JOGWD Report
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โšก๏ธJOGWD: Joint Observation Group for Warfare Development

๐Ÿ“ Military blog,Military History,Doctrine & Space.

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Chat group: @JOGWDReportChat
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๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท Poll closed in Tรผrkiye. Erdogan has arrived in Ankara to watch the election results

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๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท Poll closed in Tรผrkiye. Erdogan has arrived in Ankara to watch the election results ๐Ÿ‘‰ @JogwdNews
๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท According to local media, a record of 93,6% electoral turnout was registered in Tรผrkiye.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Bakhmut front: Russians are retreating beyond Donets-Donbas Canal, near Kurdyumivka Source ๐Ÿ‘‰ @JogwdNews
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Bakhmut front: Ukrainian troops takes controll of all forest in south of Ivanivske.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ After today's attack, which resulted in the injury of Igor Kornet, the acting minister of Internal Affairs of the Luhansk People's Republic, our theory is that Ukrainian forces will attempt to target strategic locations that Russian forces have moved out of range of the HIMARS.
These targets could include:
- logistics centers
- air bases
- large troop concentrations
- strategic infrastructures
- depots
- Russian VIPs and officers

With Crimea serving as a rear base, there are numerous potential targets such as Saki airport and Dzhankoy railway hub that have already been attacked in the past.

However, the gamechanger is the "Storm Shadow" cruise missile with a range of 250km that can be launched from an airplane for even greater range.
This missile has a double warhead (one piercing and one explosive) and is virtually invisible to radar while also being equipped with a ground-controlled fire and forget system.
Above all else, this missile breaks the taboo of medium-range missiles being supplied to Ukraine by the West.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Ukraine has just received SAMP-T air defence system promised to Kyiv by Italy and France.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น The sniper team of the "Incursori Operational Group" (G.O.I) of the Marina Militare Italiana, engaged in the Sniper Competition NEPTUNE 2023 held in France, ranked first by winning the competition. The Special Forces of the Navy are always the best, in Italy and in the world.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ According to CNN an American MIM-104 โ€œPatriotโ€ Air Defense Battery in Kyiv was damaged, but not destroyed, by a russian missile strike

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๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Denmark selects Rheinmetall's 30mm Skyranger turret for army short range air defence. It will be fitted on the Danish army standard APC Piranha V

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๐Ÿ“‰ The demographic impact on Russia of the war in Ukraine is starkly revealed by the statistic that in 2022, the war likely caused the death of every second Russian who died between the ages of 20 and 24.

๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ 'People of Baikal' reports that according to Russia's national statistics agency, Rosstat, 1,905,778 people died in Russia in 2022. Independent sociologists have found that young men had a much higher mortality rate than in 2021.

๐Ÿฆ  The data in categories older than the 18-29 group are not taken into account, as they are distorted because of excess mortality caused by COVID-19.

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ 'People of Baikal' comments that "the share of war deaths in the category of 20-24 years old is half of all the deaths of young men of this age. That is, every second man of that age who died in Russia last year died in a combat zone."

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Notes that these figures do not contradict the figures for Russian war dead in Ukraine which have been collected from open sources, such as relatives (the Russian government keeps its own figures secret). As of 5 May, 6,698 young men are confirmed to have died in the war.

โšฐ๏ธ However, this figure is known to be greatly less than the actual number, as coverage is patchy โ€“ many deaths have not been publicly reported โ€“ and the bodies of many of those killed in the war have not been recovered, or are still listed as missing in action.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Bakhmut front: Ukrainian troops takes controll of all forest in south of Ivanivske. ๐Ÿ‘‰ @JogwdNews
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Bakhmut front: Ukrainian counterattacks in Orikhovo-Vasylivka area

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Bakhmut front: Ukrainian counterattacks in Orikhovo-Vasylivka area ๐Ÿ‘‰ @JogwdNews
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Bakhmut front: PMC Wagner continues to advance into city, Ukrainian forces control less than 5% of the urban territory.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Bakhmut front: PMC Wagner continues to advance into city, Ukrainian forces control less than 5% of the urban territory. ๐Ÿ‘‰ @JogwdNews
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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Bakhmut front: extensive destruction in the city is visible from new Maxar's satellite imagery. These gif shows how city looked a year ago, and how it appears today.

๐Ÿ“ 48ยฐ35'31.2"N 37ยฐ57'54.0"E (maps)

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Italy at FEINDEF (Defence & Security Brokerage Event)

Iveco Defence Vehicles โ€œIDVโ€showcases the โ€˜Vikingโ€™ purpose built Uncrewed Ground Vehicle by MIRA UGV.

Itโ€™s been designed to deliver exceptional mobility and payload in its class of platform. Really quick work, they only joined IDV relatively recently.

Next IDV showcases the MTV (Medium Tactical Vehicle) 4x4, this platform has already been selected by the Dutch, will be interesting to see if anyone else picks it up. Still canโ€™t get over how tall it is, also I wonder when theyโ€™ll showcase some of the more specialised variants.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Italy at FEINDEF (Defence & Security Brokerage Event) Iveco Defence Vehicles โ€œIDVโ€showcases the โ€˜Vikingโ€™ purpose built Uncrewed Ground Vehicle by MIRA UGV. Itโ€™s been designed to deliver exceptional mobility and payload in its class of platform. Reallyโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Meanwhile Iveco Espaรฑa showcases the SILAM based on the Iveco 8x8.

The armament for those unaware is from Elbit Systems, called PULS (multi-purpose universal launching system).

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๐Ÿ”น NATO is about to approve, after decades, thousands of pages of military defense plans detailing how to respond to a Russian attack, marking a turnaround for the Organization, which did not deem it necessary to draft such plans after the end of the Cold War.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ The conflict in Ukraine has prompted the Alliance to believe that detailed defense plans should be developed against an existential threat. Comprehensive plan tells each NATO nation how to upgrade its forces and defense logistics, but fails to highlight need for coastal troop surge.

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