Middle East Spectator — MES
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News & Analysis on Middle East

Independent, but not unbiased, striving for a multipolar world. Mainly focused on Iran & Resistance Axis.

Introduction: https://t.me/Middle_East_Spectator/4

Owner and contact for ads: @Elias_MES

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— 🇮🇷/🇱🇧 NEW: Iran's Parliament Speaker, Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf, personally piloted the plane of Iran's government delegation into Beirut

The move comes just days after Israeli allegedly threatened to shoot down any Iranian plane that tries to land at Beirut airport.

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— 🇮🇷/🇱🇧 WATCH: Iranian Parliament Speaker, Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf, lands his plane in Beirut among multiple heavy Israeli airstrikes in the distance

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— 🇵🇸/🇮🇱 NEW: Al-Qassam Brigades detonate a tunnel opening, leading to deaths and injuries of Israeli troops.

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Things are happening.
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— 🇮🇷/🇮🇱 Tehran's Chief of Police, General Radan: 'If the Zionists act stupidly, they will receive Operation True Promise-3'

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Forwarded from Mediterranean Man (Mediterranean Man)
⚡️🇺🇸🇵🇸 A US Army Air Defense Battery will arrive in Israel in order to prepare for any possible Iranian reaction to an Israeli response.

It will be a THAAD battery

@medmannews
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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
🇮🇷🇷🇺Iran has sent two privately-developed satellites, Kowsar (precision agriculture/mapping) and Hodhod (IoT communications), to Russia for launch into Earth's orbit, marking a milestone in Iran's private space sector growth.

Via: Reuters

🔴 @DDGeopolitics
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— 🇮🇱/🇱🇧 NEW: Israeli media reports that at least seven soldiers were hospitalized following a 'serious security incident' on the northern border with Lebanon.

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— Israel has a window between tonight and the 17th of October, when the Jewish holiday of Sukkot will begin, to strike Iran.

Otherwise they have to wait until after October 23rd.
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I just randomly gained 4k subs, someone is botting me, if you see our subcount rise unnaturally, just know it wasn't us.

We are trying to handle the situation.
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Middle East Spectator — MES
— 🇮🇱/🇱🇧 NEW: Israeli media reports that at least seven soldiers were hospitalized following a 'serious security incident' on the northern border with Lebanon. @Middle_East_Spectator
— 🇮🇱/🇱🇧 UPDATE: The number of Israeli soldiers injured today on the Lebanese front has risen to 25.

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— 🇮🇱/🇮🇷 WATCH: New CCTV footage shows Iran's hypersonic Fattah-1 missile impacting an Israeli electricity booth with extraordinary speed and accuracy

The video is in real time.

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Middle East Spectator — MES
— 🇺🇸 Our updated prediction of the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election We will be releasing two more predictions, one in October and one 24 hours before Election Day. Our most recent prediction sees former President Donald J. Trump narrowly winning the election…
— 🇺🇸 Our updated prediction of the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election:

Donald J. Trump will become President of the United States with at least 306 electoral votes.

Compared to our last forecast, Trump now picks up the states of Georgia and Michigan, winning all battleground states except Nevada, bringing his electoral votes to 306.

Georgia is a fundamentally red state, having voted Republican in nearly all of the recent elections except 2020 by a narrow margin. While we believe VP Kamala Harris initially had a shot at taking Georgia due to her support among Black voters, the lack of President Biden's response to hurricane Helene and Trump's increasing popularity among black voters has tilted the state towards Former President Donald Trump.

Michigan is usually considered part of the 'Blue Wall' which Biden managed to hold in 2020 along with Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. These three swing states have been very competitive and influential in the last two election cycles, deciding the outcome of both past elections.

Biden won the state very narrowly, and Kamala Harris will likely lose it by a slim margin, because she doesn't have as much support among White blue collar voters as Biden did in 2020. She also doesn't have the support of several major labor unions, unlike Biden did. Additionally, many Muslim voters in Michigan are not planning to vote Democrat, due to the genocide in Gaza. Jill Stein, a third party candidate, will skim some Democrat voters away from Harris. On top of that, Trump appeals way more to White, working class voters in Michigan, and his state-wide rural support will probably be enough to defeat Harris, who will gain votes mostly in large cities such as Detroit.

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And also, Kamala Harris can still win Michigan, + potentially Pennsylvania and North Carolina. It all depends. Some of these states will be extremely close, likely with less than a 1% margin.

IF Trump is underestimated in the polls like he was in 2016 and 2020, then it'll be a clean sweep. But past events are not indicative of future scenarios.
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And before some schizo Americans say the 2020 election was rigged, it almost certainly was not, and if you believe it you probably live in a bubble. Mail-in votes are not fraud.

Even Trump's own aides and investigators admitted there was no large scale fraud.
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— 🇺🇸 NBC News Nationwide Poll:

Trump 48%
Harris 48%

For reference, in 2016, when Donald Trump beat Hillary Clinton, he was 4 points behind in nationwide polling.

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