial fighting has since become a liability.

➡️ Mediators are working to return both parties to the negotiating table; Iran has shown no sign of compromise, but hostilities appear to have paused as of today.

@IntelSlava

🇺🇸🇮🇱🇮🇷⚡️ — The Trump administration has signaled it does not want Israel involved in US strikes on Iran, according to two Israeli sources cited by CNN.

➡️ One source said Netanyahu "would really want to join the US strikes," but Washington has made clear Israeli participation is unwanted at this stage.

➡️ Israeli officials broadly assess that Trump is not seeking a return to full-scale war — with the most likely escalatory step being a reinstatement of a naval blockade on Iranian ports.

@IntelSlava

🇺🇸🇮🇷⚡️ — Who Violated the MoU?

Iran's position was that all passage through the Strait of Hormuz should be coordinated with Iran, Oman, and the Gulf states. According to Tehran, Article 5 of the Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) recognized Iran's role in this coordination.

However, Iran believed the United States was quietly pursuing a different strategy. By escorting ships along a route closer to Oman's side of the strait, Washington was, in Iran's view, trying to create an alternative shipping lane that would reduce Iran's leverage over the Strait of Hormuz.

From Iran's perspective, this was a violation of the spirit of the MoU. Although the agreement recognized Iran's coordinating role, the new route was seen as an attempt to bypass that arrangement without formally changing the agreement.

Under this interpretation, Iran's attacks on ships using the Omani-side route were a response to what it considered the first breach of the MoU. The core argument is that creating an alternative corridor weakened Iran's agreed role in coordinating passage through the strait, making it a form of passive aggression against Iran's strategic position.

@IntelSlava
@LeonovZ

🇺🇸🇮🇷⚡️ — Trump via Truth Social:

The Islamic Republic of Iran has asked us to continue “talks.” We have agreed to do so, but the United States has stated to them, in no uncertain terms, that the Cease Fire is OVER! Thank you for your attention to this matter. President DONALD J. TRUMP

🇺🇸❌🇮🇷 — BREAKING: Trump announced that the ceasefire with Iran is over.

🇺🇸❌🇮🇷 — Admin Note: Trump reverted to his pre-ceasefire stance of April 8, stating there will be no ceasefire, though he remains open to talks. According to him, talk is equal to unconditional surrender of Iran to the US.

- So basically, this means there is no political agreement preventing the resumption of war at the same pace as before April 8.

🇷🇺🇺🇦⚡️ — The confrontation between a Russian FPV drone and a Ukrainian armored reconnaissance and combat vehicle (ARKV) equipped with an M2 Browning machine gun ended unfavorably for the latter.

Interestingly, after the drone's initial hit on the ARKV, which was trying to shake it off, another FPV drone was dispatched to finish the job.

@Intelslava

🇺🇸❌🇮🇷 — There are reports from Iranian local sources that explosions were heard in Kanarak and Bushehr, but we could not confirm these claims yet.