🇺🇸 U.S. Defense Secretary Austin has arrived on an unannounced trip to Baghdad.

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The United States must seek new solutions to stop Iran’s nuclear programme. The US administration’s efforts to relaunch the 2015 nuclear deal, Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), have probably failed altogether, despite attempts by the Biden government to re-link them after Trump’s exit from the deal in 2018. Returning to revitalize the agreement would imply the partial relaxation of sanctions that would lead to a breath of fresh air for the regime, betraying the heroic demonstrations of recent months fiercely repressed. The high-level relations between Iranian and American officials, which led to the historic agreement, reveal the dual course of action taken by the United States since Iran became a brutal Islamic regime in 1979. On the one hand, to attack Tehran through economic and commercial sanctions, supported by rhetoric about the failure to respect the human rights of the Ayatollah regime, and to work at the same time diplomacy avoiding direct military confrontation. In the American strategy against Iran Israel plays the role of the main military ram, for Jerusalem Iran is an existential threat.
How, then, to avoid the military solution increasingly likely?
Firstly, to increase deterrence, to explicitly threaten Tehran with air strikes, to further strengthen military relations with Israel, to avoid narratives aimed at a resumption of dialogue. However, the route of pseudo collaboration with Beijing must not be excluded. Iran sees Asia as the main trading partner and China imports Iranian oil despite sanctions. Beijing also joined the 2015 agreement. A dialogue with China would be desirable, albeit likely, to mediate and dissuade the Iranian partner from putting an end to the military’s nuclear ambitions in return, perhaps, for guarantees of the regime’s sovereignty and survival.

Article from Foreign Affairs.

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